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Message Subject 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Poster Handle Luisport
Post Content
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0063
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0959 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN IA...NRN IL...FAR SRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 290359Z - 290600Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...MOSTLY SMALL HAIL BUT ISOLATED HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER
SHOULD PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS WITHIN AN EXPANDING AREA OF ELEVATED
TSTMS DEVELOPING E/NEWD FROM THE I-80 CORRIDOR.

DISCUSSION...ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION AIDED BY A 55
KT LLJ ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY WILL SUPPORT PERSISTENT ELEVATED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT N OF AN ARCING WARM FRONT ALONG THE MO/IA BORDER TO
SRN IL. MUCAPE WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 6.5 C/KM PER 00Z TOP RAOB. NEVERTHELESS...SUFFICIENT
CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR DOES EXIST FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS/HART.. 01/29/2013
 
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