MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0075
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0346 PM CST TUE JAN 29 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 8...

VALID 292146Z - 292345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 8 CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...STORMS PERSIST BUT HAVE NOT BEEN SEVERE. SOME
STRENGTHENING COULD STILL OCCUR WITH MAINLY GUSTY WINDS.

DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE SPORADICALLY JUST BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT...BUT HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO FORWARD PROPAGATE ENOUGH TO MOVE
OFF THE BOUNDARY. GIVEN BACKED FLOW ALOFT...MUCH OF THE UPDRAFT MASS
IS BEING DIFFUSED BEHIND THE STORMS...PERHAPS MINIMIZING DOWNDRAFT
POTENTIAL.

HOWEVER...SHEAR REMAINS STRONG...AND PRECIPITABLE WATER IS HIGHER E
OF THE FRONT. THEREFORE...SOME STRENGTHENING MAY STILL
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS EVENING AS COOLING ALOFT OVERSPREADS
THE REGION. A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY FOR PORTIONS OF ERN
TX.

..JEWELL.. 01/29/2013