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Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

 
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2013 12:07 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Wonder how groundhog meat tastes?
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2013 12:16 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
...


I saw that, and upped our total to 12" now too!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27449541


There are still people by me without power and who still can't move back into their homes, this is the worst case scenario for a lot of peoplehiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30248208


I'm on the North Shore and we have homes condemned from Sandy that the home owners never received ANY female help. I work in Rockville Centre and had to run to Long Beach yesterday and was completely blown away and what the boardwalk area looks like. First time I had made it down there since the hurricane. :(
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27449541


I live in RVC. do you know what the forecast is for us in SW Nassau?
 Quoting: Sutton 27086380


Last report I saw was 6-10" on one site and 10-12" on another so you're guess is as good as mine. GREAT job when you can be right 50% of the time and keep your job LOL
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2013 12:18 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
This shit is late. It was supposed to hit like an hour ago.
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:32 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Model Diagnostic Discussion

Excerpt:

THE CURRENT THINKING IS TO GO HALFWAY BETWEEN THE RECENT 12Z NAM/GFS SOLNS WHICH WOULD MAKE THE 00Z ECMWF A REASONABLE STARTING PT. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...COMBINING THE 00Z ECMWF WITH THE 06Z GEFS MEAN/00Z ECMWF ENS MEAN WOULD BE PRUDENT HERE.
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:33 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Levi Cowan‏@TropicalTidbits

GFS ensembles are in pretty good agreement on position of the storm at 42hr. Eastern Mass. is going to disappear. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:37 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
old 78 pics... [link to 4.bp.blogspot.com] [link to www.hinghamweather.com] [link to hubbub.wbur.org]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:38 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
411 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE FRIDAY EVENING...

CTZ009-NYZ071-073-078-079-081-176-177-072100-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.A.0001.130208T2300Z-130209T0500Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
411 AM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND TWIN FORKS OF
LONG ISLAND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...3 TO 5 FT DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE
FRIDAY EVENING.

* WAVE ACTION...3 TO 5 FT WAVES ON TOP OF STORM TIDE ALONG
WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND 5 TO 7 FT ALONG THE EASTERN
ENDS OF THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND.

* BEACH EROSION...SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND.

* TIMING...FRIDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
BASEMENTS DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND WAVE ACTION IS
POSSIBLE. NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES MAY BE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE
AT RISK FOR PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARM/S WAY. ISOLATED
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&
moses767

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02/07/2013 12:39 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Are we ready to classify this as a HAARP incident!!??
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2013 12:40 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
correct me if im wrong but doesnt the ecmwf have a better track record then the GFS when it comes to winter storms? that is their bread and butter
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:41 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Levi Cowan‏@TropicalTidbits

GFS ensembles are in pretty good agreement on position of the storm at 42hr. Eastern Mass. is going to disappear. [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport


siren2siren2siren2
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:42 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel

RT @bostonschools: Due to heavy snow in the forecast, all Boston Public Schools will be closed on Friday. #Nemo
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:47 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

WRF 4km stalls full-power cyclone off tip of Mass., does a loop, 24-48 hrs of snow & hurricane force winds [link to twitter.com]

33 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Friday, winds at 1000 feet will crank up to hurricane force & warm-core formation & extreme backside convective snows. [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:49 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
[link to weather.unisys.com] [link to weather.unisys.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 12:50 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

WRF 4km stalls full-power cyclone off tip of Mass., does a loop, 24-48 hrs of snow & hurricane force winds [link to twitter.com]

33 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Friday, winds at 1000 feet will crank up to hurricane force & warm-core formation & extreme backside convective snows. [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport


siren2siren2siren2
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:04 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Central Georgia in 7 days..gimme some of this LOL.............A SECOND SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA AND BRING MORE RAIN
CHANCES TO THE STATE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CURRENTLY 2 TO 5
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA. WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...FLOODING IS
LIKELY. THERE IS LITTLE INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM SO
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH DAY 7 AT THIS TIME.
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:08 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Canadian 10km regional model explosively develops & stalls warm-seclusion blizzard off tip of New Eng 972 mb +48hrs [link to twitter.com]
Watching the world
Crypt Watcher

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02/07/2013 01:09 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Holy crap....

elf poop
Ignorance is bliss until reality bites you in the ass.

I bury the dead.
TARGET33

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02/07/2013 01:09 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

WRF 4km stalls full-power cyclone off tip of Mass., does a loop, 24-48 hrs of snow & hurricane force winds [link to twitter.com]

33 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Friday, winds at 1000 feet will crank up to hurricane force & warm-core formation & extreme backside convective snows. [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport




This comes from a poster on accuweather forum:

Something Undertakerson mentioned regarding the "Fujiwara Effect" early this morning. Very fascinating because as some already this is something that is very rare that is happening. Two rather strong systems phasing together. The southern storm isn't formed from the northern storm as a typical Miller B. It is a hybrid type of creation where the southern storm that already exists grabs the energy from the northern storm.

