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989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb

 
wing-ed

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01/29/2013 07:46 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Jan. 29th 6:45 am and 60 degrees in the Quad Cities ! WOW !! That's about 1 hour west of Chicago !!
Holy, holy,holy, Lord God Almighty, which was, and is, and is to come.Praise the one who gives you peace beyond all understanding Yes that scripture still sounds good !
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 07:50 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
36 hours..the time to prepare is NOW folks.... [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
 Quoting: Luisport


siren2siren2siren2
 Quoting: Luisport


Hi friend

Missed this one. Serious???

hf
 Quoting: Limpan


yes, today and tomorrow will be nasty!
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 07:54 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

RT @nwsgrandrapids: Rainfall in excess of 1.00" this morning in some locations with more on the way!
Wise One

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01/29/2013 07:57 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Jan. 29th 6:45 am and 60 degrees in the Quad Cities ! WOW !! That's about 1 hour west of Chicago !!
 Quoting: wing-ed


30 miles south of Cleveland here. 46 w/ rain today.
Tomorrow near 60 and rain. Crazy winter so far last week this time, 4 c wind chill - 12 .
hapless moran

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01/29/2013 08:00 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Amazing thunderstorm at 1:20 AM this morning in SE Wisconsin. Totally unseasonal,high today is 56,30 degrees higher than normal,then the plunge begins and it will be a high of 14 on Thursday.
free your inner baboon.
Goofy for God
Do everything with love

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01/29/2013 08:01 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
hugsthanks for keeping us posted
Proverbs 15:1
A soft answer turns away wrath, But a harsh word stirs up anger.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:03 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
hugsthanks for keeping us posted
 Quoting: Goofy for God


hearts
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:05 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Dangerous weather situation unfolding in Oklahoma. Radar and updates: [link to ow.ly]
Sartrue

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01/29/2013 08:11 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
I remember the storm in 78. The snow drifts were higher than houses. I rode my horse all over town, it was fun. No school for a week.
My uncle was plowing the roads and hit a parked car that was buried. duh ... his plow truck was totaled
Sartrue
DoorBert

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01/29/2013 08:12 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Need to keep an eye on Dallas in a few hours.

Have moderate Significant Tornado Potential developing ahead of the squall line forming in Mid TX.

Looks like the squall line will time with the STP area as it advances west and likely hit Dallas at peak instability.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Lots of juicy air streaming up from the GOM with LI currently at -7 and capped.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Keeping an eye on VIS satellite to watch for cloud cover over the area. If little or no cloud cover, daytime heating of the ground could make this an explosive event.

Stay tuned.

Last Edited by DoorBert on 01/29/2013 08:22 AM
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:15 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Need to keep an eye on Dallas in a few hours.

Have moderate Significant Tornado Index developing ahead of the squall line forming in Mid TX.

Looks like the squall line will time with the STI area as it advances west and likely hit Dallas at peak instability.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Lots of juicy air streaming up from the GOM with LI currently at -7 and capped.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Keeping an eye on VIS satellite to watch for cloud cover over the area. If little or no cloud cover, daytime heating of the ground could make this an explosive event.

Stay tuned.
 Quoting: DoorBert


My dear good friend, how are you? Good to see you here!hf
DoorBert

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01/29/2013 08:17 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Need to keep an eye on Dallas in a few hours.

Have moderate Significant Tornado Index developing ahead of the squall line forming in Mid TX.

Looks like the squall line will time with the STI area as it advances west and likely hit Dallas at peak instability.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Lots of juicy air streaming up from the GOM with LI currently at -7 and capped.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

Keeping an eye on VIS satellite to watch for cloud cover over the area. If little or no cloud cover, daytime heating of the ground could make this an explosive event.

Stay tuned.
 Quoting: DoorBert


My dear good friend, how are you? Good to see you here!hf
 Quoting: Luisport


Doing well Luis - thanks.

How are you my friend?
DoorBert

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01/29/2013 08:18 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
For this time of year, not too bad of a Hodo currently at Dallas.

[link to www.twisterdata.com]
Anonymous Coward
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01/29/2013 08:19 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Seems like Mother Earth is trying to regulate all the weather modification going on. She is purging
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:23 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb


My dear good friend, how are you? Good to see you here!hf


Doing well Luis - thanks.

How are you my friend?


I'm fine... a sunny and wonderfull day here! The country allready recovered from the ciclone!hf
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:25 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
 Quoting: Tiny Trink
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:28 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
370. weathermanwannabe01:17 PM GMT em 29 de Janeiro de 2013

Good Morning Folks. All eyes turning to pending weather in the Mid-West today and further East tomorrow courtesy of the front and warm flow from the Gulf. Here is a portion of the am SPC discussion on the set-up in the Mid-West today.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

A MOIST AIR MASS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS IS SUPPORTING AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG EXTENDING FROM NORTH TX INTO CENTRAL OK...ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRY LINE. STRONG HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING EWD WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ENEWD THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS HAS SUPPORTED THE ONSET OF STRONG TO SEVERE ORGANIZED STORMS PRIOR TO THE START OF DAY 1 OVER WRN OK. THIS INCREASE IN DEEP LAYER ASCENT IS ALSO EVIDENT FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST JUST AHEAD OF THE POLAR FRONT IN NRN OK TO SERN KS AND SWRN MO WHERE STORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SINCE 10-11Z. THE TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES AND SLIGHT RISK AREA HAVE BEEN EXTENDED WWD TO INCLUDE MORE OF NORTHWEST TX...WRN AND NRN OK INTO ERN KS. THIS CHANGE IS DUE TO THE ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY WITH SWD AND NEWD EXTENT ALONG THE DRY LINE AND POLAR FRONT...RESPECTIVELY.


