Well, godzilla, on glp, war and total destruction is always a couple of hours away.

Everybody seems to have "secret" connections to "sources" in Israel, and those others have "secret" knowledge and understanding of the bible verses and gods ways.

The merger of these two, results in situations, where a minor event provokes a tornado running through this thread, where the "I told you so" crowds mergers with the "doom is great" crowd in one big orgasm.

The truth is different, and accessible with a basic understanding of things, people, places and events.

I will repost my thread a couple of pages ago, which didn't get any feedback, because it doesn't really fit into the "common mood":

Here it is anyways:
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Well, doomy mood is again rising, lets check the facts:

Assad is on the winning side, Aleppo is the next syrian graveyard, and iranian / irakian / hisbollah involvment is changing the war luck of the lion of damaskus.
We still fund the sunnies, more or less extremists from Quatar to the al quaeda spectrum.

BUT, some things changed:
1) The great US / Russia divide, being intensified by the snowden "incident".
2) The build up by the shiites to open the golan front, in one form or another
3) Egypt is on the brink.
4) Apparantly russia getting their peers out of Syria

The question now are the following:
1) Is the US or an alliance US/GB and some sunni moslem kingdoms changing the level of engagement in Syria ?

--> I don't believe that Obama is going to get involved in Syria, not with only 400 troops in Jordan and not without a consent at home and certainly not without a public campaign to get the americans behing the flag. Even dumb Bush and his minions constructed a public opinion to justify his attack on Irak.

2) Is Assad going to open a "Golan front", thus declaring and entering into a hot war with Israel ?

--> Certainly not ! Everything is fine for Assad, arms, munitions, troops are pouring into the country, for the first time since the terrorists attacked, it looks like he is actually winning, he probably is carving out a shiite/allawite syria for him.

3) Does Israel has any interest into getting involved in Syria ?

--> Not at all. Either outcome is bad. Either there are the shiites under Assad, or the sunni extremists under al quaeda.
Best outcome would be a syrian split up and infighting. It looks like this scenario is the more likely.
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So up until now, there is no need for a doomy mood, true, the dance is on a razors edge, but states and organizations tend to take decisions to stabilize a situation and not to add risk to its environment.
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