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CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?

 
Luisport

User ID: 35009800
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02/23/2013 11:48 AM

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CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
I dont know if anyone saw this but the CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March? [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to moe.met.fsu.edu]
Razorbackkid

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02/23/2013 11:57 AM
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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
Very strange.
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 11:57 AM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
460. Tribucanes04:55 PM GMT em 23 de Fevereiro de 2013

The only development off the Florida coast that could be warm cored would be over the Gulfstream; so maybe we will get something subtropical in nature that will morph to warm cored for a short time. Who knows in this day in age, we should expect the unexpected. I don't put much stock in the CMC, but that actually looks fairly plausable.
[link to www.wunderground.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 12:00 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
Not tropical, just a warm seclusion stacked with an upper-level cutoff. [link to www.meteo.psu.edu]
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 12:24 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
6z/12z GFS showing same system--alright will be back later..enjoy your saturday [link to mag.ncep.noaa.gov] only the 6z phase analysis is available for the same system as the CMC as the 12z is not available yet [link to moe.met.fsu.edu]
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 01:07 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
the 12z CMC..makes landfall this run..two runs in a row..we'll see [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com]
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 02:14 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
Decent CAPE beginning to build here around TLH ahead of the next piece of energy, decent down across the Peninsula as well. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] High moisture pooling ahead of approaching shortwave as well: [link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
DoorBert

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02/23/2013 05:05 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
bump
Luisport (OP)

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02/23/2013 05:07 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
bump
 Quoting: DoorBert


Hi my friend, what do you think? Any chance?
OCCAM'S RAZOR

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02/23/2013 05:09 PM
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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
#1 thing to remember about Hurricanes

THEY ARE GIGANTIC "HEAT TRANSFER" MECHANISMS....i.e. heat 'moves' from hot---to---cold, until it runs out of energy. The equator is "hot" and the storm gets 'fed' heat as it moves northward into 'cold'...where it dissipates.

Therefore: if the earth is actually cooling, there will be fewer hurricanes.
DoorBert

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02/24/2013 10:32 AM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
bump
 Quoting: DoorBert


Hi my friend, what do you think? Any chance?
 Quoting: Luisport


Hi Luis:

Sorry, was out until now.

Just checked the latest models and looks like a non-event.

[link to moe.met.fsu.edu]

Take care my friend

hf
Luisport (OP)

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02/24/2013 05:00 PM

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Re: CMC is showing development off the florida coast..warm core??..hurricane season in March?
CMC is still persistent about this warm core system off the east coast..thats 4 runs in a row.. [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to moe.met.fsu.edu]

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