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Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

 
Dr. AstroModerator
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03/17/2013 09:23 AM

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Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth


*Some follow-up info:

And as it turned out, the guy who made these elements used the TLE format but meant for them to be used in reference to the sun rather than earth (even though the TLE format is specific to earth). Here are the results of that:
Follow-up video with the re-analysis assuming the TLE's were actually supposed to be heliocentric.

 Quoting: Dr. Astro

Analysis of the second set of TLE's revealed the April Fool's nature of the joke:
...


Just a thought....

What if the epoch was changed to the mar 25 date. Am I sort of understanding this right?

Does that change anything? Is that how it works?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23559912


But that's not what it says, at all. I'm running an integration right now with it set to January 1st 2000, since that's the date it seems to indicate if you take it using the same logic used for the first set presented.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Ah. Definitely waiting for it! Thx!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23559912


Ha. Ha ha. That's funny, actually. Ok, so the second set misses earth by a bigger margin than the first set (no doubt because whoever tried to construct this probably did so without taking into account the gravity of the planets, relativity, etc - they probably thought this was another impactor orbit) BUT the asteroid does cross earth's orbit at midnight on April 1st, 2013. Cute. Whoever did this at least had a sense of humor.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!

Last Edited by Dr. Astro on 03/20/2013 09:32 PM
astrobanner2
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03/17/2013 09:26 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I think NASA is hiding something anyone agree With me?
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 09:27 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


make mine a parma thx.. ;)
Chrit

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03/17/2013 09:28 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
Just begging to invoke the GLP effect.

Doom on!


chuckle
I'm only human, it's my biggest flaw.

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SnakeAirlines

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03/17/2013 09:29 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I think NASA is hiding something anyone agree With me?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35932031


Lots of morans agree with you...
"Hold my cat while I bring in my tomato plant. That chemtrail looks like an earthquake chemtrail"

deanoZXT-07/20/2014 07:48 PM
Dr. Ben Schillen
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03/17/2013 09:29 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
Thanks for the post Astro.
The Dudester

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03/17/2013 09:32 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
Thanks Dr. Astro, I hope this settles it.

It's amazing how you put in the time and effort to make these videos.
"Sometimes you eat the bar, and sometimes the bar, well it eats you."
Caseman1967
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03/17/2013 09:34 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
That is like saying the truth about the lie is not the truth.
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 09:38 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
On what day is it not hitting us?
SnakeAirlines

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03/17/2013 09:39 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
On what day is it not hitting us?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35629325


Every Day.

pick
"Hold my cat while I bring in my tomato plant. That chemtrail looks like an earthquake chemtrail"

deanoZXT-07/20/2014 07:48 PM
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03/17/2013 09:40 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
i'm scared uhoh
SunsFlare

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03/17/2013 09:43 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Did you personally make this video Dr. Astro?
Dr. AstroModerator (OP)
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03/17/2013 09:46 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Did you personally make this video Dr. Astro?
 Quoting: SunsFlare


Yessiree
astrobanner2
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03/17/2013 09:47 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
bsflagbsflagbsflag
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 09:52 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
On what day is it not hitting us?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35629325


Every Day.

pick
 Quoting: SnakeAirlines


except for the day after that other day..
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 09:52 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
a contrary indicator ?



hiding
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03/17/2013 09:52 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
applause2
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03/17/2013 09:56 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I think NASA is hiding something anyone agree With me?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35932031


NASA Couldn't find an asteroid if it landed in it landed in Orlando!
SunsFlare

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03/17/2013 09:58 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Did you personally make this video Dr. Astro?
 Quoting: SunsFlare


Yessiree
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Nice to connect the dots. :) I have been subscribed for some time now. I just featured your Comet Pan-STARRS timelapse video on my facebook page yesterday.. Nice work!
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03/17/2013 09:59 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
Cool.
Mamadee is proof. [link to www.msf.org]
Raymond Brown
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03/17/2013 10:02 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I strongly disagree

I have presented bags of evidence in my thread recording this object and where it will hit

This is a very real event
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 10:04 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
An honest scientist would admit that they have no clue if or when an asteroid will hit. So for the atheists it's like a big lottery.
Resister

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03/17/2013 10:04 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
whew

Now all we have to worry about is economic collapse, government tyranny, civil unrest, famine, plague, and the zombie apocalypse.
"God forbid we should ever be 20 years without such a rebellion. The people cannot be all, & always, well informed... If they remain quiet under such misconceptions it is a lethargy, the forerunner of death to the public liberty... Let them take arms... What signify a few lives lost in a century or two? The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots & tyrants. " - Thomas Jefferson in 1787
Dr. AstroModerator (OP)
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03/17/2013 10:07 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
An honest scientist would admit that they have no clue if or when an asteroid will hit. So for the atheists it's like a big lottery.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 31653049


The data are the data, and in this case the data are severely fucked up. Now someone suggested I run it as if these "TLE's" were heliocentric instead, which is not what a TLE is supposed to be but ok. I did that and here's the result:
Can those be re-ran (so to speak) with an assumption that the orbital elements are using the sun as the center / reference point instead of the earth? Does that change anything. I.e. make it helio centric (is that the right term!) instead of earth centric?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23559912


Done on the conversion I mentioned, give me a few minutes to reboot into linux to check the result in ORSA. Forgive me if I don't render a whole new video about it though, takes forever on my machine.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Aha, that is definitely what was apparently meant by those screwed up TLE's. That does produce an "asteroid" that gets close to earth. At its closest, 15,000 km from earth's center, or a little less than 9000 km from the surface. Still a miss and a fail, but a much closer miss. The date and time of the miss would be 9.755 days prior to the epoch of the elements, in other words, it would have already hit us yesterday if it were going to hit lol.
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Whoever constructed this hoax tried at least a little harder than I first though, but it's still a badly constructed hoax.
astrobanner2
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03/17/2013 10:08 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I strongly disagree

I have presented bags of evidence in my thread recording this object and where it will hit

This is a very real event
 Quoting: Raymond Brown 10917219


Consider it a copliment if Dr. Astro is doing a video on your thread

SmileyGlas
Dr. AstroModerator (OP)
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth

Doom off, Schnitzels for everyone!
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Did you personally make this video Dr. Astro?
 Quoting: SunsFlare


Yessiree
 Quoting: Dr. Astro


Nice to connect the dots. :) I have been subscribed for some time now. I just featured your Comet Pan-STARRS timelapse video on my facebook page yesterday.. Nice work!
 Quoting: SunsFlare


Thanks man, I appreciate it!
astrobanner2
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03/17/2013 10:10 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
No one can predict such a thing.
Anonymous Coward
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03/17/2013 10:12 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I think NASA is hiding something anyone agree With me?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35932031


Lots of morans agree with you...
 Quoting: SnakeAirlines


You misspelled moron
Dr. AstroModerator (OP)
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03/17/2013 10:12 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
No one can predict such a thing.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 23657849


I think some of you are missing the point of this thread which I had hoped would be made clear by the video, but either people aren't watching it before commenting or they aren't paying close enough attention. It's a parody of the title of the thread that contained the hoax I debunked, "Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid to hit earth"
astrobanner2
Dr. AstroModerator (OP)
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03/17/2013 10:13 AM

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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
I think NASA is hiding something anyone agree With me?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 35932031


Lots of morans agree with you...
 Quoting: SnakeAirlines


You misspelled moron
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 27688795


newhere
astrobanner2
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03/17/2013 10:14 AM
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Re: Scientist confirms extinction event asteroid will NOT hit earth
OP = TROLL
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