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Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!

 
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:33 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
FLUS44 KHGX 101455
HWOHGX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
955 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>200-210>214-226-227-235>238-111500-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-BRAZOS-BURLESON-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-
GALVESTON-GRIMES-HARRIS-HOUSTON-JACKSON-LIBERTY-MADISON-MATAG​ORDA-
MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-TRINITY-WALKER-WALLER-WASHINGTON-
WHARTON-
955 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE STORM SYSTEM AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT.

SCATTERED AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON HOURS. A
WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH FAVORABLE JET
DYNAMICS ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS AS THESE SYSTEMS MOVE ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN
HALF OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL MAINLY NORTHEAST OF A
MADISONVILLE TO CLEVELAND LINE.
THERE IS A STRONG TEMPERATURE
INVERSION BETWEEN 5000 AND 10000 FEET AND THIS LIMIT CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL TODAY FOR AREAS SOUTH AND WEST OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
LINE. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL 20 TO 25 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE WAKE OF THE FRONT SO PERSONS WHO WORK OUTDOORS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR A QUICK AND ROBUST TEMPERATURE DROP.
Luisport

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04/10/2013 12:34 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather2 min
RT @reedtimmertvn: Freezing rain, sleet, thunderstorms, hail here in central/western OK with reported power outages just W OKC! #okwx...
 Quoting: Luisport


Thanks Luis for keeping the thread going. (read what I posted on the first page)

I know I can always count on you!!!

hf
 Quoting: CowgirlK


Of course you can! hf
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:37 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Wednesday Morning Update on Winter Storm impacting the Tri-State area



[link to youtu.be]
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:40 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
IA/IL

Multi-Media Weather Briefing - Apr 10, 2013


[link to youtu.be]
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:42 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH TONIGHT FROM LA/AR TO
THE MID MS/OH VALLEYS...EWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC...


...NRN LA AND CENTRAL/ERN AR TO IL THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MIDLEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY
AND THE MID MO VALLEY TONIGHT...AS AN EMBEDDED JET STREAK ROTATES
NNEWD FROM W TX TO OK/KS. IN RESPONSE...SLOW DEEPENING OF THE
SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED NEAR STL...WHILE THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
MOVES ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MORE QUICKLY SEWD TOWARD THE TX COAST. IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT...A PLUME OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ORIGINATING FROM
THE NW CARIBBEAN HAS SPREAD INLAND ACROSS LA/AR...WHERE BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE REACHED THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F. THIS
MOISTENING HAS OCCURRED BENEATH A REMNANT EML PLUME WITH MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES OF 7.5-8.5 C/KM.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CLOUD BREAKS ACROSS MUCH OF AR...WHICH
WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SUPPORT MLCAPE NEAR 2500 J/KG. ALSO...THE SLY LLJ
WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FROM
CENTRAL/ERN AR TO IL/INDIANA...IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING MID MS
VALLEY LOW. LIKEWISE...MID-UPPER SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE WITH THE
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE JET STREAK EJECTING NNEWD OVER ERN OK/KS.
THE NET RESULT WILL BE AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS /EFFECTIVE SRH APPROACHING 300 M2 PER S2 AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT/.

GIVEN THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOTION OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN AR
THIS AFTERNOON...AND SUBSTANTIALLY RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
LA/AR COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER W IN PREVIOUS DAYS...THE RISK FOR
SUPERCELLS BOTH ALONG AND A LITTLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE
GREATER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING
RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN AR INTO SE MO...AND POTENTIALLY AN ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADO IF A SEMI-DISCRETE STORM CAN BE MAINTAINED FOR A
COUPLE OF HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED
WITH WHAT SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A SOMEWHAT SOLID FRONTAL SQUALL LINE BY
EARLY TONIGHT. THE ERN EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK OVERNIGHT WILL BE
LIMITED BY SLOW EWD MOTION OF THE FRONT...AND BY WEAKENING
INSTABILITY ACROSS ERN MS/AL INTO MIDDLE TN WHERE LOW-LEVEL IS MORE
LIMITED BY TRAJECTORIES FROM WITHIN THE LINGERING RIDGE OVER THE SE
STATES.

...OH VALLEY TO MID ATLANTIC THROUGH THIS EVENING...
A FEW SMALL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS
OH AS OF LATE MORNING...AND THIS CONVECTION SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON WHILE SPREADING EWD INTO PA. INSTABILITY IS NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG...WITH THE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO
THE OH VALLEY FROM THE SW...BUT STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTEND EWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. GIVEN
THE LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WIND PROFILES WITH UP TO 50 KT FLOW
AROUND 500 MB...ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL
AS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL W OF THE APPALACHIANS.

