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Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS

 
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Looks like the impact wouldn't be terribly damaging if it were to hit Earth, less than a megaton. Throwing a bunch of satellites out of orbit could be problematic though.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Looks like the impact wouldn't be terribly damaging if it were to hit Earth, less than a megaton. Throwing a bunch of satellites out of orbit could be problematic though.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19588417


Oh yeah, now that I think about it when you consider all of the debris floating in Earth orbit left over from smashed satellites. The rest of our satellites will be in a shooting gallery and at high risk of getting taken out by left over debris whizzing around the earth.

Hmmm
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Looks like the impact wouldn't be terribly damaging if it were to hit Earth, less than a megaton. Throwing a bunch of satellites out of orbit could be problematic though.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19588417


Oh yeah, now that I think about it when you consider all of the debris floating in Earth orbit left over from smashed satellites. The rest of our satellites will be in a shooting gallery and at high risk of getting taken out by left over debris whizzing around the earth.

Hmmm
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19588417


Like a chain reaction.

And, it is extremely difficult 'cleaning' up the orbiting space debris. So, it is not such a simple scenario. It could end up being a pretty complex and time-consuming problem.

I imagine there are quite a few unpredictable variables in all this.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
drevil
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
drevil
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 10372207


:buseyteeth:
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
nubiri lives!
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Will twatter still work..?
Cause.. it's really significantly friggin' important to
a lot of really friggin' insignificant people..

Jes sayin'.
 Quoting: Waterbug


lol

I wonder if they know which satellites it will hit.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I covered the possible impacts here:
Thread: 2012 DA14 - Satellite Collision Risk - Now Ruled Out with New Data on Page 2!!!
If I re-ran these calculations with the latest astrometric data (the asteroid was found again last month and new astrometric data is now available) it would probably exclude these possibilities. I would do that, but my computer is preoccupied running calculations on another asteroid right now.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Which other asteroid are you monitering Dr Astro ????
Dr. Astro
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Will twatter still work..?
Cause.. it's really significantly friggin' important to
a lot of really friggin' insignificant people..

Jes sayin'.
 Quoting: Waterbug


lol

I wonder if they know which satellites it will hit.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I covered the possible impacts here:
Thread: 2012 DA14 - Satellite Collision Risk - Now Ruled Out with New Data on Page 2!!!
If I re-ran these calculations with the latest astrometric data (the asteroid was found again last month and new astrometric data is now available) it would probably exclude these possibilities. I would do that, but my computer is preoccupied running calculations on another asteroid right now.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Which other asteroid are you monitering Dr Astro ????
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


1979 XB
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Will the GLP telescope be able to capture any of the display? I would SO love that!

I loved the GLP scope of the Moon and sun a few years back! (or was that last year?) hehehe

~ Haarpy
Don't get mad - Get a Pepsi!
Dr. Astro
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Will the GLP telescope be able to capture any of the display? I would SO love that!

I loved the GLP scope of the Moon and sun a few years back! (or was that last year?) hehehe

~ Haarpy
 Quoting: *HAARP Lady*


The US only gets to see the asteroid on its way out after it's already passed the point of close approach.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Will twatter still work..?
Cause.. it's really significantly friggin' important to
a lot of really friggin' insignificant people..

Jes sayin'.
 Quoting: Waterbug


lol

I wonder if they know which satellites it will hit.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I covered the possible impacts here:
Thread: 2012 DA14 - Satellite Collision Risk - Now Ruled Out with New Data on Page 2!!!
If I re-ran these calculations with the latest astrometric data (the asteroid was found again last month and new astrometric data is now available) it would probably exclude these possibilities. I would do that, but my computer is preoccupied running calculations on another asteroid right now.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I was hoping you'd stop by on this thread, Astro.

Thanks
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


lol

I wonder if they know which satellites it will hit.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I covered the possible impacts here:
Thread: 2012 DA14 - Satellite Collision Risk - Now Ruled Out with New Data on Page 2!!!
If I re-ran these calculations with the latest astrometric data (the asteroid was found again last month and new astrometric data is now available) it would probably exclude these possibilities. I would do that, but my computer is preoccupied running calculations on another asteroid right now.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Which other asteroid are you monitering Dr Astro ????
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


1979 XB
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


But it has 99% chance of missing doesn't it .
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


I covered the possible impacts here:
Thread: 2012 DA14 - Satellite Collision Risk - Now Ruled Out with New Data on Page 2!!!
If I re-ran these calculations with the latest astrometric data (the asteroid was found again last month and new astrometric data is now available) it would probably exclude these possibilities. I would do that, but my computer is preoccupied running calculations on another asteroid right now.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Which other asteroid are you monitering Dr Astro ????
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


1979 XB
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


But it has 99% chance of missing doesn't it .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


Much greater than 99% chance of missing. Less than a 1 in a million chance of hitting. The problem is that no one has any idea where it is in its orbit, it could be anywhere which is why there still exists the possibility of impact in the future. It's considered "lost." Although the odds are extremely low, I find it interesting because it's one of the largest potential near-term threats (as in, within my lifetime) out there. It's estimated to be over half a kilometer in diameter, about twice the size of Apophis. Very low probability, very high consequence event.

