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Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!

 
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Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February
By Andrew at 4:44 PM

The Bering Sea is giving good indications that a strong storm may hit the nation in early February.

The above image depicts surface pressure forecast values for Hour 96, roughly the morning of January 16th. The Ocean Prediction Center (OPC), which produced this image, believes this storm system will become unusually strong and reach a minimum pressure reading of 944 millibars. Thanks to the dedicated folks over on the AccuWeather Forums, it has been determined that, when there is a strong storm in the Bering Sea, another strong storm system hits the nation about 18-21 days later.

If we take the date of January 16 and move it out 18 to 21 days, we reach the timeframe of February 3 to February 6th. This is indeed the timeframe I am thinking has potential to hold a rather strong storm for the nation. Considering the polar vortex should be pressing southward and potentially a positive PNA with favorable MJO stages, it would not surprise me to see this system take a track more tuned towards the East Coast- ONLY if a negative NAO is in place. If not, expect a more Ohio Valley/Midwest track.

The potential is there, the strength still has to be determined however. I do not know if any areas will get any precipitation, so please do not ask.

Andrew [link to theweathercentre.blogspot.de]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
RyanMaueRyan Maue 12 h


Enhanced water vapor image of 940 mb warm seclusion: extreme drying as air descends into cyclone core [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Disturbance out of Pac NW dives thru Montana along front-range, brings the polar express along. GFS 18z: +120 hrs [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@TropicalTidbits cyclone phase space one of most extreme, I will save all the forecast grids for a WRF 4-km simulation [link to moe.met.fsu.edu]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
5a

bump
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@TropicalTidbits ...and what a difference 6-hours makes: GFS 18z init of 946 mb [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

wow what a euro run. arctic attacks and then it leaves us with this on day 10 [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Up to date 12z analysis from NCEP CFSv2 shows powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb, lots of isobars. [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Going either to W coast of US or Arctic, well over 100 mb surface pressure difference currently over N. Pacific w/storm [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
[link to synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
[link to fbcdn-sphotos-f-a.akamaihd.net]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

.@afreedma the 220+ knot jet at 250-hPa was also near the top-end of possible jet stream speeds in West Pac. [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

After potent Pacific bomb few days ago, no surprise downstream Atlantic a 933 mb low bombs near tip Greenland +84hrs [link to twitter.com]
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Re: Strong Storm May Strike US in Early February!!! Powerful Pacific extratropical cyclone at 937 mb!!!

Ian Fergusson‏@fergieweather

"@Schafernaker: Blizzard definition: doesn't just mean heavy snow. Wind must also blow around 30mph, severe drifting occurs & vis 200m."

1 hIan Fergusson‏@fergieweather

"@metofficestorms: News Release: Met Office warns of snow disruption [link to ow.ly] "





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