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Message Subject 989 mb Explosively Developing Low over Chicago early Wed!!! TWO DEATHS CONFIRMED!!!! Compared with cleveland superbomb
Poster Handle Luisport
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370. weathermanwannabe01:17 PM GMT em 29 de Janeiro de 2013

Good Morning Folks. All eyes turning to pending weather in the Mid-West today and further East tomorrow courtesy of the front and warm flow from the Gulf. Here is a portion of the am SPC discussion on the set-up in the Mid-West today.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 AM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

A MOIST AIR MASS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS IS SUPPORTING AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE UP TO 1000 J/KG EXTENDING FROM NORTH TX INTO CENTRAL OK...ALONG AND EAST OF THE DRY LINE. STRONG HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING EWD WITH THE LONGWAVE TROUGH AND LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ENEWD THROUGH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS HAS SUPPORTED THE ONSET OF STRONG TO SEVERE ORGANIZED STORMS PRIOR TO THE START OF DAY 1 OVER WRN OK. THIS INCREASE IN DEEP LAYER ASCENT IS ALSO EVIDENT FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST JUST AHEAD OF THE POLAR FRONT IN NRN OK TO SERN KS AND SWRN MO WHERE STORMS HAVE BEEN INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY SINCE 10-11Z. THE TORNADO AND DAMAGING WIND PROBABILITIES AND SLIGHT RISK AREA HAVE BEEN EXTENDED WWD TO INCLUDE MORE OF NORTHWEST TX...WRN AND NRN OK INTO ERN KS. THIS CHANGE IS DUE TO THE ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS AND THE LIKELIHOOD FOR ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY WITH SWD AND NEWD EXTENT ALONG THE DRY LINE AND POLAR FRONT...RESPECTIVELY.


Starting to wonder if we might see a Derecho type line later today as daytime heating increases in the afternoon in the warm sector.
[link to www.wunderground.com]
 
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