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932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!

 
kaz

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02/13/2013 08:35 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
On the local Ct. news this morning they are reporting both potential storms are going out to sea, is this accurate? Is it possible we will have another major storm here? Our schools are still out due to the blizzard, roads are improving, parking lots are insane.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 08:35 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
So when is Philly's best chance at getting more than a dusting, and is there any chance it could happen DURING THE WORK WEEK?!?!?

All we've had is weekend storms! Or rain while Boston gets 3 fucking feet!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1459781


LOL that of storm weekend is good... the next one will be on sunday/monday... it's early to say for shure how it will be
 Quoting: Luisport


BUT I'M OFF MONDAY ALREADY!!! AAAAHHHHHH!!!
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 08:37 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
On the local Ct. news this morning they are reporting both potential storms are going out to sea, is this accurate? Is it possible we will have another major storm here? Our schools are still out due to the blizzard, roads are improving, parking lots are insane.
 Quoting: kaz


the major runs don't agree yet... lets see tomorrow and friday how models evolve...
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 08:38 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
[link to pbs.twimg.com] BRRRRRRRRRRR
natasha77

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02/13/2013 08:42 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Luis, what's this about possible snow for Florida?
I'm North of Tampa.
Thank you very much.

Last Edited by natasha77 on 02/13/2013 08:43 AM
SPEAK UP. SILENCE IS DEADLY!

I am currently experiencing life at several WTFs per hour.

:flatearth:
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 08:44 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
On the local Ct. news this morning they are reporting both potential storms are going out to sea, is this accurate? Is it possible we will have another major storm here? Our schools are still out due to the blizzard, roads are improving, parking lots are insane.
 Quoting: kaz


the major runs don't agree yet... lets see tomorrow and friday how models evolve...
 Quoting: Luisport


op,

You seriously need to change your thread tittle.

I live in central Florida and it was85 degrees and sunny yesterday.

I picked greens and tomatoes from my garden.


bsflag
kaz

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02/13/2013 08:46 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
On the local Ct. news this morning they are reporting both potential storms are going out to sea, is this accurate? Is it possible we will have another major storm here? Our schools are still out due to the blizzard, roads are improving, parking lots are insane.
 Quoting: kaz


the major runs don't agree yet... lets see tomorrow and friday how models evolve...
 Quoting: Luisport


On the local Ct. news this morning they are reporting both potential storms are going out to sea, is this accurate? Is it possible we will have another major storm here? Our schools are still out due to the blizzard, roads are improving, parking lots are insane.
 Quoting: kaz


the major runs don't agree yet... lets see tomorrow and friday how models evolve...
 Quoting: Luisport


Thank you our local guys said they do agree, going to start preparing again, if we get slammed again well be inside for a while.
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 08:47 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Luis, what's this about possible snow for Florida?
I'm North of Tampa.
Thank you very much.
 Quoting: natasha77


i'm posting florida issues here: Thread: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 09:18 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
GFS at 84 hours....snow folks............ [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 09:18 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Now this is interesting!! [link to i47.tinypic.com]
Ricky Retardo

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02/13/2013 09:32 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
So when is Philly's best chance at getting more than a dusting, and is there any chance it could happen DURING THE WORK WEEK?!?!?

All we've had is weekend storms! Or rain while Boston gets 3 fucking feet!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1459781


LOL that of storm weekend is good... the next one will be on sunday/monday... it's early to say for shure how it will be
 Quoting: Luisport


BUT I'M OFF MONDAY ALREADY!!! AAAAHHHHHH!!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1472740


THIS!!

Why can't mother nature give us something on a wed or thur. Shit, ill even take a Monday if I had to work. I want to be punished with beautiful white snow AND a day off.
Formerly Anita PooporShart & Anderson Pooper.
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 09:32 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
GFS at 84 hours....snow folks............ [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
 Quoting: Luisport


At this point OP I don't know, The GFS run is putting me in a fog, it is sending the storm for the weekend more and more out to sea and even the NAO was just updated to go more positive when yesterday it was forecasted to go negative, But the PNA is forecasted to go positive too I mean if that is going positive storms are going to form they just won't be blocked to go father west, lol I am confused right now
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 09:34 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
GFS at 84 hours....snow folks............ [link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]
 Quoting: Luisport


At this point OP I don't know, The GFS run is putting me in a fog, it is sending the storm for the weekend more and more out to sea and even the NAO was just updated to go more positive when yesterday it was forecasted to go negative, But the PNA is forecasted to go positive too I mean if that is going positive storms are going to form they just won't be blocked to go father west, lol I am confused right now
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 19534453


yes, models are strugling...
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 10:00 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Now this is interesting!! [link to i47.tinypic.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Luis, what does that mean? I can't read those things to save my life (weather map impaired).
kaz

