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Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!

 
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 34327938
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02/13/2013 12:16 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
squall line seems to be moving northeastward........ [link to static.baynews9.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 12:17 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
[link to weather.aero] ............................looks like its nearing tampa but its not..its moving more towards orlando..
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 12:24 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-131800-
POLK-SUMTER-LEVY-CITRUS-HERNANDO-PASCO-HILLSBOROU GH-PINELLAS-
1158 AM EST WED FEB 13 2013

.NOW...

SHOWERS...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING SOUTH AT 35 MPH...WILL
AFFECT CRYSTAL RIVER...CRYSTAL RIVER AIRPORT...OZELLO AND HOMOSASSA
SPRINGS...UNTIL 100 PM EST. GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

$$
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 34328590
Canada
02/13/2013 12:25 PM
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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
Luis. I asked about the apparent death of La nina and El Nino on another thread and now can't find the htread so don't know what you found out.

Where are the two of them...? Is their influence gone forever...?
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 34327938
Portugal
02/13/2013 12:26 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
Luis. I asked about the apparent death of La nina and El Nino on another thread and now can't find the htread so don't know what you found out.

Where are the two of them...? Is their influence gone forever...?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34328590


hf ok i respond... but i think this year is a la nina year
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 12:33 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
storms look to getting a bit stronger now.......... [link to static.baynews9.com]
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
02/13/2013 12:54 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
..STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON...

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY TODAY FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PREVAIL AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT TODAY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE UNTIL MID AFTERNOON.

STRONG SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 35 MPH TODAY OVER
MAINLY NORTHEAST FLORIDA.
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
02/13/2013 12:56 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1019 AM CST WED FEB 13 2013

VALID 131630Z - 141200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

A POSITIVELY TILTED SHORT-WAVE TROUGH FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY INTO
THE RED RIVER VALLEY WILL TRANSLATE EWD TO OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST IN ADVANCE OF AN UPSTREAM SYSTEM DIGGING SEWD THROUGH THE NRN
PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WHICH
EXTENDED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER SWWD THROUGH THE FL
BIG BEND INTO THE NERN G.O.M. AS OF 15Z WILL PROGRESS SEWD THROUGH
MUCH OF THE FL PENINSULA BY 14/12Z.

...SRN GA/NRN FL...

A PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND IS IN PROGRESS AS OF MID MORNING FROM
NEAR JAX SWWD INTO THE NERN G.O.M. /APPROXIMATELY 120 NM S OF AAF/.
THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY BEING FORCED BY LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND THE
SRN FRINGE OF HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
MOVING THROUGH THE TN VALLEY INTO CNTRL APPALACHIANS. 12Z REGIONAL
SOUNDINGS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST WARM SECTOR AIR MASS
CHARACTERIZED BY BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND
70. HOWEVER...A WARM LAYER CENTERED AROUND 700 MB IS LIMITING
PARCEL BUOYANCY WITH MLCAPE GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG.

LOCAL VAD DATA INDICATE A GRADUAL VEERING OF THE LOW-LEVEL WIND
FIELD...A TREND WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY. AND WHILE THE REGION
WILL REMAIN UNDER THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH
PASSING TO THE N...WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND THE POOR
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT UPDRAFT VIGOR. A
RELATIVELY STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELD WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS...HOWEVER THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT IS LIKELY TO REMAIN ISOLATED IN NATURE. THEREFORE...THE
CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN REMOVED FROM THIS FORECAST.

..MEAD/ROGERS.. 02/13/2013
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 01:00 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
[link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/13/2013 01:01 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: A SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND OF 15 MPH WILL RESULT IN
A SLIGHT RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE COLLIER COUNTY BEACHES.

