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989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb

 
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 02:35 PM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Luisport, that looks a little far south.

Personally, I think it is going to be a little more northern biased. But close enough for some..
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01/29/2013 02:38 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
More bsflag from Luisport no doubt.

What happened to the devastating superstorm we're supposed to be having in the UK right now?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22867608


This isnt bullshit

go look for yourself...

[link to www.wunderground.com]

as far as your storm...

I dont know anything about it...

but if it was a no show... I'd imagine the storm didnt want to associate its self with brits and decided to avoid you altogether.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:39 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Weather Underground‏@wunderground

Thunderstorms lining up from Texas to Illinois. Radar: [link to wxug.us]

1 hWeather Underground‏@wunderground

Huge dew point diffs ahead and behind front. Dew pts in 60s ahead...30s behind front. [link to wxug.us]
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01/29/2013 02:40 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

A severe storm downed a large tree onto a road in Jefferson City, MO. Check out the latest radar: [link to ow.ly]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:41 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
[link to synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:42 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
 Quoting: Luisport


hiding this is massive!
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:43 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
121 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHEASTERN CALLAWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
NORTHERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 200 PM CST

* AT 120 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR AUXVASSE...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR TREE DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER
BROKEN.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MEXICO...MARTINSBURG...LADDONIA...FARBER...VANDIVE R...BENTON CITY
AND RUSH HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3932 9159 3913 9146 3894 9193 3909 9202
TIME...MOT...LOC 1921Z 236DEG 31KT 3904 9186

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

KANOFSKY
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
TXC143-363-367-291945-
/O.NEW.KFWD.SV.W.0004.130129T1915Z-130129T1945Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
115 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN ERATH COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN PALO PINTO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WESTERN PARKER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 145 PM CST

* AT 115 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF HUCKABAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GORDON AROUND 120 PM...
MINERAL WELLS AROUND 140 PM...
COOL AND MINERAL WELLS STATE PARK AROUND 145 PM...

THIS WILL IMPACT I-20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 360 AND 396.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND
STAY INSIDE...AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

&&

LAT...LON 3301 9806 3275 9774 3256 9801 3256 9806
3251 9807 3230 9836 3240 9848 3247 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 222DEG 60KT 3243 9836

$$
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:44 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0072
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0119 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN OK AND NWRN AR NNEWD INTO CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 6...9...

VALID 291919Z - 292015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 6...9...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR SVR WINDS AND TORNADOES CONTINUES ACROSS
TORNADO WATCHES 6 AND 9.

DISCUSSION...SGF WSR-88D DATA DEPICT SHALLOW MESOVORTICES EVOLVING
WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE THAT EXTENDS FROM CNTRL MO INTO NERN OK.
THESE FEATURES HAVE BECOME BETTER DEFINED AS THE LINE HAS APPROACHED
THE RDA...ALLOWING FOR BETTER SAMPLING OF LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATIONS. A
PAIR OF SUCH CIRCULATIONS IS EVIDENT IN NRN GREENE COUNTY MO...WITH
ADDITIONAL CIRCULATIONS EVIDENT TO THE NE AND SW. WITH AROUND 350
M2/S2 OF 0-1-KM SRH PER SGF VWP DATA...THESE MESOVORTICES WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THE LINE ADVANCES EWD...AND MAY BE ASSOCIATED
WITH DMGG WINDS AND TORNADOES AMIDST MARGINAL BUOYANCY. THIS COULD
BE OF INCREASING CONCERN AS THE COLD POOL ACCOMPANYING THE SQUALL
LINE OVERTAKES LEADING CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO...POTENTIALLY YIELDING AN UPTICK IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY.

..COHEN.. 01/29/2013


ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

LAT...LON 36439506 35879564 35509569 35439432 35899335 37199236
38669125 39299134 39309194 38659247 37419364 36439506
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:47 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
SevereStudios&#8207;@severestudios

RT @IrishEagle: A nice January day in Corpus Christi. Nearly 90° with a stiff wind out of the south, gusting to 43mph [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]

7 minCharlie Neese&#8207;@cneeseweather

To survive tornadoes, make sure you don't do these things: [link to DON'T_USE-THIS]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 02:59 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
AccuWeather.com&#8207;@breakingweather

Reports of quarter-sized hail with storms in Parker County, TX, just W of Dallas. [link to ow.ly]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:04 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED BY THIS EVENING...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...AND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH POSSIBLE. A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 6 PM
WEDNESDAY EVENING. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST WIND ADVISORY PRODUCT FOR
MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

A SQUALL LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRIMARY RISK FROM
THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS OF OVER 60 MPH. BRIEF TORNADOES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE SITUATIONS AS WELL...ESPECIALLY ALONG BOWING
SEGMENTS OF THE LINE OF STORMS.

SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD IMPACT NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA
SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT THE MAIN ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ALABAMA BETWEEN THE 3 AM TO 6 AM
TIME FRAME...THROUGH THE CENTER OF NORTH ALABAMA ALONG INTERSTATE 65
AND SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE BETWEEN 5 AM AND 8 AM...AND INTO
NORTHEAST ALABAMA BETWEEN 7 AM AND 10 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

EXPECT LINGERING SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO
NORTHEAST ALABAMA UNTIL MID MORNING ON WEDNESDAY ALONG AND SLIGHTLY
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES EAST THROUGH NORTH ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. EXPECT ANY LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS
TO END SHORTLY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION BY NOON.
THE MAIN WEATHER THREATS WITH THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING
WINDS OF OVER 60 MPH AND BRIEF TORNADOES.

A SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE
REGION BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE MAINLY IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. LITTLE...IF ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS ANTICIPATED EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING DUE TO THE EXPECTED
INCREASING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

$$
KTW
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. THE SQUALL LINE WILL BE OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND
SOUTHEAST BIG BEND IN THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN
ACROSS OUR GEORGIA AND BIG BEND ZONES FROM EARLY AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE. THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS
BUT A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. WINDS OVER THE MARINE
AREA WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AT ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG AREA BEACHES
WEDNESDAY. SEASONABLY COOLER AND MUCH DRIER AIR WILL ARRIVE
BEHIND THE FRONT THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:07 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
No change at 20:00z update by SPC.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

VALID 292000Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME NERN TX...NRN
LA...EXTREME SERN OK...MOST OF AR...SERN MO...SRN IL...WRN KY...WRN
TN AND NWRN MS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...TN VALLEY AND A PORTION OF
THE OH VALLEY...

...NERN TX THROUGH LOWER MS VALLEY WRN TN AND SWRN OH VALLEY...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST AS IT STILL APPEARS THAT A
SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY INTO WRN PORTIONS OF THE TN AND OH VALLEYS...ESPECIALLY THIS
EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...A
FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG AND NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND EVENTS.

SFC LOW OVER NERN OK WILL DEEPEN AND LIFT NEWD THROUGH THE MID MS
VALLEY WITHIN EXIT REGION OF STRENGTHENING UPPER JET ROUNDING THE
BASE OF THE TROUGH. INTENSE 60-70 KT LLJ WILL DEVELOP EWD THROUGH
THE LOWER MS VALLEY CONTRIBUTING TO DESTABILIZATION AS LOW-MID 60S
DEWPOINTS ARE ADVECTED NWD THROUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THE 18Z
SOUNDINGS FROM SHV AND LZK ALREADY INDICATE LOW 60S NEAR SFC
DEWPOINTS AND WEAK SFC BASED INSTABILITY...BUT WITH AN INVERSION
AROUND 700 MB. THIS INVERSION WILL LIKELY BE ELIMINATED AS THE
ATMOSPHERE COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE PROGRESSIVE TROUGH. RADAR DATA ALSO INDICATE
EVIDENCE OF A GRAVITY WAVE MOVING THROUGH ERN TX INTO THE LOWER MS
VALLEY.

SQUALL LINE FROM ERN OK THROUGH CNTRL/SWRN TX IS EXPECTED TO
INTENSIFY AS IT DEVELOPS EAST AND INTERACTS WITH THE MOIST AXIS.
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS...BOWING SEGMENTS AND MESO-VORTICES APPEAR
LIKELY WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADOES. OTHER ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LINE WITHIN THE MOISTENING
WARM SECTOR AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE INTENSIFYING LLJ ACROSS A
PORTION OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND WRN TN TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD EVOLVE INTO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH A RISK FOR
TORNADOES.

