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Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!

 
Luisport (OP)

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03/27/2013 02:05 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Aren't there some homes that sit almost at the base? Thanks for the updates.
 Quoting: Skepticnumberone


no, i don't think so...
Luisport (OP)

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03/27/2013 02:20 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Jamie 24hr Hekla watch says:

March 27, 2013 at 21:10


I posted this a few weeks ago, its ground deforfation at one of the meters near Hekla. It shows a steady trend to the north-west. If you notice the normal east motion, it started moving slowly north and then west in October to December timeframe.

[link to strokkur.raunvis.hi.is]


Jamie 24hr Hekla watch says:

March 27, 2013 at 21:15


this one is a little more pronounced.

[link to strokkur.raunvis.hi.is]

Heres one for the ISAK station, jumped up 20mm in last week.

[link to strokkur.raunvis.hi.is]


Inge B. says:

March 27, 2013 at 21:18


Would mean more magma in the northeastern part of Hekla, see map: [link to strokkur.raunvis.hi.is]
Luisport (OP)

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03/27/2013 02:54 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Jamie 24hr Hekla watch says:

March 27, 2013 at 21:52


It really bothers me that you can see quakes on the tremor graphs but not the map. I guess they are triple checking their math.

[link to hraun.vedur.is]
[link to hraun.vedur.is]
[link to hraun.vedur.is]
[link to www.jonfr.com]
Luisport (OP)

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03/27/2013 03:03 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
strain in Hekla is rising now [link to hraun.vedur.is]
Anonymous Coward
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03/27/2013 03:05 PM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Sorry, sorry this is all my fault. Every year we fly on holiday for three out of the past four a volcano has gone up in Iceland. Last year no holiday, no ash cloud. this year we're booked for August so it'll go off in July.
Luisport (OP)

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03/27/2013 03:06 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Sorry, sorry this is all my fault. Every year we fly on holiday for three out of the past four a volcano has gone up in Iceland. Last year no holiday, no ash cloud. this year we're booked for August so it'll go off in July.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 36950412


tounge
Skepticnumberone

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03/27/2013 03:26 PM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Sorry, sorry this is all my fault. Every year we fly on holiday for three out of the past four a volcano has gone up in Iceland. Last year no holiday, no ash cloud. this year we're booked for August so it'll go off in July.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 36950412


hidb
Skepticnumberone
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 01:29 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
islander a la Hekla* says:

March 27, 2013 at 23:42


Hekla “news service” latest scoop : IMO has brought back online the forth (4) SIL for monitoring the greater Hekla area. These are HAU from the west, fedgar ( [link to hraun.vedur.is] from the north, VAT from the east and MJO from the south. Nothing EQ wise then can escape the sharp eyes of the IMO staff. [link to hraun.vedur.is]
Fedgar is not on this overall map.
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 02:47 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
islander a la Hekla* says:

March 28, 2013 at 09:38


IMO site is not updating, quakes in Askja area at 08:33 hrs do not seem appear, yet quite visible on dosens of SIL stations over most part of Iceland. [link to en.vedur.is]
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 03:26 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Hekla strain is strange again... [link to hraun.vedur.is]
Anonymous Coward
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03/28/2013 03:28 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Hekla strain is strange again... [link to hraun.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Luisport


what exactly? lolsign
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 03:30 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Hekla strain is strange again... [link to hraun.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Luisport


what exactly? lolsign
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


a diferent behaviour in the last hour, don't you think? But i don't understand much of it... but no transients yet
Anonymous Coward
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03/28/2013 03:42 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Hekla strain is strange again... [link to hraun.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Luisport


what exactly? lolsign
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


a diferent behaviour in the last hour, don't you think? But i don't understand much of it... but no transients yet
 Quoting: Luisport


you know my point of view - and if the eruption begins, then as an outpouring of the fissures in the vicinities of Hekla. so imo very unlikely that these devices will have time to tell us a lot about his approach, except for a very short time before it...
a similar behaviour in my opinion there are observed regularly enough and long time ...
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 04:22 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Hekla strain is strange again... [link to hraun.vedur.is]
 Quoting: Luisport


what exactly? lolsign
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


a diferent behaviour in the last hour, don't you think? But i don't understand much of it... but no transients yet
 Quoting: Luisport


you know my point of view - and if the eruption begins, then as an outpouring of the fissures in the vicinities of Hekla. so imo very unlikely that these devices will have time to tell us a lot about his approach, except for a very short time before it...
a similar behaviour in my opinion there are observed regularly enough and long time ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


hf
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 04:52 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
...