I want to directly rule out the possibility of an impact at the first possible impact date of December 12, 2056. I may not be able to find the asteroid by myself (like I said, it could be anywhere along its orbit at this point), but I can at least figure out where it would have to be today in order to impact us in 2056.

Last Edited by Dr. Astro on 02/01/2013 02:38 PM
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
1 in 13,983,816 odds on winning the lottery ,1 in 3,846,000 chance of 1979 asteroid impacting earth,1 in 7,692,308,000 chance of 2012 DA14 impacting earth .
Dr. Astro
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
1 in 13,983,816 odds on winning the lottery ,1 in 3,846,000 chance of 1979 asteroid impacting earth,1 in 7,692,308,000 chance of 2012 DA14 impacting earth .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693

Right, just want to point out that those odds for 2012 DA14 are the cumulative odds of an impact at any future date. There is no possibility of impact on February 15, the first possible impact doesn't occur for nearly a hundred years.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


Which other asteroid are you monitering Dr Astro ????
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


1979 XB
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


But it has 99% chance of missing doesn't it .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


Much greater than 99% chance of missing. Less than a 1 in a million chance of hitting. The problem is that no one has any idea where it is in its orbit, it could be anywhere which is why there still exists the possibility of impact in the future. It's considered "lost." Although the odds are extremely low, I find it interesting because it's one of the largest potential near-term threats (as in, within my lifetime) out there. It's estimated to be over half a kilometer in diameter, about twice the size of Apophis. Very low probability, very high consequence event.

I want to directly rule out the possibility of an impact at the first possible impact date of December 12, 2056. I may not be able to find the asteroid by myself (like I said, it could be anywhere along its orbit at this point), but I can at least figure out where it would have to be today in order to impact us in 2056.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I read somewhere that it would make a crater the size of the big one in Arizona. Also, that it would impact and cause a detonation the size of Tunguska, even though that one may have exploded before impacting the ground.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
1 in 13,983,816 odds on winning the lottery ,1 in 3,846,000 chance of 1979 asteroid impacting earth,1 in 7,692,308,000 chance of 2012 DA14 impacting earth .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693

Right, just want to point out that those odds for 2012 DA14 are the cumulative odds of an impact at any future date. There is no possibility of impact on February 15, the first possible impact doesn't occur for nearly a hundred years.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


None whatsoever i got more chance in winning the lottery ,or knowing my luck i will win it on the very day it does impact .
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


1979 XB
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


But it has 99% chance of missing doesn't it .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


Much greater than 99% chance of missing. Less than a 1 in a million chance of hitting. The problem is that no one has any idea where it is in its orbit, it could be anywhere which is why there still exists the possibility of impact in the future. It's considered "lost." Although the odds are extremely low, I find it interesting because it's one of the largest potential near-term threats (as in, within my lifetime) out there. It's estimated to be over half a kilometer in diameter, about twice the size of Apophis. Very low probability, very high consequence event.

I want to directly rule out the possibility of an impact at the first possible impact date of December 12, 2056. I may not be able to find the asteroid by myself (like I said, it could be anywhere along its orbit at this point), but I can at least figure out where it would have to be today in order to impact us in 2056.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I read somewhere that it would make a crater the size of the big one in Arizona. Also, that it would impact and cause a detonation the size of Tunguska, even though that one may have exploded before impacting the ground.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I haven't read about anyone saying anything recently about 1979 XB, aside from a couple obscure mentions in the Minor Planet Center blog. 1979 is more than 10 times the size of the rock that caused Barringer crater in Arizona. Apophis is about 5 times the size of that rock.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


But it has 99% chance of missing doesn't it .
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33454693


Much greater than 99% chance of missing. Less than a 1 in a million chance of hitting. The problem is that no one has any idea where it is in its orbit, it could be anywhere which is why there still exists the possibility of impact in the future. It's considered "lost." Although the odds are extremely low, I find it interesting because it's one of the largest potential near-term threats (as in, within my lifetime) out there. It's estimated to be over half a kilometer in diameter, about twice the size of Apophis. Very low probability, very high consequence event.