..DIAL.. 01/29/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1020 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013/

...ERN OK/TX TO THE MS AND OH VALLEYS THROUGH TONIGHT...
A LARGE-SCALE MID-UPPER TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS WILL PROGRESS
EWD OVER THE LOWER PLAINS TO THE MS VALLEY BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.
WITHIN THE LARGE TROUGH...A PRIMARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS...WITH AN ASSOCIATED 100 KT MIDLEVEL JET...WILL EJECT
ENEWD TOWARD ERN OK/NW AR/MO OVERNIGHT. LIKEWISE...AN ASSOCIATED
SURFACE CYCLONE NOW IN N CENTRAL OK WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE NEWD ACROSS
MO/IL TO LOWER MI...ALONG A PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE.
MEANWHILE...A BROAD MOIST SECTOR IS ALREADY ESTABLISHED FROM ERN
TX/OK TO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY REGION...WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S ALONG THE NW GULF COAST...TO
56-60 F FARTHER N INTO MO/IL. ADDITIONAL EWD EXPANSION OF THE MOIST
SECTOR IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE MS/TN AND LOWER OH
VALLEY REGION...IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPEN CYCLONE AND A
STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ.

WIDESPREAD CONVECTION IS ONGOING ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL OK TO NRN MO. THOUGH EXTENSIVE CLOUDS ARE
PRESENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE WARM SECTOR...CONTINUED MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE S AND MODEST SURFACE HEATING IN CLOUD BREAKS WILL
BOOST MLCAPE VALUES TO THE 1000-2000 J/KG RANGE ACROSS E TX AND SE
OK THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LESSER BUOYANCY FARTHER TO THE E AND NE.
THERE ARE ALREADY INDICATIONS THAT ADDITIONAL PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION
WILL DEVELOP FROM NE TX INTO SE OK/WRN AR AND EVENTUALLY SRN MO THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE MOIST AXIS. VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR TORNADOES AND
DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THIS CORRIDOR. FARTHER N...CONVECTION WILL
GRADUALLY EVOLVE INTO A WELL-DEVELOPED QLCS WITH AN INCREASING RISK
FOR DAMAGING WINDS LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT...WITH A
RISK OF EMBEDDED MESOVORTICES AND TORNADOES.

THE GREATEST SEVERE RISK IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING THROUGH
TONIGHT...BEGINNING AS THE PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION NEAR AND NW OF THE
ARKLATEX...AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT AS ADDITIONAL PRE-FRONTAL
CONVECTION FORMS WITHIN ONE OR MORE WARM SECTOR CONFLUENCE BANDS
NEAR THE MS RIVER. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE EXTREMELY STRONG WITHIN A
MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH AT LEAST WEAK SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY.
THOUGH MLCAPE MAY ONLY REACH 500-750 J/KG...EFFECTIVE SRH OF 500-700
M2/S2 IN ASSOCIATION WITH A 70-80 KT LLJ WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WITH FAST-MOVING PRE-FRONTAL
SUPERCELLS...AS WELL AS CIRCULATIONS EMBEDDED WITHIN WHAT WILL
BECOME A WELL-FORMED SQUALL LINE. WIDESPREAD AND SIGNIFICANT
DAMAGING WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS FAR NE AS THE LOWER OH
VALLEY...WHERE 80+ KT FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL COINCIDE WITH
AT LEAST WEAK SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY THROUGH MOST OF THE NIGHT.

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
[link to oi48.tinypic.com]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:09 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
by the way, Hawaii under bad weather alert: [link to i.imgur.com]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:12 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
SevereStudios&#8207;@severestudios

RT @TWCBreaking: Joplin, MO has been cleared from the #tornado watch - and we couldn't be happier. #mowx
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
TORNADO WATCH 7 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS

FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ANTLERS...CHARLESTON...CLAYTON...
FORT SMITH...HUGO...MCALESTER...OZARK...POTEAU...
STIGLER AND WILBURTON.

$$
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 03:16 PM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
-________- ...... that is all... Nothing worse than a typical event during spring/summer months..and occasionally in jan/feb. why does everyone blow things out of proportion.. sure there will be severe storms, a few tornadoes, but seriously?! a hurricane.. -____-, I'm sorry but a hurricane is a warm core body forming over the water with tropical characteristics , not a deepening cold low pressure system hitting a warm mass surging from the gulf like what we are seeing and what we always see with these severe outbreaks.. sure people should prepare.. but to say all that in the title is ridiculous and causes people to panic...
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Tuesday, January 29, 2013Special Morning Update - January 29 Severe Weather Event
By Andrew at 6:27 AM

Today is the big day. We are seeing the Storm Prediction Center maintain a Moderate Risk call for severe weather through much of Arkansas into extreme southern Missouri, extreme northern Louisiana and a very small portion of northwest Mississippi. A slight risk exists across the Plains, Midwest and Gulf Coast.