what exactly? lolsign
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


a diferent behaviour in the last hour, don't you think? But i don't understand much of it... but no transients yet
 Quoting: Luisport


you know my point of view - and if the eruption begins, then as an outpouring of the fissures in the vicinities of Hekla. so imo very unlikely that these devices will have time to tell us a lot about his approach, except for a very short time before it...
a similar behaviour in my opinion there are observed regularly enough and long time ...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37010009


hf
 Quoting: Luisport


islander a la Hekla* says:

March 28, 2013 at 10:44


It is unusual (not strange), HEK is unusual, no upward trend at the moment is suggesting the “de-strain” is equal to “normal-upswing” (per the Burfell strain), when BUR goes down (+ about 1 hr delay) then HEK will likely drop like a stone. This HEK “down only” trend for several days now, might suggest something is “giving slowly in” (letting go or moving apart) but if that is Hekla per se, or the Iceland “drift zone” (Dead Zone) moving, or if this slowly decreasing strain is indicator of eventual Hekla boom time, time will only tell. No more quakes today, then it´s past time for the next one?, as if they are some thing ongoing, they seem have stopped. Still wainting for quake number 8.
[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/28/2013 06:05 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Kobba says:

March 26, 2013 at 11:22


[link to www.dv.is]
Somethings are up with Hekla….Alert levels raised to yellow due to “peculiar unrest” in Hekla

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Kobba says:

March 26, 2013 at 11:23


Translated: National Commissioner of Police and the Commissioner of Hvolsvöllur declare confidence level of civil eruptions of Hekla

The Icelandic Meteorological Office has informed the National Commissioner for Civil unusual Seismicity at Hekla. IMO has also increased monitoring points Hekla to yellow due to air traffic, which means that the volcano show unusual activity.

Uncertainty level civil means for increased monitoring of the actions of that at a later stage could lead to health and human safety, environmental or building will be threatened. To describe the level of uncertainty is part of the processes in the organization of civil protection to ensure formal communication and information. Uncertainty level is declared to inform the appropriate emergency and is a process in civil emergency planning and the lowest of the three.

In light of this, will the National Police Commissioner and the Commissioner of Hvolsvöllur warn people on journeys while Hekla uncertainty level is valid.

[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


smoke in the left corner !!!explication?? [link to www.livefromiceland.is]
Luisport (OP)

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03/28/2013 11:18 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
The strain in Hekla is “large and spiky” [link to hraun.vedur.is]
Skepticnumberone

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03/28/2013 11:52 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Is activity increasing? As always, thanks for the updates!
Skepticnumberone
Luisport (OP)

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03/29/2013 05:44 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Inge B. says:

March 29, 2013 at 12:26


Godabunga took over some action from Hekla, it seems: [link to hraun.vedur.is]

Reply


Inge B. says:

March 29, 2013 at 12:37


But I also still have an eye on Bárdarbunga. GPS shows a bit of subsidence: [link to strokkur.raunvis.hi.is] and there is still lively action on the tremor plot: [link to hraun.vedur.is] (no expert)

[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
Skepticnumberone

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03/29/2013 08:22 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Will it just erupt and surprise everyone?
Skepticnumberone
Luisport (OP)

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03/29/2013 12:39 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Will it just erupt and surprise everyone?
 Quoting: Skepticnumberone


maby, it's not the first time Hekla don't give any warning
Luisport (OP)

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03/29/2013 12:44 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
islander on slopes of Hekla* says:

March 29, 2013 at 14:48


There is still yellow alert on Hekla and will remain untill next week. What yuo see is not Hekla related, some rather strong quakes at Langjökull, 2.4R, and storm waves are pounding the coastline (coarse looking strain) and such. Hekla is NOT stirring (yet).
Luisport (OP)

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03/29/2013 12:55 PM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Inge b. says:

March 29, 2013 at 17:52


Hekla plot getting livlier. [link to hraun.vedur.is]

The first spike is the 3,2 magn. quake which just happened at part of the Langjökull swarm (8 quakes sofar), but I still believe in a tectonic origin. [link to en.vedur.is] as the red component is not moving on the next SIL station’s tremor plot: [link to hraun.vedur.is]
Luisport (OP)

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Irpsit says:

March 29, 2013 at 20:50


Hi everyone. Earthquake 3.5 in Langjokull. This is a region just 30km north from where I am!

I haven’t felt anything !!!, so this earthquake was probably deep.

This region is quite dormant, but earthquakes have occurred in past months in the Geysir area. Well, there is geothermal activity on a few spots, Geysir is one of them. But this area is further north.

These earthquakes can be tectonic or volcanic, I do not know. The volcanic system is Hveravellir and many eruptions have occurred there, mostly forming shield volcanoes and large lava eruptions, but no significant explosive behavior. Last one was probably 1000-2000 years ago. Just a few dozen eruptions in the Holocene. This can be, most likely, a fracture that occurred in a rock, A volcanic swarm would have more deep earthquakes I would guess.

What seems to be volcanic is the earthquakes under Vatnajokull: plenty of deep ones and quite moderate size. Under Grimsvotn, Kistufell, Hamarinn, Kverfjoll and Askja. Just about everywhere around the hotspot! This seems like a pulse of magma and making intrusions over those volcanoes. Any of them is quite likely to erupt within the next years. We expect Grimsvotn, and can expect also some minor eruption at Askja (likely anywhere between VEI1 and 3). Then there is the subglacial behavior happening under Hamarinn but nothing major so far. Kverfjoll is another volcano that sooner or later will have an eruption (likely in the range VEI2-4).

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Inge B. says:

March 29, 2013 at 20:54


Depth was 4,1 km

[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
Luisport (OP)

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04/01/2013 01:00 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Irpsit says:

March 31, 2013 at 23:38


Some earthquakes today in Iceland might be linked to magmatic movements: as usual the ones in Askja and north of Bárdarbunga (now even deeper than usual), also some very deep quakes at Kverfjoll and also deep earthquake swarm east of Grimsey. This I thought it could be tectonic but the earthquakes are just too deep, around 18km deep. However there is some regions in Tjornes seismic zone, where some possible subduction could be happening; this could be it. Nevertheless, there has been volcanic activity in the area, and it could happen again.

Other than that, so many people looking for Hekla, but it seems the action is happening really elsewhere: Askja, Kverfjoll and Kistufell (north of Bárdarbunga) are also having their run-up to their eruptions, and plenty much more ignored and overlooked than Hekla. I mean, Askja and Kistufell have inflation and plenty deep earthquakes and often swarms. What more do you need? With Askja, we only expect a small VEI2 fissural eruption, but Kistufell could be headed for an eruption with a larger volume of lava released (that area only has the largest shield volcano in Iceland and extremely large lava fields).

Likewise for Kverfjoll, a volcano that clearly also shows it is running towards an eruption, after some 80 years of sleep. Kverfjoll has usually small explosive eruptions, with some Gjálp-like lava eruptions.

By expecting an eruption on these volcanoes in “soon” I might within the next decades in Kverfjoll, and within the next few years (probably) at Askja. Kistufell has more rarer eruptions.
[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
Anonymous Coward
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04/01/2013 01:32 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
Irpsit says:

March 31, 2013 at 23:38


Some earthquakes today in Iceland might be linked to magmatic movements: as usual the ones in Askja and north of Bárdarbunga (now even deeper than usual), also some very deep quakes at Kverfjoll and also deep earthquake swarm east of Grimsey. This I thought it could be tectonic but the earthquakes are just too deep, around 18km deep. However there is some regions in Tjornes seismic zone, where some possible subduction could be happening; this could be it. Nevertheless, there has been volcanic activity in the area, and it could happen again.

