A MASSIVE Bearish Bet Against Banks Has Traders Buzzing | |
thedude2888 User ID: 27819190 United States 02/06/2013 04:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to finance.yahoo.com] I have imaginary friends. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 04:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 04:35 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | its at a peak right now, its not unreasonable to think it would drop below 16, it was down to 8 in 2009 I agree, but many other BIG bets....... Some Trader Has Made A Very Big Bet That Something Very Bad Will Happen Within The Next 60 Days Sam Ro | Feb. 6, 2013, 9:37 AM | 11,914 | 29 inShare 11 More CNBC Stocks have been rallying relentlessly to post-crisis highs. Meanwhile, the volatility index (aka the VIX, aka the "fear index") is near historic lows. But according to UBS's Art Cashin, some options trader has made an enormous $11.25 million bet that the VIX will explode higher very soon. And a rally in the VIX is usually accompanied by a drop in the stock markets. From this morning's Cashin's Comments (emphasis ours): A Very Big Bet In A Somewhat Unlikely Instrument – My friend, Jim Brown, the ever-alert consummate professional over at Option Investor pointed us to a rather unusual trade. Here's what he wrote in last night's edition of his valuable newsletter: In past years I have reported on trades that were so large it appeared someone had inside knowledge of a pending event. Sometimes those were massive put positions on the S&P. A new trade just appeared that suggests there will be a market event in the near future. Last week somebody put on a call spread on the VIX using the April 20 and 25 puts. They bought 150,000 contracts for a net of $75 per contract. That is an $11,250,000 bet that the VIX will move over 20 over the next 60 days. You would have to be VERY confident in your outlook to risk $11 million on a directional position with the VIX at five year lows and the markets trying to break out to new highs. Jim then goes on to list some of the scheduled events and deadlines visible over the next 60 days (mostly in Washington). When you add in the broad variety of geo-political possibilities, it's a decent reason to stay extra alert. Hopefully, this person is wrong. Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 04:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 13 and another 13 As of late Gold hasbeen hovering at 666 more than once or twice. If it keeps it up there willbe a big drop in gold sht-paper. When the paper goes down that is the time for poor man to buy/have gold. Father loves the poor. Haggai 2:8: The silver is mine, and the gold is mine, saith the LORD of hosts. Ron Paul: Federal Reserve: [link to www.youtube.com] Ron Paul's Urgent Warning On The Inevitable Collapse Of The Dollar: [link to www.youtube.com] Kennedy 11110: [link to www.youtube.com My error 4/19/2013 and gold has not been at 600 since 2005 I think |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 04:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Just before 9/11 there were very large trades out of the normal range. Such as the put options on the airliners involved and the financial businesses in the towers. This trade is a hallmark of inside information. 100% this is called the bin laden trade. |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 04:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Would have expected huge call volume on oil and gold too if military related - especially Middle East... I trade oil, in 12/2012 we had number's I have never seen in the call of oil up to 250 a b, for 12/2013 just was chatting with my kids about it this weekend. |
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Daniel of the Rose User ID: 15114131 United States 02/06/2013 05:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | According to Barron's columnist Steven Sears, someone made a big bet against the financials ETF yesterday (ticker symbol XLF), and it has everybody buzzing. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13926736 The trader bought 100,000 put options on the ETF (a put option increases in value when the price of the underlying asset, in this case, the ETF, goes down). To put that number in perspective, Sears writes, "Few investors ever trade more than 500 contracts, so a 100,000 order tends to stop traffic and prompt all sorts of speculation about what's motivating the trade." According to Sears, the trade "has sparked conversations across the market." The trade makes money if the ETF drops below $16. It's trading just north of $17.50 today. While the bet has everyone scratching their heads, Sears offers one possible explanation: bank Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 13926736 United States 02/06/2013 05:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I think this is the issue, BofA had issues last Friday and many more. Big Sis Threatens: Cyber 9/11 could happen “imminently” Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano warned on Thursday that a major cyber attack is a looming threat and could have the same sort of impact as last year’s Superstorm Sandy, which knocked out electricity in a large swathe of the Northeast. Napolitano said a “cyber 9/11″ could happen “imminently” and that critical infrastructure – including water, electricity and gas – was very vulnerable to such a strike. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33813777 United Kingdom 02/06/2013 05:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | According to Barron's columnist Steven Sears, someone made a big bet against the financials ETF yesterday (ticker symbol XLF), and it has everybody buzzing. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13926736 The trader bought 100,000 put options on the ETF (a put option increases in value when the price of the underlying asset, in this case, the ETF, goes down). To put that number in perspective, Sears writes, "Few investors ever trade more than 500 contracts, so a 100,000 order tends to stop traffic and prompt all sorts of speculation about what's motivating the trade." According to Sears, the trade "has sparked conversations across the market." The trade makes money if the ETF drops below $16. It's trading just north of $17.50 today. While the bet has everyone scratching their heads, Sears offers one possible explanation: bank Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com] The shorter is either Goldman Sachs prop desk, or George Soros. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805168 United States 02/06/2013 06:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | According to Barron's columnist Steven Sears, someone made a big bet against the financials ETF yesterday (ticker symbol XLF), and it has everybody buzzing. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13926736 The trader bought 100,000 put options on the ETF (a put option increases in value when the price of the underlying asset, in this case, the ETF, goes down). To put that number in perspective, Sears writes, "Few investors ever trade more than 500 contracts, so a 100,000 order tends to stop traffic and prompt all sorts of speculation about what's motivating the trade." According to Sears, the trade "has sparked conversations across the market." The trade makes money if the ETF drops below $16. It's trading just north of $17.50 today. While the bet has everyone scratching their heads, Sears offers one possible explanation: bank Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com] Thanks, OP! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 33805168 United States 02/06/2013 06:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Some Trader Has Made A Very Big Bet That Something Very Bad Will Happen Within The Next 60 Days Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13926736 Sam Ro | Feb. 6, 2013, 9:37 AM | 10,990 | 29 inShare 9 More CNBC Stocks have been rallying relentlessly to post-crisis highs. Meanwhile, the volatility index (aka the VIX, aka the "fear index") is near historic lows. But according to UBS's Art Cashin, some options trader has made an enormous $11.25 million bet that the VIX will explode higher very soon. And a rally in the VIX is usually accompanied by a drop in the stock markets. From this morning's Cashin's Comments (emphasis ours): A Very Big Bet In A Somewhat Unlikely Instrument – My friend, Jim Brown, the ever-alert consummate professional over at Option Investor pointed us to a rather unusual trade. Here's what he wrote in last night's edition of his valuable newsletter: In past years I have reported on trades that were so large it appeared someone had inside knowledge of a pending event. Sometimes those were massive put positions on the S&P. A new trade just appeared that suggests there will be a market event in the near future. Last week somebody put on a call spread on the VIX using the April 20 and 25 puts. They bought 150,000 contracts for a net of $75 per contract. That is an $11,250,000 bet that the VIX will move over 20 over the next 60 days. You would have to be VERY confident in your outlook to risk $11 million on a directional position with the VIX at five year lows and the markets trying to break out to new highs. Jim then goes on to list some of the scheduled events and deadlines visible over the next 60 days (mostly in Washington). When you add in the broad variety of geo-political possibilities, it's a decent reason to stay extra alert. Hopefully, this person is wrong. Read more: [link to www.businessinsider.com] If I remember correctly, that part of April - being Hitler's birthday, and a hit with the satanists/illuminutties - often has disastrous occurences. Sathtf? Whomever it is, they think the world will be in good enough shape to spend/enjoy their ill-gotten gains! |
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