On a side note, I am maintaining my Storm Action Day call and will not upgrade to a Critical Storm Action Day unless the environment becomes more favorable for such a call.

A tornado watch has already been issued for much of Oklahoma and a few counties in northern Texas. This comes as a result of thunderstorms firing in Oklahoma, extending back through Texas. I anticipate these storms to continue strengthening along the nocturnal lower level jet stream, already feeding on the tight pressure gradient known as a dryline, which does go right up against these thunderstorms. By the looks of them, the tornado threat is highest right now, as the storms are not yet linear and are more individualized. The threat is lower in southeast Kansas and northern Texas, where there are no watches yet. Oklahoma City could be hit by some individual storm cells in coming hours as this not-yet-linear complex of cells moves east.

My main concern at the moment is extreme damaging winds. The above forecast shows wind speeds for 9 PM Central time, with wind speeds just a few thousand feet above the ground. My worry is that these winds will be provoked to move down towards the surface as the storms begin to take on a more linear shape and evolve into a squall line. When this does happen, the risk of tornadoes drops considerably and the threat for damaging winds skyrockets. Looking at the map, we would be seeing lower level winds above 72 knots in parts of the Moderate Risk area, something that could easily provoke extreme damaging winds.

I will provide updates as often as possible throughout the day, and will do another afternoon update later on in the day.

Heed all National Weather Service watches and warnings, and be prepared to seek shelter if you are in the path of these storms.

Andrew [link to theweathercentre.blogspot.de]
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-________- ...... that is all... Nothing worse than a typical event during spring/summer months..and occasionally in jan/feb. why does everyone blow things out of proportion.. sure there will be severe storms, a few tornadoes, but seriously?! a hurricane.. -____-, I'm sorry but a hurricane is a warm core body forming over the water with tropical characteristics , not a deepening cold low pressure system hitting a warm mass surging from the gulf like what we are seeing and what we always see with these severe outbreaks.. sure people should prepare.. but to say all that in the title is ridiculous and causes people to panic...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4582718


hurricane force... don't have space to the word "force"
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
The Weather Channel&#8207;@weatherchannel

While a severe outbreak takes shape, Winter Storm #Magnus will spread snow from the Plains to the Great Lakes: [link to wxch.nl]
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
255 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

DCZ001-MDZ007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>055-057- 300400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.CF.A.0001.130130T1900Z-130131T1100Z/
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-HARFORD-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-
ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-CALVERT-
PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-KING GEORGE-
255 PM EST TUE JAN 29 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* TIDAL ANOMALY...POTENTIALLY 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

* TIMING...NEAR HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

* EXPECTED IMPACTS...POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE SHORELINE INUNDATION.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT FOR A FEW LOCATIONS
FROM NORTH TO SOUTH...
ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...
HAVRE DE GRACE...11:51 PM...
BOWLEY BAR...9:46...
FORT MCHENRY BALTIMORE...8:55 PM...
ANNAPOLIS U.S. NAVAL ACADEMY...7:27 PM...
CHESAPEAKE BEACH...6:08 PM...
SOLOMONS ISLAND...4:14 PM...
POINT LOOKOUT...3:27 PM...

NOW ALONG THE POTOMAC RIVER...
WASHINGTON CHANNEL...10:12 PM...
ALEXANDRIA...10:30 PM...
INDIAN HEAD...9:58 PM...
AQUIA CREEK...8:44 PM...
GOOSE BAY...6:04 PM...
COLTON POINT...4:54 PM...
PINEY POINT...4:18 PM...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 03:21 PM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
-________- ...... that is all... Nothing worse than a typical event during spring/summer months..and occasionally in jan/feb. why does everyone blow things out of proportion.. sure there will be severe storms, a few tornadoes, but seriously?! a hurricane.. -____-, I'm sorry but a hurricane is a warm core body forming over the water with tropical characteristics , not a deepening cold low pressure system hitting a warm mass surging from the gulf like what we are seeing and what we always see with these severe outbreaks.. sure people should prepare.. but to say all that in the title is ridiculous and causes people to panic...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4582718


hurricane force... don't have space to the word "force"
 Quoting: Luisport


Okay, makes more sense then, sorry about the confusion. There definitely will be hurricane force winds within the squall line formation later on tonight, thanks for the clarification.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:21 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
From the Fort Worth WFO:


* AT 156 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF COTTONDALE
TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF POOLVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.


