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Message Subject Winter Storm Rocky!!! Snowfall accumulations expected to be greater than 2 feet...
Poster Handle Texan Buckeye
Post Content
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM THAT WILL AFFECT US IS CURRENTLY OVER
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. A PIECE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL DIG SOUTHEAST
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS AREA AND CUT OFF BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK INTO TEXAS DURING THE DAY MONDAY. ALMOST
ALL OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE FARTHER SOUTH THAN THEY WERE 24
HOURS AGO. THE ECMWF AND GEM SOLUTION INDICATE THAT THE UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL TREK EAST CLOSE TO THE I-20/I-30 CORRIDOR ACROSS
TEXAS. ON THE OTHER HAND...THE 00Z GFS SHOWS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT
WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO OKLAHOMA. THE
DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS POSE A FORECAST PROBLEM. THE
ECMWF SOLUTION BRINGS A CHANCE OF AT LEAST A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO THE
NORTHERN THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WHEREAS THE
GFS SOLUTION WOULD RESULT IN ALL RAIN. BELIEVE THAT FOR NOW THE
BEST THING TO DO IS TO DO A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE ECMWF/GEM AND
THE GFS...LEANING MORE TOWARD THE FORMER THAN THE LATTER. THUS
HAVE INTRODUCED RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTHERN MOST COUNTIES.
GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION FARTHER SOUTH...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH
TO WARRANT MENTIONING IT IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST YET.

BEYOND MONDAY NIGHT...THE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS PRETTY QUIET. A
COUPLE OF SHORT WAVES WILL SLIDE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED WITH THESE SYSTEMS. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

Here's part of the discussion from the Fort Worth site. The euro model has the bull's-eye of the storm over the Kansas/Oklahoma border. Yesterday, it was in the middle of Kansas. I guess it's true...if you don't like the weather, wait a bit. It'll change!LOL

edit* Sorry, forgot the link. It WILL update.

[link to forecast.weather.gov]
 
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