I want to directly rule out the possibility of an impact at the first possible impact date of December 12, 2056. I may not be able to find the asteroid by myself (like I said, it could be anywhere along its orbit at this point), but I can at least figure out where it would have to be today in order to impact us in 2056.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I read somewhere that it would make a crater the size of the big one in Arizona. Also, that it would impact and cause a detonation the size of Tunguska, even though that one may have exploded before impacting the ground.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I haven't read about anyone saying anything recently about 1979 XB, aside from a couple obscure mentions in the Minor Planet Center blog. 1979 is more than 10 times the size of the rock that caused Barringer crater in Arizona. Apophis is about 5 times the size of that rock.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Oh, here it is. It was actually in my links. It was from when they were reporting it last year. But, this article didn't talk about the Arizona crater. Must have bene the other link.

National Geographic reports that if the asteroid hits the the Earth, it will likely hit the Antarctica or the Southern Ocean because it approaches the Earth from the south. The impact of the 140,000 ton rock could release energy equivalent to a 2.4 megaton bomb, about the same as the 1908 Tunguska blast in which hundreds of square miles of forest in Siberia were leveled. According to Chodas, "If the asteroid were to strike the ocean, It could produce a tsunami," although "it probably wouldn't be big."
 Quoting: NatGeo


Read more: [link to digitaljournal.com]
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Asteroid 2012 DA14 doesn't have to hit us...

All it's going to take is for the asteroid to come close enough to interact with the Earths magnetic shield and cause some sort of adverse reaction...


That is all it will take...
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
can we use sonar in space? can't we find asteroids that way?
I look up at the sky, and wonder where I am on earth. Then I wonder where I am in the solar system. Then I wonder where I am in the galaxy. Then I wonder where I am in the universe. Then I wonder what universe am I in.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
:doombacon:
 Quoting: YaRight


wow thats scary, feb 15th is my birthday, told my brother to get me couple pounds of bacon from his neighbor farmer, hmmm
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
...


Much greater than 99% chance of missing. Less than a 1 in a million chance of hitting. The problem is that no one has any idea where it is in its orbit, it could be anywhere which is why there still exists the possibility of impact in the future. It's considered "lost." Although the odds are extremely low, I find it interesting because it's one of the largest potential near-term threats (as in, within my lifetime) out there. It's estimated to be over half a kilometer in diameter, about twice the size of Apophis. Very low probability, very high consequence event.

I want to directly rule out the possibility of an impact at the first possible impact date of December 12, 2056. I may not be able to find the asteroid by myself (like I said, it could be anywhere along its orbit at this point), but I can at least figure out where it would have to be today in order to impact us in 2056.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I read somewhere that it would make a crater the size of the big one in Arizona. Also, that it would impact and cause a detonation the size of Tunguska, even though that one may have exploded before impacting the ground.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


I haven't read about anyone saying anything recently about 1979 XB, aside from a couple obscure mentions in the Minor Planet Center blog. 1979 is more than 10 times the size of the rock that caused Barringer crater in Arizona. Apophis is about 5 times the size of that rock.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Oh, here it is. It was actually in my links. It was from when they were reporting it last year. But, this article didn't talk about the Arizona crater. Must have bene the other link.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


They were talking about impact possibilities at future dates, not Feb 15th. Also the dates they mentioned have already been ruled out based on more recent astrometric data.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
more failed doom buddy, nutting ain't gonna happen - so get back to work like a slave you little oik
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
uh oh......that's a real doom here

keep watching

bump
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
uh oh......that's a real doom here

keep watching

bump
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33449431


:eYeonU:
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
more failed doom buddy, nutting ain't gonna happen - so get back to work like a slave you little oik
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33460327


Chances are, you are correct.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
Nothing will happen as usual... Doomtards are trying hard but always fail.
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
more failed doom buddy, nutting ain't gonna happen - so get back to work like a slave you little oik
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33460327


Chances are, you are correct.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


OP, i am correct cause you only need to look at all the failed dooms over the last 12 months or so, mayans, elenin, disclosure, san andreas, yellowstone, blossom goodchild, the list is endless - any doom predicted by humans is not only doomed to fail, it's never going to happen ever
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Re: Asteroid 2012 DA14 Close Enough to Smash Satellites in Orbit on February 15, 2013 - Added a few VIDEOS
more failed doom buddy, nutting ain't gonna happen - so get back to work like a slave you little oik
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33460327


Chances are, you are correct.
 Quoting: Septenary Man


OP, i am correct cause you only need to look at all the failed dooms over the last 12 months or so, mayans, elenin, disclosure, san andreas, yellowstone, blossom goodchild, the list is endless - any doom predicted by humans is not only doomed to fail, it's never going to happen ever
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33460327


Well, this doom is not about impacting earth, it is about hitting a satellite. So, I guess it depends on your definition of 'doom'.

If it hit a satellite, but caused no collateral damage, I wouldn't consider that doom. You seem to be thinking it would be doom.

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