Starting to wonder if we might see a Derecho type line later today as daytime heating increases in the afternoon in the warm sector.
[link to www.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:29 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
371. ILwthrfan01:18 PM GMT em 29 de Janeiro de 2013

Temperatures already in the low 60's across much of Central Illinois. We are already at or within record highs for the day at 7am EST. Absolutely unreal.

Decatur, IL low temperature last night of 58 F.
Currently 61 F.

I would not at all be surprised if SPC issued a high risk today if the sun can get out and add to the instability from the Arkansas to Southern Illinois.

They have already expanded the tornado outlook from the previous advisory. This is rapidly becoming a dangerous situation.

[link to www.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:34 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

First #tornado watch today just issued for parts of OK, northwest TX until 12p CT. Track the #severe threat here: [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:35 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

New tornado watch until 3pm CST for parts of OK,MO,KS,AR. Includes Tulsa, Joplin, Springfield. Interactive radar: [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:37 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
406 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT INTO
EARLY WEDNESDAY...

.SHORT TERM...FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOLID AGREEMENT ON
THE OVERALL SETUP FOR THE EVENT (OUTBREAK) AND CONTINUE TO CONVERGE
ON TIMING AS KEY FEATURES EVOLVE ACROSS THE AREA. OPTED TO USE THE
OUTBREAK WORDING AS THIS EVENT WILL COVER A GOOD PART OF THE NEARBY
REGION (MULTIPLE CWA`S) WITH OUR CWA BEING A PART OF THE MAIN EVENT.
ANOMALOUS WARMTH/MOISTURE HAVE PRIMED A LARGE PORTION OF THE CENTRAL
CONUS AHEAD OF AN IMPRESSIVE AND POTENT UPPER TROUGH. LOOK FOR ADDED
WARMTH ALONG WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED SURGE OF MOISTURE TODAY AS THE
ATMOSPHERE REALLY RESPONDS IN ADVANCE OF OUR SYSTEM FOR TONIGHT.

FOR TODAY...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE WINDS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
TIGHTEN AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.
ADDITIONALLY...VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL TAKE SHAPE AND ALLOW FOR
GOOD MIXING. THIS COMBO WILL LEAD TO WINDY/BREEZY CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVE. FOR NOW...WILL LEAVE THE GOING WIND ADV AS IS.
DEPENDING ON HOW THE GRADIENT SHARPENS AND EFFECTS OF MIXING...THE
ADV MAY HAVE TO BE EXPANDED ACROSS THE NE CWA (N OF I-20 & E OF
I-55). NOT EXPECTING PRECIP TODAY AS A STRENGTHEN CAPPING INVERSION
WILL KEEP PRECIP FROM DEVELOPING.

THE MAIN EVENT FOR OUR AREA WILL BE LATER THIS EVE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AS STRONG ASCENT AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
WILL HELP REMOVE THE CAP. ALL GUID SHOWS SUCH DEVELOPING ALONG AND
JUST AHEAD OF A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH (PSEUDO-DRY LINE). THIS FEATURE
HAS AND CONTINUES TO BE DEPICTED WELL BY ALL GUID AND IS A CLASSIC
FEATURE THAT BRINGS SIGNIFICANT SVR WX TO OUR REGION. CAN`T SAY I`VE
SEEN IT IN JANUARY THOUGH. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE WILL BE
INTENSE WIND SHEAR WITH PROGGED 0-1KM SHEAR OF 40-50KTS AND
EFFECTIVE SRH OF 400-650 M2/S2. WE USUALLY STRUGGLE TO GET ANY
INSTABILITY THIS TIME OF YEAR...MUCH LESS HAVING SOME COMBINED WITH
HIGH SHEAR. WELL...MODEL DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT 600-900 J/KG OF
MLCAPE AS LONG AS TEMPS HOLD BETWEEN 71-73 AND DEWPTS ARE 66-67.
SUCH CAPE/SHEAR COMBO SUPPORTS 0-1KM EHI VALUES OF 2 TO 3 WHICH ARE
QUITE HIGH. SUCH AN ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT A HIGHER END EVENT WITH
SIG SVR WX POSSIBLE.

