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58% for an X Class Solar Flare

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 27250682
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01/09/2013 02:02 AM
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58% for an X Class Solar Flare
Here is the link. [link to spaceweather.inf.brad.ac.uk]
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 02:09 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
alien11
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 27250682
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01/09/2013 02:09 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
Bump...

This is the highest I have seen in over 6 months.
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 02:12 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
but overall flare chance 39%... do the math very small chance.
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 02:13 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
thanks for the link will keep an eye in it.
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/09/2013 02:15 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
but overall flare chance 39%... do the math very small chance.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26293126


There are flares everyday... It could be argued that number should be 100% right...
Anonymous Coward (OP)
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01/09/2013 02:27 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
bump
Just the facts!

User ID: 31758686
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01/09/2013 02:59 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!
"When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable must be the truth"
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 07:43 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
Tin foil hat on!
abeliever

User ID: 17868616
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01/09/2013 07:48 AM

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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
Tomato plants are shaking with fear....




:sun explosion:
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 07:51 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!
 Quoting: Just the facts!


Hope so, those fuckers are huge! If they fire off a flare, that CME will be so freaking large.
Bill101

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01/09/2013 07:56 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
but overall flare chance 39%... do the math very small chance.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 26293126


There are flares everyday... It could be argued that number should be 100% right...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27250682



When the OP says 39% - 58%

he/she is talking about the percentage of a flare going off in the direction of the Earth


those percentages are very high for X-flares
Bill101

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01/09/2013 07:58 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!
 Quoting: Just the facts!


they have already turned the limb....

and they are 4 times the size of the average sunspot
[link to spaceweather.com]
Bill101

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01/09/2013 07:59 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!
 Quoting: Just the facts!


they have already turned the limb....

and they are 4 times the size of the average sunspot
[link to spaceweather.com]
 Quoting: Bill101


4 x Earth size is what I meant to say....

A very large sunspot is emerging over the sun's eastern limb. Numbered AR1654, it consists of two dark cores each 4 or more times wider than Earth
eddy

User ID: 21052064
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01/09/2013 08:04 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
I went to the site, and it reports 35% of M class flare. I may be looking at it crosseyed. Hope not.
The sun sur is covered with spots, first time I have seen it like this in a long time, but as a previous poster said; the spots seem to go dormant when turning earth side. Any ideas why?
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 08:05 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
I think we need to get back to basics.

I am ready, are you?
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 08:06 AM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
:carrington9393a:

Its a nice looking sunspot, but it gets a lot bigger lukin
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 10:17 PM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
anymore info I went to link but well im no scientist lol.
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 10:22 PM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
:littlesunguy2222:
#Geomagnetic_Storm#
"Amateur Meteorologist"

User ID: 26012302
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01/09/2013 10:28 PM

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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!
 Quoting: Just the facts!


Showing a lot of growth today.
Waterbug

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01/09/2013 10:41 PM

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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
[link to bass2000.obspm.fr]
Waterbug

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01/09/2013 10:42 PM

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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
[link to bass2000.obspm.fr]
Waterbug

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01/09/2013 10:45 PM

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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 10:45 PM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 26293126
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01/09/2013 10:46 PM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
thanks for pics. I just feel off... like anticipation.. but why.wtf
Anonymous Coward
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01/09/2013 10:57 PM
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Re: 58% for an X Class Solar Flare
The sun does look really active.
 Quoting: FC69


no matter what it looks, it won't do much to us other than beautiful aurora

5a5a

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