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Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast

 
DoorBert
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12/25/2012 06:53 AM
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Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
[link to www.nws.noaa.gov]

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

NWS Memphis issues Blizzard Warning for NE Arkansas and NW Tennessee through tonight. Winter Weather Advisory for SE AR, West TN, NW MS.

[link to sphotos-b.xx.fbcdn.net]

[link to www.srh.noaa.gov]

[link to www.srh.noaa.gov]


Major Severe Weather Outbreak Begins Later This Morning -

[link to pbs.twimg.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 06:55 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2204
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0232 AM CST TUE DEC 25 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 250832Z - 251230Z

SUMMARY...SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL IMPACTS PARTS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OK THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WHILE PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED AND LIGHT...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS CAN
DEVELOP WITH ONLY SMALL ICE ACCUMULATION.

DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WAS BEING TRANSPORTED INTO THE AREA
VIA ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW /AS EVIDENT IN KTLX 88-D VWP DATA/. AN
INITIAL SHORTWAVE IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS
MORNING AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH WAS PROVIDING FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND RESULTING IN LIGHT WINTRY MIX PRECIP TYPES. FREEZING
RAIN/SLEET AND SNOW RATES WILL BE LOW THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS MIDLEVEL
MOISTURE ONLY SLOWLY INCREASES. HOWEVER...LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ON ROADWAYS WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL
CONDITIONS. AS MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES COOL AFTER SUNRISE...SLEET MAY
MIX WITH SNOW FOR A BRIEF PERIOD BEFORE A TRANSITION TO ALL SNOW
OCCURS AND PRECIPITATION BECOMES HEAVIER.

..LEITMAN.. 12/25/2012

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 06:58 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
About 5 to 7" Snow across IN and OH according to SREF

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 12/25/2012 07:02 AM
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:00 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Mobile and Birmingham under the gun for significant tornadoes.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:03 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
NAM more aggressive with the snow.

10 to 12" for IN and OH

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:04 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Major dump for Pittsburgh and Hudson Valley

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
Anonymous Coward
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12/25/2012 07:05 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
More weather.

Fuck off.
Luisport

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12/25/2012 07:06 AM

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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Thread: Christmas weather storm updates: 6 deaths,40+homes damaged with "numerous injuries !!! Merry Christmas my friend! I wish you the best to you and your family!hf
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:10 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Thread: Christmas weather storm updates: 6 deaths,40+homes damaged with "numerous injuries !!! Merry Christmas my friend! I wish you the best to you and your family!hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Merry Christmas Luis and to your family as well.

Pinned your thread for you.

hf
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:10 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
More weather.

Fuck off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17487177


No presents from Santa, ehh?
Luisport

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12/25/2012 07:12 AM

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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Thread: Christmas weather storm updates: 6 deaths,40+homes damaged with "numerous injuries !!! Merry Christmas my friend! I wish you the best to you and your family!hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Merry Christmas Luis and to your family as well.

Pinned your thread for you.

hf
 Quoting: DoorBert


Thank you my friend! Do you this thread i post? I nead your opinion desperatly! Thread: 2013 Polar Vortex Collapsing; Complete Disintegration Possible!!! US, North Europe, Midle East Hit!!!
JUST HERE

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12/25/2012 07:12 AM

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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
More weather.

Fuck off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17487177


No presents from Santa, ehh?
 Quoting: DoorBert


laugh , christmas karma for ya DB hf
:glp sign:
Ozark

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12/25/2012 07:24 AM

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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Merry Christmas Doorbert!
I've been missing your posts!
Favorite quote or Haiku,
Nikos Kazantzakis

" I said to the Almond tree, "Sister, speak to me of God..."
And the Almond tree blossomed...
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:25 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
More weather.

Fuck off.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 17487177


No presents from Santa, ehh?
 Quoting: DoorBert


laugh , christmas karma for ya DB hf
 Quoting: JUST HERE


Merry Christmas JH

hf
DoorBert (OP)

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12/25/2012 07:26 AM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Merry Christmas Doorbert!
I've been missing your posts!
 Quoting: Ozark


Merry Christmas Ozark

hf
TSWB21

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12/25/2012 07:29 AM

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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
high pressure is just to damn strong over me , it wont ever happen. More north maybe so.
Anonymous Coward
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12/25/2012 04:22 PM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Merry Christmas Doorbert and for all the great posts.