WITH SUCH A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT BECOMING ESTABLISH OVERNIGHT TO
SUPPORT SVR STORMS...THE KEY ON WHAT THE AREA WILL SEE HAS TO DO
WITH STORM MODE (LINEAR OR DISCRETE CELLS). MODEL DATA IS GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THIS SHOWING A MIXED MODE...FOR AT LEAST A PART OF THE
TIME BEFORE A LINEAR MODE BECOMES DOMINATE. SOME DISCRETE ACTIVITY
LOOKS POSSIBLE BY 9 PM OVER THE NW PART OF THE CWA AHEAD OF THE
EVOLVING LINE. THESE STORMS WILL STORMS WILL QUICKLY LIFT NNE AND
POSE A TORNADO AND DMG WIND RISK. HERE SEEMS TO BE MAIN AREA TO
SUPPORT A STRONG TORNADO. AS WE APPROACH MIDNIGHT...THE LINE WILL
BECOME MORE DOMINATE AS IT EVOLVES EASTWARD. HI-RES DATA SHOWS A
LINE SEGMENT STRUCTURE OR QLCS TYPE STRUCTURES FOR THE REST OF THE
NIGHT. DUE TO THIS...TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT AND WE
CAN`T RULE OUT A STRONG ONE DURING THIS TIME AS WELL. HOWEVER...DMG
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE OF A FOCUS. DUE TO THE VERY STRONG WINDS IN
THE LOWER 5KFT...60-80 MPH TYPE WINDS MAY EASILY BE BROUGHT DOWN TO
THE SFC WITH ANY STORM. DUE TO THIS...EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD DMG
WIND EVENT ALONG WITH THE TORNADO RISK MENTIONED ABOVE. WITH ALL OF
THIS...WILL UTILIZE THE GRAPHICS TO HIGHLIGHT AN ENHANCED RISK
AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WINNSBORO TO MACON. AS
FOR AS HEAVY RAIN...NOT TOO CONCERNED AS QUICK MOVEMENT AND
EVOLUTION LOOKS TO KEEP MOST PRECIP TOTALS AROUND .5 TO 1.0 INCH.
STILL...RAINS WILL BE EFFICIENT AND SOME AREAS COULD SEE A VERY
QUICK 1 INCH.

AS FOR TIMING...WILL HAVE TO KEEP A BROAD WINDOW ACROSS THE W/NW TO
CAPTURE THE PERIOD OF PRE-LINE ACTIVITY AND THEN THE ACTUAL LINE
ITSELF. LOOK FOR AREAS WEST OF A KOSCIUSKO TO NATCHEZ LINE TO OCCUR
BETWEEN 9PM AND 3AM. FROM 2-7AM...AREAS EAST OF A NATCHEZ TO WINONA
LINE WILL SEE THE SQUALL LINE QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH.
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:40 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Lots of warned areas today..

Red boxes-Tornado Watch
Blue boxes-High Wind Advisories
Orange boxes-Fire Weather Alert
Light Green boxes-Special Weather Statement
Green boxes-Flood Watch/Flood Statement
White boxes-Winter Weather Statement

[link to www.wunderground.com]
DoorBert

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01/29/2013 08:43 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
New tornado watch until 3pm CST for parts of OK,MO,KS,AR. Includes Tulsa, Joplin, Springfield.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

[link to www.weather.com]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 01/29/2013 08:44 AM
DoorBert

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01/29/2013 08:45 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
STP values are on the rise across the southern Plains this morning.

[link to twitpic.com]
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:48 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
[link to goes.gsfc.nasa.gov]
TheSkyIsFalling

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01/29/2013 08:48 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
probably a dumb question, but are we still looking for something comparable to the '78 storm?
TheSkyIsFalling
Luisport (OP)

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01/29/2013 08:50 AM

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
probably a dumb question, but are we still looking for something comparable to the '78 storm?
 Quoting: TheSkyIsFalling


yes i think so
CICADA
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01/29/2013 08:51 AM
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY SEVERE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING:
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY...BECOMING MORE
WIDESPREAD LATER THIS AFTERNOON OVER NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND
SPREADING EAST INTO NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA
THIS EVENING. THE GREATEST THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
APPEARS TO BE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING OVER NORTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...SPREADING EAST INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND
NORTHWEST INDIANA THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION:

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY IN THE
UNSEASONABLY HUMID AND RECORD WARM AIR THAT HAS OVERSPREAD THE
AREA. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST TOWARD THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER IOWA
AND MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON...SPREADING EAST INTO THE REGION
LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...WITH SUCH EXTREMELY STRONG
WINDS ABOVE THE GROUND IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SLIGHT AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY
EVEN TORNADOES...SO THERE IS A CONDITIONAL RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY DEVELOP.

A NEARLY UNPRECEDENTED AMOUNT OF MOISTURE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
HAS SPREAD INTO THE REGION WHICH WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINFALL AND THE ACCOMPANYING RISK OF FLOODING LATER THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ACCUMULATING SNOW IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER NORTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&
Luisport (OP)

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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

You may never have seen frost like this. We call it "frost on steroids!" [link to wxch.nl]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
waaaht