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Message Subject 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Poster Handle Luisport
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0063
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0959 PM CST MON JAN 28 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN IA...NRN IL...FAR SRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 290359Z - 290600Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...MOSTLY SMALL HAIL BUT ISOLATED HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER
SHOULD PERSIST NEXT FEW HOURS WITHIN AN EXPANDING AREA OF ELEVATED
TSTMS DEVELOPING E/NEWD FROM THE I-80 CORRIDOR.

DISCUSSION...ROBUST LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION AIDED BY A 55
KT LLJ ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY WILL SUPPORT PERSISTENT ELEVATED
TSTM DEVELOPMENT N OF AN ARCING WARM FRONT ALONG THE MO/IA BORDER TO
SRN IL. MUCAPE WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 6.5 C/KM PER 00Z TOP RAOB. NEVERTHELESS...SUFFICIENT
CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR DOES EXIST FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..GRAMS/HART.. 01/29/2013
 
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