Re: Mon Forecast and Models - January 2013

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In fact, even two days there is still significant differences in the models. The ECMWF gives much wind, but a more normal situation we're used to, not so much digging depression or defining a core as well. The GFS and others (GEM, UKMO, etc.) show a more severe and longer inspires additional care. I believe that the runs of 12z there will be a convergence but whatever the result in these cases there is a degree of unpredictability enormous, so that great care is required.

As for curling, and doing analysis for the most burdensome case shown by the models: The explosive cyclogenesis begins at sea, but much of their caving occurs very close to the mainland or on land already. As such, area and time of action of the wind on the sea surface will be less. Nevertheless, it is expected positions 6/7 meters in the West Coast, which may be aggravated by storm surge (level rises from sea water by sudden lowering of the atmospheric pressure and stacking of water on the shore by the action of the wind). Like any ripple is generated by local wind, have low period and therefore it is advisable that midsize vessels are in port harbor. [link to www.meteopt.com]