In most situations this would never happen as the southern storm would likely go OTS trying to move away from the strong northern storm. But in this case the escape route is blocked by the big HP to the north at it is almost like the southern storm is "forced" to phase with the northern system.
TARGET33
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:11 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
dhëndër

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02/07/2013 01:13 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Live in the predicted 12-18" area in Maine, this is not really that bad for this time of year... Doubtful doom expected, generator w/transfer switch ready all the same :)
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:15 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Live in the predicted 12-18" area in Maine, this is not really that bad for this time of year... Doubtful doom expected, generator w/transfer switch ready all the same :)
 Quoting: dhëndër


it's not just the snow... please ad it hurricane winds, etc
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:15 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

WRF 4km stalls full-power cyclone off tip of Mass., does a loop, 24-48 hrs of snow & hurricane force winds [link to twitter.com]

33 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Friday, winds at 1000 feet will crank up to hurricane force & warm-core formation & extreme backside convective snows. [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport




This comes from a poster on accuweather forum:

Something Undertakerson mentioned regarding the "Fujiwara Effect" early this morning. Very fascinating because as some already this is something that is very rare that is happening. Two rather strong systems phasing together. The southern storm isn't formed from the northern storm as a typical Miller B. It is a hybrid type of creation where the southern storm that already exists grabs the energy from the northern storm.

In most situations this would never happen as the southern storm would likely go OTS trying to move away from the strong northern storm. But in this case the escape route is blocked by the big HP to the north at it is almost like the southern storm is "forced" to phase with the northern system.
 Quoting: TARGET33


clappa
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:16 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Lindsay storm from 1969 surface analysis: [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:17 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
still there in 48 hours gee.............. [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
JanJan

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02/07/2013 01:19 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

WRF 4km stalls full-power cyclone off tip of Mass., does a loop, 24-48 hrs of snow & hurricane force winds [link to twitter.com]

33 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Friday, winds at 1000 feet will crank up to hurricane force & warm-core formation & extreme backside convective snows. [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport




This comes from a poster on accuweather forum:

Something Undertakerson mentioned regarding the "Fujiwara Effect" early this morning. Very fascinating because as some already this is something that is very rare that is happening. Two rather strong systems phasing together. The southern storm isn't formed from the northern storm as a typical Miller B. It is a hybrid type of creation where the southern storm that already exists grabs the energy from the northern storm.

In most situations this would never happen as the southern storm would likely go OTS trying to move away from the strong northern storm. But in this case the escape route is blocked by the big HP to the north at it is almost like the southern storm is "forced" to phase with the northern system.
 Quoting: TARGET33


clappa
 Quoting: Luisport


THat appears to be a nightmare scenario.

So, that means the snow, winds, etc. will remain over the area with no place to go?!
dhëndër

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02/07/2013 01:20 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Live in the predicted 12-18" area in Maine, this is not really that bad for this time of year... Doubtful doom expected, generator w/transfer switch ready all the same :)
 Quoting: dhëndër


it's not just the snow... please ad it hurricane winds, etc
 Quoting: Luisport


Like I said, I am still ready for power outages, we learned our lesson here after 98 ice storm (house was without power for 16 days). Central Maine power trim trees here much more to avoid wind related power outages also, hurricane winds will be coastal if at all. Should be a fun night tomorrow looking forward to the storm to be over with, planned meeting in the afternoon.
Anonymous Coward
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02/07/2013 01:25 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Central Georgia in 7 days..gimme some of this LOL.............A SECOND SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA AND BRING MORE RAIN
CHANCES TO THE STATE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CURRENTLY 2 TO 5
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL SECTIONS OF
THE FORECAST AREA. WITH WET ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...FLOODING IS
LIKELY. THERE IS LITTLE INSTABILITY WITH THIS SYSTEM SO
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH DAY 7 AT THIS TIME.
 Quoting: Luisport


Hi Luis, thanks for the Central Georgia infohf
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:27 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS 12z lowest pressure about 967-968 mb [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/07/2013 01:28 PM

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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS 12z lowest pressure about 967-968 mb [link to twitter.com]

 Quoting: Luisport


ahhhahhh
They'refixingtheroad

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02/07/2013 01:37 PM
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Re: Massive Historic Blizzard!!! 967 mb Major Nor'easter!!! Snow already making its way into Upstate NY...
Burmping it!

nnnn

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