Other than that, so many people looking for Hekla, but it seems the action is happening really elsewhere: Askja, Kverfjoll and Kistufell (north of Bárdarbunga) are also having their run-up to their eruptions, and plenty much more ignored and overlooked than Hekla. I mean, Askja and Kistufell have inflation and plenty deep earthquakes and often swarms. What more do you need? With Askja, we only expect a small VEI2 fissural eruption, but Kistufell could be headed for an eruption with a larger volume of lava released (that area only has the largest shield volcano in Iceland and extremely large lava fields).

Likewise for Kverfjoll, a volcano that clearly also shows it is running towards an eruption, after some 80 years of sleep. Kverfjoll has usually small explosive eruptions, with some Gjálp-like lava eruptions.

By expecting an eruption on these volcanoes in “soon” I might within the next decades in Kverfjoll, and within the next few years (probably) at Askja. Kistufell has more rarer eruptions.
[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
 Quoting: Luisport


Carl ? damned
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
[link to www.jonfr.com]
Earthquake swarm east of Grímsey island (TFZ)

Posted on March 31, 2013 by Jon Frimann

Today at 05:25 UTC a earthquake swarm started east of Grímsey island. But this island is located in the Tjornes Fracture Zone. The largest earthquake today is a magnitude 2.8. No larger earthquakes have taken place so.
Earthquake activity is common in this area of Iceland so this is nothing unusual. This earthquake swarm is not connected to any volcano activity that I know of. If anything major happens. I am going to write a blog post about it soon as I can do so.
Luisport (OP)

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04/01/2013 01:48 AM

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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
[link to www.jonfr.com]
Earthquake swarm east of Grímsey island (TFZ)

Posted on March 31, 2013 by Jon Frimann

Today at 05:25 UTC a earthquake swarm started east of Grímsey island. But this island is located in the Tjornes Fracture Zone. The largest earthquake today is a magnitude 2.8. No larger earthquakes have taken place so.
Earthquake activity is common in this area of Iceland so this is nothing unusual. This earthquake swarm is not connected to any volcano activity that I know of. If anything major happens. I am going to write a blog post about it soon as I can do so.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37225336


In that region, as you know it's usual quake swarms, even biger and they should be tectonic, but in several regions of Iceland it seams we will get some action in near time...
Anonymous Coward
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04/01/2013 01:58 AM
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
[link to www.jonfr.com]
Earthquake swarm east of Grímsey island (TFZ)

Posted on March 31, 2013 by Jon Frimann

Today at 05:25 UTC a earthquake swarm started east of Grímsey island. But this island is located in the Tjornes Fracture Zone. The largest earthquake today is a magnitude 2.8. No larger earthquakes have taken place so.
Earthquake activity is common in this area of Iceland so this is nothing unusual. This earthquake swarm is not connected to any volcano activity that I know of. If anything major happens. I am going to write a blog post about it soon as I can do so.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 37225336


In that region, as you know it's usual quake swarms, even biger and they should be tectonic, but in several regions of Iceland it seams we will get some action in near time...
 Quoting: Luisport


agreed with you and with:
[link to volcanocafe.wordpress.com]
islander *in blurb mode* says:
March 31, 2013 at 19:25
Total Iceland quakes per day has increased, saying there is more movement in the rock these days than last weeks, these were rather quiet. This increase in number and larger size of eartquakes can be taken as ceratin sign… perhaps this movement can tip the scales at Hekla and rip it open. I think this can happen *not expert*hf
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Re: Iceland Civil Protection Service has declared “uncertainty phase” at Mount Hekla!!! UPDATES!!!
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Last Edited by Luisport on 04/01/2013 03:13 AM