THAT is FAST.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:22 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
-________- ...... that is all... Nothing worse than a typical event during spring/summer months..and occasionally in jan/feb. why does everyone blow things out of proportion.. sure there will be severe storms, a few tornadoes, but seriously?! a hurricane.. -____-, I'm sorry but a hurricane is a warm core body forming over the water with tropical characteristics , not a deepening cold low pressure system hitting a warm mass surging from the gulf like what we are seeing and what we always see with these severe outbreaks.. sure people should prepare.. but to say all that in the title is ridiculous and causes people to panic...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4582718


hurricane force... don't have space to the word "force"
 Quoting: Luisport


Okay, makes more sense then, sorry about the confusion. There definitely will be hurricane force winds within the squall line formation later on tonight, thanks for the clarification.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 4582718


and don't forget the 989 mb low over Chicago!
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 03:24 PM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
It's 72 degrees right here in my area now where I live. and tomorrow they are just calling for windy conditions, rain and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:26 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
stay safe out there folks.............SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
208 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

ILC149-MOC113-139-163-292030-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130129T2030Z/
PIKE IL-LINCOLN MO-MONTGOMERY MO-PIKE MO-
208 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
PIKE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND NORTHERN MONTGOMERY AND
NORTHWESTERN LINCOLN COUNTIES IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AND PIKE
COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI UNTIL 230 PM CST...

AT 206 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BOWLING
GREEN...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...MINOR TREE DAMAGE...WITH LIMBS UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER
BROKEN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOUISIANA...EOLIA...PIKE...CLARKSVILLE...ATLAS... ASHBURN...
PAYNESVILLE...ANNADA AND ROCKPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3963 9103 3940 9088 3940 9093 3939 9093
3934 9084 3922 9076 3907 9130 3924 9138
3944 9140
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 238DEG 58KT 3933 9113

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60 MPH

$$

KANOFSKY
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01/29/2013 03:27 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

THE POTENTIAL FOR AN OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
INCREASING ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS INCLUDED ALL OF WESTERN KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND MOST OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA IN A
MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

THE TIME FRAME FOR THE GREATEST THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS FROM 6
PM TO MIDNIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.
ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...THE POTENTIAL IS GREATEST FROM 9 PM TO 4 AM.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
THE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING HOURS. IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO THE
AREA. THE CLASH OF THESE TWO AIR MASSES WILL RESULT IN SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD PRODUCE
SOME MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY... WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BRING
MUCH COLDER AIR FOR LATE IN THE WEEK. HIGHS WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
LOWER 30S ON FRIDAY...WITH LOWS IN THE TEENS AND 20S.

STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THIS POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION.

$$

MY
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:28 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0073
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0215 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...SERN OK...WRN AR

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 7...

VALID 292015Z - 292215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 7 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES
ACROSS THE REGION.

DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER E-CNTRL
OK...IN A REGION OF STRONG LOW LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION JUST AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONT. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS PERSIST OVER ERN OK AND
WRN AR BUT FEW HAVE BEEN ABLE TO ORGANIZE INTO SEVERE
STORMS...MAINLY DUE TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...WIND SHEAR
REMAINS INTENSE...AND SLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN AN INFLUX OF MOIST AND
SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR INTO THE AREA AS POCKETS OF HEATING ARE
OCCURRING UPSTREAM ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR. SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS
ARE CURRENTLY MAXIMIZED ACROSS ERN OK AND AR...AND RADAR DOES SHOW A
FEW STRONGER STORMS OVER ERN OK WHICH MAY DEVELOP INTO A DAMAGING
WIND OR TORNADO THREAT WITH TIME.

LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THE COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BRING MORE
STORMS...WITH MAINLY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT BUT EMBEDDED
CIRCULATIONS MAY EXIST ALONG THE LINE.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 01/29/2013


ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 32439403 32459684 34439659 35379572 35359361 32439403
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:29 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1152 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE...

.A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY
WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. THE STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEST TO
EAST TODAY...AND CONTINUE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY.
FREQUENT GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL OCCUR. EVEN HIGHER GUSTS OVER 45
MPH CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS THE STRONG COLD FRONT AND STORMS
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

TREE LIMBS WILL LIKELY BE DOWNED AND LOOSE OBJECTS SUCH AS
GARBAGE CANS WILL BE BLOWN AROUND. ENTIRE TREES MAY BE BLOWN DOWN
AND POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR. ALSO...THE WINDS WILL CREATE
DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 03:32 PM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
[link to www.crh.noaa.gov]

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