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Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*

 
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Hi Astro, you show us that the best place to see the impact if there is one would be off the west coast of Africa.

Will you be able to see it from The Observatory up mount Teide in Tenerife, Canary Islands?

I hope so, I'll be living about 20 mins from there very soon. There is a hotel near it where you can stay it gets pack with amateur Star Gazers etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601


Yes, in fact it will be about 20 degrees above the horizon from Tenerife, so pretty easily observable (I think Slooh also has a telescope up there but I don't know what its lower altitude limit is). Good idea, great observing location!

Last Edited by Astromut on 03/04/2013 06:46 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Hi Astro, you show us that the best place to see the impact if there is one would be off the west coast of Africa.

Will you be able to see it from The Observatory up mount Teide in Tenerife, Canary Islands?

I hope so, I'll be living about 20 mins from there very soon. There is a hotel near it where you can stay it gets pack with amateur Star Gazers etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601


Yes, in fact it will be about 20 degrees above the horizon from Tenerife, so pretty easily observable (I think Slooh also has a telescope up there but I don't know what its lower altitude limit is). Good idea, great observing location!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Thankyou so much. Have you ever been up Teide? It's just amazing what you get to see up there. Maybe you should make a trip there for this if this thing is gunna hit!
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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03/04/2013 06:49 PM

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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Hi Astro, you show us that the best place to see the impact if there is one would be off the west coast of Africa.

Will you be able to see it from The Observatory up mount Teide in Tenerife, Canary Islands?

I hope so, I'll be living about 20 mins from there very soon. There is a hotel near it where you can stay it gets pack with amateur Star Gazers etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601


Yes, in fact it will be about 20 degrees above the horizon from Tenerife, so pretty easily observable (I think Slooh also has a telescope up there but I don't know what its lower altitude limit is). Good idea, great observing location!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Thankyou so much. Have you ever been up Teide? It's just amazing what you get to see up there. Maybe you should make a trip there for this if this thing is gunna hit!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601

I rather like that idea. If it turns out it's going to hit I'll do everything I can to make it over that way. I've never been to Mt. Teide or the Canary islands before.
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03/04/2013 06:54 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Hi Astro, you show us that the best place to see the impact if there is one would be off the west coast of Africa.

Will you be able to see it from The Observatory up mount Teide in Tenerife, Canary Islands?

I hope so, I'll be living about 20 mins from there very soon. There is a hotel near it where you can stay it gets pack with amateur Star Gazers etc.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601


Yes, in fact it will be about 20 degrees above the horizon from Tenerife, so pretty easily observable (I think Slooh also has a telescope up there but I don't know what its lower altitude limit is). Good idea, great observing location!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Thankyou so much. Have you ever been up Teide? It's just amazing what you get to see up there. Maybe you should make a trip there for this if this thing is gunna hit!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 22896601

I rather like that idea. If it turns out it's going to hit I'll do everything I can to make it over that way. I've never been to Mt. Teide or the Canary islands before.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


you will love it, The people are very warm and friendly and there is so much more to do, I can not wait to move their in two months. You can go up the mountain on a new moon and just lie there (wrapped up as its bloody cold) and look at the milky way.
aphares
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03/04/2013 07:19 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Could someone please create a factode page, and eliminate all the bs so as calculations and changes occur there is a place to keep up, without the bikering ds.
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Could someone please create a factode page, and eliminate all the bs so as calculations and changes occur there is a place to keep up, without the bikering ds.
 Quoting: aphares 35284223


Not a bad idea. I added the video to the first post and I'll start adding updates there so you don't have to wade through the BS to find it.
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03/04/2013 07:30 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Here's my video update on the potential for collision with Mars (using astrometric data through March 1st):

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Thanks, Astro!
WISC

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03/04/2013 07:39 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Cool vid Astromut.
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 08:34 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
So will NASA leave Curiosity on Mars to die a painful death ?
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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03/04/2013 08:37 PM

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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
So will NASA leave Curiosity on Mars to die a painful death ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27901966


Yeah, pretty much. That was always going to be its fate, it's just going to come a lot sooner if this thing happens to hit the right spot.
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Halcyon Dayz, FCD

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03/04/2013 09:02 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Remember, "scientiests" for thousands of years adamantly maintained that the Earth was flat.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34153072

Out of which body orrifice did you pull this particularly non-factual factoid?

