WTF !! - ASTEROID Impact With EARTH 02.15.2013 ?? - Is This The End ??

it hit the keyhole.

"It's not going to impact earth"

How could this possibly be the end? lol... Dig deeper.

Condition code 4 holds no guarantees folks.

MPC "U" parameter: orbit uncertainty estimate 0-9, with 0 being good, and 9 being highly uncertain

[link to ssd.jpl.nasa.gov]

Of course it doesn't mean it will hit Earth, it also means it might



Life is risky.

:wrtywrtywrtywrty:

1979 XB. Wasn't going to mention it until I make a video about it for a new thread, but might as well give some info:
[link to minorplanetcenter.net]
There are three large lost near earth asteroids out there, this is the only one classified as potentially hazardous. There were only 18 observations made of it from December 11th to December 15th 1979:
[link to www.minorplanetcenter.net]
That's why it's lost; we didn't get enough observations to firmly establish the orbit. Today amateurs would be able to easily contribute observations of an asteroid that size in order to refine the orbit, but back then the technology in amateur hands was much more limited. Magnitude 16 is extremely hard to see in an eyepiece and film back then was slow and suffered from reciprocity failure, but it's easily handled by today's CCD imagers in a matter of seconds.

No, it does not mean it might, it means more observations are needed to refine the orbit for long term tracking. You MUST do a more thorough analysis to know if an impact is possible for any given encounter though. When you do that analysis you find that it isn't a possibility for this encounter:


Last Edited by Astromut on 01/04/2013 02:41 PM

Here you go:

Where did the meteor go ,bet it was the gypsies again bloody nick anything not tied down

i just realized something, what happened to the GLP observatory?

you r just a bunch of retards...even if this shit impact earth the only damages that thing could do its a litle crater like farting in the sand.....

Astro, you said "that it isn't a possibility for this encounter."

Ok, what about later encounters? Or does there need to be further observations of this to clarify?

Last I heard the software was getting an overhaul to include chat functionality. They're also trying to create the code necessary to run the main telescope remotely; driver support is nil.

Sorry, evidently you forgot about taxes!!!

oh i see. thank you for the update.

But by then i will be 63 and too old to do anything ,panic sex would be outa the question too ,can't they make it a bit earlier ,while i'm young enough too handle this kinda thing

fuck off shill

There's a very low chance it could hit us at some point in the future, no sooner than 2026 (about 1 in 23,000 for that encounter). We still need more observations of the asteroid to refine the orbit in order to determine where it will actually end up that far into the future, which is why these future possibilities still exist. We'll get lots more data during this SAFE encounter which will probably lead to us being able to rule out impacts until much farther in the future, maybe altogether as happened recently with 2011 AG5 which had a MUCH better chance of hitting us later on.

Last Edited by Astromut on 01/04/2013 03:04 PM

that's not very big

Sorry, correction, 2026 not 2027. You'll be 62, still plenty young ;)

After this encounter we'll probably be able to rule out 2026 though.

Yay !!!!! Cheers Dr Astro

Who cares? December 21st doom failed in spectacular fashion, GLP needs new DOOOM to latch onto!!!!!!

if if if ... to many ifs (from self-proclaimed "doctor")

Now imagine for a moment this domino effect and when all this trash start to fall from the sky - uncontrolled!?!
Orbit is overcrowded with all kind of (dangerous) satellites anyway.

But one satellite and asteroid would be more than enough if fall to any city, in any occasion.

cheers

Look at Meteor crater in Arizona, what caused that was about the same size as this one.

The risk is not the asteroid hitting us, nor is satellite debris a risk to us on the ground, it's a risk to other geostationary satellites. It wouldn't deorbit for millenia, which simply compounds the problem for geostationary sats.

TV guy also said earth has a diameter of 88,000 miles, when rounded up. he was only off by about 80,000 miles. but maybe he was just getting excited.

The big hole in the ground -- 570 feet deep and 4,100 feet (1.25 kilometers) across -- was blown into existence 50,000 years ago by an asteroid roughly 130 feet (40 meters) wide.

[link to i.space.com]