58% for an X Class Solar Flare

Bump...

This is the highest I have seen in over 6 months.

but overall flare chance 39%... do the math very small chance.

thanks for the link will keep an eye in it.

There are flares everyday... It could be argued that number should be 100% right...

It'll never happen...watch them decay as soon as they turn the limb!

Tin foil hat on!

Tomato plants are shaking with fear....




:sun explosion:

Hope so, those fuckers are huge! If they fire off a flare, that CME will be so freaking large.

When the OP says 39% - 58%

he/she is talking about the percentage of a flare going off in the direction of the Earth


those percentages are very high for X-flares

they have already turned the limb....

and they are 4 times the size of the average sunspot
[link to spaceweather.com]

4 x Earth size is what I meant to say....

A very large sunspot is emerging over the sun's eastern limb. Numbered AR1654, it consists of two dark cores each 4 or more times wider than Earth

I went to the site, and it reports 35% of M class flare. I may be looking at it crosseyed. Hope not.
The sun sur is covered with spots, first time I have seen it like this in a long time, but as a previous poster said; the spots seem to go dormant when turning earth side. Any ideas why?

I think we need to get back to basics.

I am ready, are you?

:carrington9393a:

Its a nice looking sunspot, but it gets a lot bigger lukin

anymore info I went to link but well im no scientist lol.

:littlesunguy2222:

Showing a lot of growth today.

[link to bass2000.obspm.fr]

[link to bass2000.obspm.fr]

[link to sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov]

thanks for pics. I just feel off... like anticipation.. but why.

no matter what it looks, it won't do much to us other than beautiful aurora