The ancient Greek had already proven that the Earth is spherical and measured its size, and they were proto-scientists at best.
Learn something about science and "scientiests" before talking about "scientiests".
It will make you look less like an idiot.
book

So will NASA leave Curiosity on Mars to die a painful death ?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27901966

The odds are it will be save.
Planets are big.

The probes orbiting Mars might have to plough through the thrown-up cloud of debris though.
Hitting even a tiny grain at those speeds would destroy the probe.
book

Last Edited by Halcyon Dayz, FCD on 03/04/2013 09:03 PM
Reaching for the sky makes you taller.

Hi! My name is Halcyon Dayz and I'm addicted to morans.
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 09:07 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Random twit here.

I for one see Dr Astro's video for what it is. Not a statement that there is definitely going to be a hit on Mars, but that with the available data, it can't be ruled out and is in fact, a distinct possibility.

In addition to that, he has also pointed out that if it does happen, when and where the best places are on Earth, to see it.

If it does happen, and you are in the choice viewing area, you will see something very very special. As far as I know, something that no one else on Earth has ever seen.

BTW, great vid.
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 09:11 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Thank you Doc!

For you: [link to www.youtube.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 09:16 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Random twit here.

I for one see Dr Astro's video for what it is. Not a statement that there is definitely going to be a hit on Mars, but that with the available data, it can't be ruled out and is in fact, a distinct possibility.

In addition to that, he has also pointed out that if it does happen, when and where the best places are on Earth, to see it.

If it does happen, and you are in the choice viewing area, you will see something very very special. As far as I know, something that no one else on Earth has ever seen.

BTW, great vid.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30120084


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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03/04/2013 09:20 PM

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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Random twit here.

I for one see Dr Astro's video for what it is. Not a statement that there is definitely going to be a hit on Mars, but that with the available data, it can't be ruled out and is in fact, a distinct possibility.

In addition to that, he has also pointed out that if it does happen, when and where the best places are on Earth, to see it.

If it does happen, and you are in the choice viewing area, you will see something very very special. As far as I know, something that no one else on Earth has ever seen.

BTW, great vid.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30120084


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
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03/04/2013 09:29 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Random twit here.

I for one see Dr Astro's video for what it is. Not a statement that there is definitely going to be a hit on Mars, but that with the available data, it can't be ruled out and is in fact, a distinct possibility.

In addition to that, he has also pointed out that if it does happen, when and where the best places are on Earth, to see it.

If it does happen, and you are in the choice viewing area, you will see something very very special. As far as I know, something that no one else on Earth has ever seen.

BTW, great vid.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30120084


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 09:33 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
and, ever since they tried to burn down the Siding Spring Observatory on January 13,
all of the other observatories in the world have been
afraid to publish the truth about Comet C/2013 A1 for fear
that they will be next.
 Quoting: Suzy Creamcheese


bump
fellowearthling

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03/04/2013 09:44 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Take my hat off to you Dr*
(or should that be Star Doc?)
for bothering to share your
calculations and video with
this eclectic community.

If it hits or not, the closeness
of a comet this size with our
reddish neighbour should be
one spectacular encounter!

I will have a cheers or two
next October and toast you
for your consideration!
"If you do not go within
You WILL go without."

A wiser man than I

"Standing on truth
Ensures eternal support."

"There is a perfectly logical
explanation for everything
and
a logically perfect everything
for explanations."

A phellow earthling
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 09:47 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.


well, i just looked at the map again, and i am wrong about the above.

it is as Dr. Astro says: the Comet could hit either side
of Mars, indeed.
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Random twit here.

I for one see Dr Astro's video for what it is. Not a statement that there is definitely going to be a hit on Mars, but that with the available data, it can't be ruled out and is in fact, a distinct possibility.

In addition to that, he has also pointed out that if it does happen, when and where the best places are on Earth, to see it.

If it does happen, and you are in the choice viewing area, you will see something very very special. As far as I know, something that no one else on Earth has ever seen.

BTW, great vid.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 30120084


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

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03/04/2013 09:59 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Astro is the go-to shill for GLP. It's always clear he has an agenda. He monitors this site 24/7. You CAN NOT make a "the moon is off" thread without astro being there in 30 seconds to debunk it by directing you to "his" thread with "his" calculations on where the mooon is supposed to be in "his" OPINION. And he will not leave said thread until he has derailed it or everyone agrees with him. But even on his own thread getting attacked does not reply, because he has no explanation.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 34249989


Maybe its because you fucking idiots still believe the world is flat, OH WAIT or that nibiru is coming, WAIT WAIT THERES MORE or that we should have somehow detected that minute small tiny chunk of space rock that hit russia and caused every single human being to finally realize that shit does hit Earth. IT is so easy to debunk most of the moronic theories produced here its not funny. Hats off to one of the true GLPers Dr ASTRO. A voice of intelligence in a sea of stupidity.
 Quoting: SnakeBite


clappa
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Those who beat their swords into plowshares usually end up plowing for those who kept their swords. -Benjamin Franklin
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
19 pages and I haven't read any of it.
Anonymous Coward
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03/04/2013 10:05 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
...


