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Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter

 
DoorBert

User ID: 870568
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02/28/2013 08:58 AM

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Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Overnight model runs continue to show the possibility of an east coast winter storm next week, around March 5-7.

The map below is from an American model and depicts a storm gaining strength off of the Carolina coast.

[link to sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net (secure)]

Big questions remain: will it move to the north, will cold air remain, and will the storm intensify as significantly as some models say it will.

We'll probably have a better idea of how the situation will evolve this weekend; until then, we'll continue to examine data to make an accurate prediction.

In the meantime, residents from Virginia to New York City should continue to monitor this possible storm.

It has the potential to be a big one.

While this storm could be big, it could also be the season's last.

Most long range models say spring weather will arrive....perhaps for good...come the second half of March.

[link to www.facebook.com]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 03/01/2013 01:57 PM
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 09:04 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anyone have a groundhog recipe?.....
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 09:15 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
bump
Anonymous Coward
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02/28/2013 09:27 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
gaah
DoorBert (OP)

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02/28/2013 09:32 AM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Also showing a potential blizzard for Iowa and Illinois

[link to grib2.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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02/28/2013 09:39 AM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
EURO has genesis just off the Outer Banks.

Need to watch if it rides NE and inside the Benchmark

[link to moe.met.fsu.edu]
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 07:27 AM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi

ecmwf goes buckwild with monster next week. Shades of 1962 storm, on same dates!

[link to twitter.com]

Last Edited by DoorBert on 03/01/2013 07:28 AM
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 07:33 AM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Latest GFS has a 990mb surface low.

[link to weather.rap.ucar.edu]


EURO

[link to raleighwx.americanwx.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/01/2013 07:37 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Geez, so now you're the weather girl too?

tounge
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 07:41 AM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
622 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013

MAJOR CSTL STORM REMAINS IN PLAY FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

00Z GFS SUPPORTS THE PATTERN THAT THE ECMWF HAS BEEN ADVERTISING FOR
THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH REGARD TO THE LOW NEXT WEEK. FOR THIS
REASON...WILL NOT STRAY FROM THE 00Z ECMWF FOR THIS FCST.

SWIRL ON STLT AT ABOUT 45N/150W OVER THE PACIFIC LOOKS TO BE THE
MAIN UPR LVL FEATURE TO FOLLOW. A SFC LOW EJECTS FROM THE
PLAINS...GATHERS MOISTURE FROM THE GOMEX...THEN IS CAPTURED BY THE
UPR LOW OFF THE E COAST.

CWA WILL BE ON THE NRN SIDE OF THE STORM...WITH PROLONGED STRONG
E/ENE FLOW AND HVY PCPN. THE LOW IS NOT PROGGED TO DROP BLW THE 990S
ATTM...BUT A STRONG GRADIENT WILL SET UP WITH A 1030S HIGH OVER THE
MARITIMES.

QPF OVER AN INCH. THE ELY COMPONENT FLOW SHOULD KEEP THE PCPN MOSTLY
RAIN ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COASTS. INTERIOR SPOTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
WITH SOME ELEVATION...COULD RECEIVE WRNG LVL WET SNOW.

THE SYSTEM IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...SO CHANGES IN THE EXACT
TRACK CAN BE EXPECTED.

[link to forecast.weather.gov]
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 01:52 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Accu-Weather Met:

ECMWF surface and precip for Wed eve. It has a DC special with a foot of snow

GFS trend is to come north like the ECMWF with major Nor' easter along the coast.


[link to twitter.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 01:59 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
12Z GFS has about 12" Philly to NYC. More for Catskills to Albany.

[link to pbs.twimg.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/01/2013 02:05 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Please no, we have had enough...go away storm
Anonymous Coward
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03/01/2013 02:08 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
12Z GFS has about 12" Philly to NYC. More for Catskills to Albany.

[link to pbs.twimg.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


cry
DoorBert (OP)

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03/01/2013 02:37 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Example of upcoming Winter Storm Sequester using White House logic. This box floats wherever it can get publicity

[link to pbs.twimg.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 09:29 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Doorbert where are you ????
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 09:54 AM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
So what does this mean for the Raleigh are?
abeliever

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03/03/2013 04:33 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Accu-Weather Met:

ECMWF surface and precip for Wed eve. It has a DC special with a foot of snow

GFS trend is to come north like the ECMWF with major Nor' easter along the coast.


[link to twitter.com]
 Quoting: DoorBert


Nice! We've only had 2" in DC to date. My New England bones say "Bring it on!"

