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Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013

 
No Dhimmi

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12/30/2012 09:04 AM

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Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Forecasting isn’t an exact science, but researches at the New England Complex Systems Institute may have come up with a formulaic approach that can help them to identify risk factors that contribute to political instability which may lead to riots and civil unrest similar to what we saw in the Middle East this year.

Their model is so accurate that they reportedly wrote a letter to the United States warning of imminent danger just days before the mid east and north African riots broke out:

On 13 December last year, the group wrote to the US government pointing out that global food prices were about to cross the threshold they had identified. Four days later, Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in Tunisia in protest at government policies, an event that triggered a wave of social unrest that continues to spread throughout the middle east today.

The underlying trend of increasing prices will reach the threshold of instability in July 2012, if we consider current prices, and April 2013 if we correct prices for reported ination.


We extrapolate these trends and identify a crossing point to the domain of high impacts, even without price peaks, in 2012-2013. This implies that avoiding global food crises and associated social unrest requires rapid and concerted action.

[link to www.shtfplan.com]
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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01/02/2013 01:52 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Stock up now!! Its better to be 5 months early than one day late!

Last Edited by No Dhimmi on 01/02/2013 01:53 PM
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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01/02/2013 01:59 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Thought this was timely as well

Thread: Last minute tips for parents when the SHTF
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 02:03 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
It's easy for the wealthiest to demand central banks print up more money for a failed system, the percentage they pay for cost of living is miniscule in comparison to what the rest of us pay. Then you consider that in developing nations people pay nearly all of their earnings just for food, shelter and energy.

The more government prints/spends to keep everyone happy, the more we starve off the rest of the world. This isn't moral hazard its' moral tragedy. And we have a nobel laureate, "concerned" for the benefit of all at our helm.

Can you spell hypocrisy?
Don'tBeAfraid

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01/02/2013 02:03 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


Hey thanks! I was interested in what you had to say. Sending you some karma.
Lady Jane SmithModerator
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01/02/2013 02:04 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
People need to prepare AND start, or expand, gardens.

I expanded mine last fall & have a large amount of seeds saved.
Fate whispers to the warrior

"You cannot withstand the storm"

the warrior whispers back

"I am the storm"

INTJ-A

Killer Bunny
IMAX

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01/02/2013 02:05 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
yeeaaayyyyy
Let's have DOOM 5a
Imagine if there was no country
Stop the Sabre Rattlings and Wars
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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01/02/2013 02:10 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
I had a second well drilled and installed a hand pump to assure water during power outages.
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 02:11 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 02:17 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
According to those clowns at Homeland Security,anyone who stockpiles food could be considered a potential terrorist and Obama signed the executive order that Government can seize all food if martial law is declared!
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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01/02/2013 02:18 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
According to those clowns at Homeland Security,anyone who stockpiles food could be considered a potential terrorist and Obama signed the executive order that Government can seize all food if martial law is declared!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31341955


Include this incase ^^^ is an issue

Invest in LEAD a
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 02:19 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Dhimi,did you get a Bison pump?We got ours from them because we are down 275 feet and they are the only ones that can do the job!
No Dhimmi  (OP)

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01/02/2013 02:22 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
I got the dull action from Lehmans - the drilling is down 320 feet but the pipes go down about 120. Works great! Not sure of the brand but it is USA made.
ALL relevant scriptures that include a time factor prove no pre-trib rapture. Over 50 verses! Kindle Edition only 99 CENTS! Biblical Eschatological “Time-Stamps” Relevant to the Last Day/Days (Amazon)
Judethz

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01/02/2013 02:29 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Stock up now!! Its better to be 5 months early than one day late!
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


Beanskitty True. spam
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 02:50 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
jihad2
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01/02/2013 03:20 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
bsflag
Vic-chick13

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01/02/2013 03:25 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
bsflag
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 28669000


Just because Canada is better off than most countries right now, doesn't mean we won't feel the effects. We are not immune.
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 03:30 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Forecasting isn’t an exact science, but researches at the New England Complex Systems Institute may have come up with a formulaic approach that can help them to identify risk factors that contribute to political instability which may lead to riots and civil unrest similar to what we saw in the Middle East this year.

Their model is so accurate that they reportedly wrote a letter to the United States warning of imminent danger just days before the mid east and north African riots broke out:

On 13 December last year, the group wrote to the US government pointing out that global food prices were about to cross the threshold they had identified. Four days later, Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in Tunisia in protest at government policies, an event that triggered a wave of social unrest that continues to spread throughout the middle east today.

The underlying trend of increasing prices will reach the threshold of instability in July 2012, if we consider current prices, and April 2013 if we correct prices for reported ination.


We extrapolate these trends and identify a crossing point to the domain of high impacts, even without price peaks, in 2012-2013. This implies that avoiding global food crises and associated social unrest requires rapid and concerted action.

[link to www.shtfplan.com]
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


NOW,it's my turn to call them: LUNATICS!
Saratonin

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01/02/2013 03:38 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Ooo a new doom date!
My Blog - [link to blog.emergencyoutdoors.com]
Online Survival Store - [link to www.emergencyoutdoors.com]
Heirloom (Non-GMO) Survival Seeds - [link to www.emergencyoutdoors.com]
Meadow
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01/02/2013 03:55 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Coffee

Tea bags

Sugar

Salt

Cooking oil

Buy or cry. Your choice.
Anonymous Coward
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South Korea
01/02/2013 04:07 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Coffee

Tea bags

Sugar

Salt

Cooking oil

Buy or cry. Your choice.