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


yes. i have already apologized for my error.
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
...


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.
[link to www.youtube.com]
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


yes. i have already apologized for my error.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


We posted at the same time. Apology accepted.
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Anonymous Coward
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
...


sure. you'll see Mars, if you have a big telescope.
but the show is going to be on the other side of the planet than what your viewing.

(maybe you'll see it wobble back and forth when the comet hits, though)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


What are the possible scenarios if the comet has a very close flyby that alters the course of the its orbit to either impact mars of another planets. maybe even earth.

for example passes very close causing a serious deviation in orbit sending it to the inner solar system>?
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
...


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


What are the possible scenarios if the comet has a very close flyby that alters the course of the its orbit to either impact mars of another planets. maybe even earth.

for example passes very close causing a serious deviation in orbit sending it to the inner solar system>?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2310364


The comet is traveling so fast relative to Mars that even a very near miss results in negligible deviation. The comet is very near perihelion by the time it reaches Mars and because of its extremely inclined orbit it does not get anywhere near any other planets. My simulation took into account the gravity of Mars as well as the other planets, and yet even the closest virtual comets did not have their orbits significantly changed by the encounter, let alone in a way that would permit an encounter with another planet.
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03/04/2013 10:26 PM
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
...


As I showed in my video, that is unknown at this time, if it hits (unlikely, but possible) it could hit either side of the planet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


What are the possible scenarios if the comet has a very close flyby that alters the course of the its orbit to either impact mars of another planets. maybe even earth.

for example passes very close causing a serious deviation in orbit sending it to the inner solar system>?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2310364


interesting point. yes. there is some scenario where the
Comet can get so close to Mars that it is pulled into
a partial "orbital state", and ends up getting sling-shotted 90 degrees in a new direction.
Dr. AstroModerator  (OP)
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03/04/2013 10:31 PM

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...


with the direction it's coming from, it can only and
solely hit the far side of Mars (from earth's view), dumb ass.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


What are the possible scenarios if the comet has a very close flyby that alters the course of the its orbit to either impact mars of another planets. maybe even earth.

for example passes very close causing a serious deviation in orbit sending it to the inner solar system>?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2310364


interesting point. yes. there is some scenario where the
Comet can get so close to Mars that it is pulled into
a partial "orbital state", and ends up getting sling-shotted 90 degrees in a new direction.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Mars doesn't have enough gravity to do that. Even at extremely close approaches the comet's orbit is not significantly impacted, its simply traveling far too fast. To put this into some perspective, at the surface of Mars escape velocity is 5 km/sec. This comet will be traveling at about 11 times that velocity relative to Mars. If you disagree, then by all means post the orbital elements or state vectors that show this "scenario" occurring consistent with the astrometric data of the comet.
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03/04/2013 10:35 PM
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...


Watch the video, it can hit either side.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro


What are the possible scenarios if the comet has a very close flyby that alters the course of the its orbit to either impact mars of another planets. maybe even earth.

for example passes very close causing a serious deviation in orbit sending it to the inner solar system>?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 2310364


interesting point. yes. there is some scenario where the
Comet can get so close to Mars that it is pulled into
a partial "orbital state", and ends up getting sling-shotted 90 degrees in a new direction.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1545225


Mars doesn't have enough gravity to do that. Even at extremely close approaches the comet's orbit is not significantly impacted, its simply traveling far too fast. To put this into some perspective, at the surface of Mars escape velocity is 5 km/sec. This comet will be traveling at about 11 times that velocity relative to Mars. If you disagree, then by all means post the orbital elements or state vectors that show this "scenario" occurring consistent with the astrometric data of the comet.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


I figured the speed would be too great. That makes sense. thanks for the answer
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Re: Potential Epic Comet Collision with Mars in 2014 *UPDATE: VIDEO ON FIRST POST*
Histogram of close approach distances
[link to spaceobs.org]





GLP