Keeping everybody paying attention. Without you all the Moronsa would be dead already.

Hope you hang in for a while yet. God Bless.
Anonymous Coward
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12/25/2012 04:23 PM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
bump
Anonymous Coward
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12/25/2012 04:25 PM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
PIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Da fuq

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12/25/2012 04:25 PM
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Re: Blizzard Warning Posted for Mississippi Valley. Tornado Outbreak for Gulf Coast
Speaking of the weather and Galactic Cosmic Rays, the IPCC's (the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 5th Assessment Report has been leaked worldwide on the internet. The leaker's evaluation of the data points to a bigger Solar/GCR influence on climate than man-made fuels or cow farts.

*The IPCC’s (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s) 5th Assessment Report due for release in September of 2013, has now been leaked publicly over 9 months in advance on an internet publication called “Stop Green Suicide“.
One of the reports 800 expert reviewers, a man by the name of Alex Rawls, apparently leaked the report and is backing it with written evidence that cosmic rays are actually the cause of climate change and warming patterns, thus possibly blowing the lid off the whole entire global warming fraud pushed by figureheads such as Al Gore and others.


This is from the Leaker's analysis:

**Lead story from the Second Order Draft: strong evidence for solar forcing beyond TSI now acknowledged by IPCC

Compared to the First Order Draft, the SOD now adds the following sentence, indicated in bold (page 7-43, lines 1-5, emphasis added):

Many empirical relationships have been reported between GCR or cosmogenic isotope archives and some aspects of the climate system (e.g., Bond et al., 2001; Dengel et al., 2009; Ram and Stolz, 1999). The forcing from changes in total solar irradiance alone does not seem to account for these observations, implying the existence of an amplifying mechanism such as the hypothesized GCR-cloud link. We focus here on observed relationships between GCR and aerosol and cloud properties.

The Chapter 7 authors are admitting strong evidence ("many empirical relationships") for enhanced solar forcing (forcing beyond total solar irradiance, or TSI), even if they don't know what the mechanism is. This directly undercuts the main premise of the report, as stated in Chapter 8 (page 8-4, lines 54-57):

There is very high confidence that natural forcing is a small fraction of the anthropogenic forcing. In particular, over the past three decades (since 1980), robust evidence from satellite observations of the TSI and volcanic aerosols demonstrate a near-zero (–0.04 W m–2) change in the natural forcing compared to the anthropogenic AF increase of ~1.0 ± 0.3 W m–2.

The Chapter 8 authors (a different group than the Chapter 7 authors) are explicit here that their claim about natural forcing being small compared to anthropogenic forcing is based on an analysis in which the only solar forcing that is taken into account is TSI. This can be verified from the radiative forcing table on page 8-39 where the only solar variable included in the IPCC's computer models is seen to be "solar irradiance."

This analysis, where post-1980 warming gets attributed to the human release of CO2 on the grounds that it cannot be attributed to solar irradiance, cannot stand in the face of the Chapter 7 admission of substantial evidence for solar forcing beyond solar irradiance. Once the evidence for enhanced solar forcing is taken into account we can have no confidence that natural forcing is small compared to anthropogenic forcing.

The Chapter 8 premise that natural forcing is relatively small leads directly to the main conclusion of the entire report, stated in the first sentence of the Executive Summary (the very first sentence of the entire report): that advances since AR4 "further strengthen the basis for human activities being the primary driver in climate change" (p.1-2, lines 3-5). This headline conclusion is a direct descendant of the assumption that the only solar forcing is TSI, a claim that their own report no longer accepts.

The report still barely hints at the mountain of evidence for enhanced solar forcing, or the magnitude of the evidenced effect. Dozens of studies (section two here) have found between a .4 and .7 degree of correlation between solar activity and various climate indices, suggesting that solar activity "explains" in the statistical sense something like half of all past temperature change, very little of which could be explained by the very slight variation in TSI. At least the Chapter 7 team is now being explicit about what this evidence means: that some mechanism of enhanced solar forcing must be at work.

Complete Leaked 5th Assessment Report w/ analysis:

[link to stopgreensuicide.com]

This is pretty huge! This should be a page one pinned thread. In brief, they're saying (on one hand) that Global Warming is still our fault; while (on the other hand) their evidence is proof that unknown solar and cosmic factors are a much bigger influence. Oh well, now the cover-up can begin, LOL.

Last Edited by Da fuq on 12/25/2012 04:25 PM