VISIBILITY: PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT OVER
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA. VISIBILITIES
COULD BE REDUCED TO NEAR ONE HALF MILE OR EVEN TO ONE QUARTER OF A
MILE IN ISOLATED AREAS OF THE INTERIOR PENINSULA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON THURSDAY AND STALL
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS BOTH DAYS WITH AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. A SECOND AND STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA ON SATURDAY WITH MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY MORNINGS. TEMPERATURES MAY FALL INTO
THE 30S OVER THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION AND 40S ELSEWHERE.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 34328590
Canada
02/13/2013 01:46 PM
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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
bumpbumpbump
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 34328590
Canada
02/13/2013 01:49 PM
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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
Luis. I asked about the apparent death of La nina and El Nino on another thread and now can't find the htread so don't know what you found out.

Where are the two of them...? Is their influence gone forever...?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34328590


hf ok i respond... but i think this year is a la nina year
 Quoting: Luisport


WHY THEN ARE THEY NOT EFFECTING THE WEATHER OR EVEN BEING MENTIONED. HAS SOMTHING CHANGED WITH THESE WEATHER PATTERNS TO MAKE THEM BOTH NON EXISTENT.

NO WEATHER STATIONS ANYWHERE EVERYWHERE HAVE EVEN MENTIONED THEM. THEY USED TO BE THE DOMINATE FORCE FOR THE WEATHER ALWAYS. WHAT CHANGED.
Luisport (OP)

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Portugal
02/13/2013 02:26 PM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
[link to radar.weather.gov]
Luisport (OP)

User ID: 34380974
02/14/2013 08:34 AM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
731 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...

CHIPOLA RIVER AT MARIANNA (US 90) AFFECTING JACKSON COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ALL PERSONS WITH INTEREST ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS...
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO
NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. IF YOU SEE FLOOD WATERS...REMEMBER TO TURN
AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN.
AlcoholicRunner

User ID: 32069520
United States
02/14/2013 08:42 AM
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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
Luis. I asked about the apparent death of La nina and El Nino on another thread and now can't find the htread so don't know what you found out.

Where are the two of them...? Is their influence gone forever...?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34328590


hf ok i respond... but i think this year is a la nina year
 Quoting: Luisport


El Nino was VERY short lived. I was hoping it'd stay through winter and spring to provide us much needed rainfall in central Texas to replenish lakes. Sucks. Technically, we are in "neutral" mode, we're on borderline of being in La Nina. Again. Third straight year...

Expect this to happen often for 10-20 years. It's going to be interesting once AMO goes cold and very weak solar cycle at the same time. It's going to be flick


[link to wattsupwiththat.com]

Last Edited by AlcoholicAlien on 02/14/2013 08:47 AM
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 08:48 AM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
The rain is coming down big time now! [link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/14/2013 09:22 AM

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Re: Major Flooding expected along the Lower Mississippi river!!! HAZARDOUS WEATHER FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA!!!
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
815 AM EST THU FEB 14 2013

...ISOLATED TSTORMS, SOME COULD CONTAIN STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...

.UPDATE...WAVES OF HEAVY SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE NE ACROSS
COLLIER TO PALM BEACH COUNTIES. ONLY ONE LIGHTNING STRIKE NOTED
JUST OFF THE COLLIER COAST A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO. GIVEN RADAR AND
EXPECTED TRENDS, HAVE INCREASED POPS ACROSS THE AREA. HRRR SHOWS A
GENERAL DECREASING TREND LATER THIS MORNING BEFORE THINGS REV BACK
UP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON...AND WITH SLIGHTLY BETTER HEATING ACROSS
BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES, TSTORMS COULD ERUPT ABOUT
ANYWHERE BUT BETTER CHANCES THERE. MORNING ANALYSIS INDICATES THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS TO AROUND 50
MPH. THERE IS SOME INCREASING INSTABILITY ALONG WITH AN INCOMING
SHORTWAVE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WHICH COULD IGNITE A FEW STRONG
TSTORMS, PARTICULARLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

TEMPS WERE LOWERED A BIT ACROSS SE AREAS SINCE CLOUDS ARE
INCREASING FROM THE WEST. THEREFORE, MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER 80S
ARE NOW FORECAST WITH MID-UPPER 70S LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION.

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