Hot chocolate and marshmallow time!

bump
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 05:09 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anyone have a groundhog recipe?.....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1404507


lol
Olea Yimoria

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03/03/2013 05:14 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anyone have a groundhog recipe?.....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1404507


lol
 Quoting: --Voltaic--


I'm sure they have one at the Roadkill Cafe..(lol)
With a family tree as crazy as mine who needs the shrubs?
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 05:16 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anything for the Mid Ohio Valley?
MHz

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03/03/2013 05:18 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
4" really wet snow and 12C for the next few days, litter deeper next door.

[link to www.theweathernetwork.com]
DoorBert (OP)

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03/03/2013 05:18 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Thanks for pin
MHz

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03/03/2013 05:20 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anyone have a groundhog recipe?.....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1404507


lol
 Quoting: --Voltaic--

Not one that doesn't involve getting him when he's plump. Make doughnut holes all winter long.
Munsoned
The name's not boy, it's Roy!

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03/03/2013 05:24 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
I hope not. My back is just getting better from the last one.
Freedom requires breathing room, the Constitution presupposes that there will be some crazies among us so that the rest of us can enjoy freedom. - Judge Andrew Napolitano

A huge shit cloud is coming!
Mr. Toppit

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03/03/2013 05:26 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Do they need a name? I'd suggest Trayvon. The snowplows can stay in the barn.
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 05:35 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
This should start to look interesting around Tuesday.

popcorn
DoorBert (OP)

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03/03/2013 05:50 PM

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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
359 PM EST SUN MAR 3 2013

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
**SUBSTANTIAL LONG DURATION NOREASTER FOR AT LEAST THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF OUR AREA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY**

DEFERRED ON WATCHES AT THIS TIME SINCE WE`RE FORECAST FOR PERIODS
6-8...72 TO 96 HOURS IN ADVANCE.

THOSE WITH CONCERNS FOR S NJ...DE AND E MD SHORE AND FAR SE PA
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY SHOULD MONITOR LATER STATEMENTS...WATCHES
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS BEGINNING TOMORROW
MORNING:

COASTAL FLOOD...MODERATE OR MAJOR COASTAL FLOOD THREAT FOR THE S
NJ AND ESPECIALLY DELAWARE ATLANTIC COAST. PLEASE SEE TIDE SECTION
FOR MORE DETAILS.

WIND...POTENTIAL HIGH WIND EVENT /60 MPH GUSTS/ FOR COASTAL SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND ESPECIALLY COASTAL DELAWARE WITH WIND ADVISORY
POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL DELAWARE...E
MD AND INTERIOR SOUTH THIRD OF NJ POSSIBLY THROUGH PHILADELPHIA
AND SE PA.

SNOW...ESPECIALLY ELEVATIONS. THE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE
GOVERNS RAIN/SNOW.

RIGHT NOW THE LOWEST 50 MB ABOVE 0C LAYER IS THE DIFFICULTY ON
CONFIDENTLY FORECASTING A MAJOR WET SNOW. IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT
THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF HEAVY WET SNOW THAT WILL ACCUMULATE
SEVERAL SLOPPY INCHES IN PARTS OF OUR AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN
DELAWARE AND ADJACENT NE MD AND POSSIBLY SE PA. 06Z-12Z/3 GFS
DENDRITE GROWTH LOOKS TO BE SUBSTANTIAL FOR 12 HOURS WEDNESDAY
OVER E MD AND DE. HOWEVER... ITS FAR TOO EARLY TO BE CONFIDENT ON
AMOUNTS... TIMING AND AREAL COVERAGE. IF THIS RAIN CHANGING TO
HEAVY WET SNOW DOES OCCUR...AND IT LASTS FOR 6 HOURS OR MORE WITH
THE SURFACE TEMP 33F...WE WOULD HAVE A CHANCE FOR POWER OUTAGES
DUE TO WET SNOW ACCRETION ON TREES AND WIRES. AGAIN FAR TOO EARLY.

FOR NOW OUR SNOW GRIDS ARE VERY CONSERVATIVE DUE TO THE SFC TEMPS.

[link to forecast.weather.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 05:56 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Anyone have a groundhog recipe?.....
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 1404507


Id like to ring that things neck!
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 06:02 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
doorbert, whats ur thoughts on the ohio valley on how much snow they will get?
Anonymous Coward
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03/03/2013 06:03 PM
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Re: Significant East-Coast Storm Forecast for Next Week. One-Foot of Snow for DC, Philly, NYC! Major Nor'easter
Looks like rain Tuesday and the a rain snow mix Wednesday here in my area.

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