Don't forget the freeze dried Hot Dogs.
Crash Landed On Earth

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01/02/2013 04:39 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Just put another 100 lbs white rice, 30 lbs white sugar and several years of organic tea into mylar bags with O2 absorbers in 5 gallon food grade buckets over the holidays.

As much as I love my precious metals buying efforts, we are seriously considering buying a mini-farm (less than 10 acres) in the warmer southern Virginia mountains away from... well, whatever wicked this way comes.

Thanks for the post No Dhimmi.

bump
Don'tBeAfraid

User ID: 1110734
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01/02/2013 05:07 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Just put another 100 lbs white rice, 30 lbs white sugar and several years of organic tea into mylar bags with O2 absorbers in 5 gallon food grade buckets over the holidays.

As much as I love my precious metals buying efforts, we are seriously considering buying a mini-farm (less than 10 acres) in the warmer southern Virginia mountains away from... well, whatever wicked this way comes.

Thanks for the post No Dhimmi.

bump
 Quoting: Crash Landed On Earth


An excellent Ray Bradbury reference and a great film.


While I like coffee, we can't raise it most places in the USA, save Kona, Hawaii. Tea however, black tea with caffeine can be raised in the South, and even green tea has a stimulant in it. Both kinds will be in high demand, I think post-collapse.

Last Edited by Don'tBeAfraid on 01/02/2013 05:12 PM
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 05:27 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Forecasting isn’t an exact science, but researches at the New England Complex Systems Institute may have come up with a formulaic approach that can help them to identify risk factors that contribute to political instability which may lead to riots and civil unrest similar to what we saw in the Middle East this year.

Their model is so accurate that they reportedly wrote a letter to the United States warning of imminent danger just days before the mid east and north African riots broke out:

On 13 December last year, the group wrote to the US government pointing out that global food prices were about to cross the threshold they had identified. Four days later, Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in Tunisia in protest at government policies, an event that triggered a wave of social unrest that continues to spread throughout the middle east today.

The underlying trend of increasing prices will reach the threshold of instability in July 2012, if we consider current prices, and April 2013 if we correct prices for reported ination.


We extrapolate these trends and identify a crossing point to the domain of high impacts, even without price peaks, in 2012-2013. This implies that avoiding global food crises and associated social unrest requires rapid and concerted action.

[link to www.shtfplan.com]
 Quoting: No Dhimmi

So they know if they put food prices up they can get predictable reaction?

I guarantee someone somewhere is using this to manipulate people/countries.

Also I am sure I heard that they have some king of hedge trading scheme on food prices so you will be happy to know they will be making money out of someones misery.
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 05:34 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Billxam

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01/02/2013 05:36 PM

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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Come on, I'm still getting over the last failed doom.

Oh, what the hell, doom on.

5a

Wait a minute, this is doom from 2011!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Thread: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013

Last Edited by Billxam, MAGA+, ABATE, AWHA on 01/02/2013 05:42 PM
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Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 05:37 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Great, another Gerald Celente.
Don'tBeAfraid

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01/02/2013 05:39 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30983109


I hope everyone tries to find and watch Amerika. It's one of the most chilling miniseries, at least for me to watch about a Soviet takeover of the USA. It made a big impact on me when I first saw it in 1987.
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

While there were some critics who didn't care for it, no doubt because of the controversy, I found it compelling.

Last Edited by Don'tBeAfraid on 01/02/2013 05:41 PM
Uncle Alyosha

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01/02/2013 05:39 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
I had a second well drilled and installed a hand pump to assure water during power outages.
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


Hey, I was thinking about doing that, but I'm having a hard time finding someone who has experience with hand pump wells, especially if the well is deep. Do you have any info or a link about what kind of pump to use so I can pass this on to a well driller?
Best Wishes,
Uncle Alyosha

And here's a GLP-appropriate Bible verse (atheists may read, too):

God chose what is foolish in the world to shame the wise, God chose what is weak in the world to shame the strong.

- 1 Corinthians 1:27
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 05:48 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30983109


I hope everyone tries to find and watch Amerika. It's one of the most chilling miniseries, at least for me to watch about a Soviet takeover of the USA. It made a big impact on me when I first saw it in 1987.
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

While there were some critics who didn't care for it, no doubt because of the controversy, I found it compelling.
 Quoting: Don'tBeAfraid


It's on youtube for free. Watching it now. :}
Anonymous Coward
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01/02/2013 06:05 PM
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Re: Complexity Theorists Predict Food Crisis, Riots and Civil Unrest By April 2013
Forecasting isn’t an exact science, but researches at the New England Complex Systems Institute may have come up with a formulaic approach that can help them to identify risk factors that contribute to political instability which may lead to riots and civil unrest similar to what we saw in the Middle East this year.

Their model is so accurate that they reportedly wrote a letter to the United States warning of imminent danger just days before the mid east and north African riots broke out:

On 13 December last year, the group wrote to the US government pointing out that global food prices were about to cross the threshold they had identified. Four days later, Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in Tunisia in protest at government policies, an event that triggered a wave of social unrest that continues to spread throughout the middle east today.

The underlying trend of increasing prices will reach the threshold of instability in July 2012, if we consider current prices, and April 2013 if we correct prices for reported ination.


We extrapolate these trends and identify a crossing point to the domain of high impacts, even without price peaks, in 2012-2013. This implies that avoiding global food crises and associated social unrest requires rapid and concerted action.

[link to www.shtfplan.com]
 Quoting: No Dhimmi


NOW,it's my turn to call them: LUNATICS!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 25024030


Da maneira que isto está no teu país dentro em breve se calhar o lunatico vais ser tu...





GLP