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02/13/2013 02:20 PM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Just checked Joe Bastardi tweet, looks like models are starting show east coast will get it,
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 02:22 PM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Most significant cold of the winter so far in the interior South may come this weekend: [link to ow.ly]
Anonymous Coward
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02/13/2013 02:23 PM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
snow for New Jersey and dates?
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 02:25 PM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Just checked Joe Bastardi tweet, looks like models are starting show east coast will get it,
 Quoting: kaz



Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

JMA/UKMET has the east coast snowstorm on weekend.. CMON ecmwf, will ya. Fla freeze threat too,but the bigger the ne storm, less the chc

5 hJoe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

E coast Snowstorm still on table for weekend,along with threat of fla Orange Grove freeze.Tricky call [link to Weatherbell.com] vid discusses
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 02:26 PM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
snow for New Jersey and dates?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1108758


florida too
kaz

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02/13/2013 02:27 PM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
My daughter won't be back at school until next week, if we get hit, she'll be back in May.
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 05:09 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

If only snow lovers could live in the world of the 8-day GFS forecast: [link to twitter.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 05:21 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
TropicalTidbitsLevi Cowan 13 h
12z NOGAPS(top) vs. NAVGEM (bottom). Details more visible in NAVGEM, like possible triple-point low within nor'easter [link to twitter.com]

Last Edited by Luisport on 02/14/2013 05:22 AM
ANHEDONIC

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02/14/2013 05:27 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
As I recall I told people yesterday that because there was thunder with the snow storm that over the next week or 2 there would be more big storms. Once again proving that the old fashioned ways of the Indians still goes. Always remember that, when you get thunder snow, usually within a week or so you will get another big storm. Sort of like Halo's around the moon tell us that a storm is coming soon.
 Quoting: pmb1


halomoon

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
ANHEDONIC

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02/14/2013 05:28 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Just checked Joe Bastardi tweet, looks like models are starting show east coast will get it,
 Quoting: kaz


What are the dates in question?

"You will not be punished for your anger, you will be punished by your anger"
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 06:43 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Here's the SPC's 4-8 day convective outlook:

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 AM CST THU FEB 14 2013

VALID 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF AGREE THAT SRN STREAM MID LEVEL SPEED MAX
WILL EJECT ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO SCNTRL TX MONDAY AS NRN STREAM
SHORT-WAVE UNIFIES WITH THIS FEATURE OVER THE MS VALLEY. THIS
STRONG SYSTEM WILL LIKELY INDUCE CONVECTION AS IT INTERACTS WITH
MOIST/WEAKLY BUOYANT AIRMASS OVER EAST TX...THEN ACROSS THE CNTRL
GULF STATES TUESDAY. HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WITH THIS SYSTEM.

LATER IN THE WEEK A POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE EVENT
MAY UNFOLD FROM EAST TX INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS 100KT+ MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX APPROACHES WHAT SHOULD BE A MORE MOIST/BUOYANT
ENVIRONMENT. IF UPPER 60S SFC DEW POINTS MANAGE TO ADVANCE
SUBSTANTIALLY INLAND AN ORGANIZED SEVERE SCENARIO MAY UNFOLD DURING
THE DAY8 PERIOD. WILL NOT INTRODUCE 30 PERCENT SEVERE PROBS GIVEN
THE POSSIBILITY THIS SYSTEM MAY SLOW ENOUGH THAT THE MAIN THREAT
COULD BE BEYOND THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 02/14/2013
kaz

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02/14/2013 06:54 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Morning, my local guy who is usually most accurate said a burst of snow on Sat. and that's it for the weekend in Ct. any other,updates?
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 07:05 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
Morning, my local guy who is usually most accurate said a burst of snow on Sat. and that's it for the weekend in Ct. any other,updates?
 Quoting: kaz


AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather

Weekend snowstorm can't be ruled out for Northeast [link to ow.ly]
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 07:05 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AREAS OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THE REGION...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL VISIT OUR REGION OVER THE WEEKEND. OVERNIGHT
TEMPERATURES MAY DROP BELOW FREEZING OVER THE NATURE COAST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW WIND CHILLS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT. FROST MAY DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH OF THE
INTERIOR SUNDAY NIGHT.

GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS MAY RESULT IN HAZARDOUS BOATING
CONDITIONS WITH WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AND SEAS UP TO 8 OR 9 FEET
SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. STRONG RIP CURRENTS MAY IMPACT
AREA BEACHES DURING THIS TIME.

VERY LOW HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY...SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO AN ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRES.
Anonymous Coward
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02/14/2013 07:13 AM
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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
My vagina is so wet right now.
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 07:14 AM

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Re: 932 mb Extratropical Monster Storm to Northeast !!! GFS 12z bombs out coastal low.1000 mb to 956 mb in 24hrs getting historical territory!!!
My vagina is so wet right now.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27763540


ohno

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