..THOMPSON/MOSIER.. 04/10/2013
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:43 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1239 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
KNOX COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL OHIO


* UNTIL 130 PM EDT

* AT 1235 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
FREDERICKTOWN...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GAMBIER...
DANVILLE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 12:47 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Twitterimjacobnotjames @imjacobnotjames
Heading to OK/KS border today. Initial target looks to be Alva, OK. HRRR encouraging for some dusk supercells on the border. #okwx #kswx
Luisport

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04/10/2013 12:48 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
SevereStudios‏@severestudios4 h
Tornado threat map for today... mostly ARK and southeast MO: [link to twitpic.com]


SevereStudios‏@severestudios4 h
Downtown Rapid City, SD official nws reports HEAVY SNOW of 20.9 INCH at 6:00 AM MDT
Luisport

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04/10/2013 12:50 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue17 s
GFS 12z precipitation type + SLP for next 8-days shows stationary front sticking around -- more winter storms. [link to models.weatherbell.com] …


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue27 m
Temps nearly 50°F below normal in Alaska - record lows. That air going to plunge along west coast.
[link to twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport

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04/10/2013 12:51 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue53 min
Lower Michigan won't see cherry blossoms anytime soon. [link to twitter.com (secure)]


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
.@wxbrad that second surge coming up from Florida didn't happen with front over Texas, spared them. NAM 4km PWAT: [link to models.weatherbell.com] …


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
stationary front attempts to enter Michigan with warmer air, but fails according to NAM-4km temperatures [link to models.weatherbell.com] …


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue1 h
@wxbrad looks like Thursday evening/night, convection fires over GA (Atlanta included) & moves east ahead of front. [link to models.weatherbell.com] …
Luisport

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04/10/2013 12:55 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Weather Underground‏@wunderground2 h
Dr. Masters says, "One-inch hail at 18°F in NE; record snows in SD" [link to wxug.us] #snow
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:01 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
SevereStudios‏@severestudios3 min
Tornado threat increased for ARK/MO today: [link to twitpic.com]
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:06 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Winter storm watch for
City of Toronto continued

Significant freezing rain and ice pellets likely Thursday into Friday.

A series of low pressure systems will give periods of rain to many regions into tonight. On Thursday, a stronger low will approach from the southwest and combine with a colder airmass from the north. As a result, rain is expected to change to freezing rain and ice pellets late tonight or Thursday morning. Periods of freezing rain and ice pellets are expected to persist Thursday night into Friday and be heavy at times. Areas from Georgian Bay through Eastern Ontario will see this wintery mix arrive Thursday night, thus the watch has been extended to include these regions.

Poor travel conditions are expected over the duration of this event. In particular, the Thursday morning commute may be challenging with icy conditions on untreated roads for areas from the Greater Toronto area westwards to Lake Huron. And it may be even more problematic for the evening rush hour. Of greater concern is the risk of widepsread power outages due to downed tree limbs and power lines due to significant ice accumulation combined with northeast winds gusting to 60 km/h. There is a risk that this could be a major ice storm for an appreciable swath of Southern Ontario. Mixed precipitation is expected to persist into Friday (especially for Eastern Ontario) followed by a gradual improvement.

There is still some uncertainty as to the track of the storm and the extent of the cold air Thursday. This will have an impact on whether the regions in the winter storm watch receive predominantly ice pellets or freezing rain. Environment Canada will monitor this situation closely and will issue warnings as needed as the evolution of the storm becomes more certain.
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:08 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...PROBABLY IN
THE FORM OF A SQUALL LINE...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE FORECAST TO CROSS CENTRAL NC THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY FRIDAY. WHILE THE ACCOMPANYING PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARD WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS...AN ISOLATED
TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

A COLD FRONT AND SECONDARY BAND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FOLLOW
AND CROSS CENTRAL NC DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS
FRIDAY...AND A FEW THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
HAIL.

$$
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:09 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
updated SPC

SPC AC 101622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT WED APR 10 2013

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THROUGH TONIGHT FROM LA/AR TO
THE MID MS/OH VALLEYS...EWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC...

...NRN LA AND CENTRAL/ERN AR TO IL THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MIDLEVEL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY
AND THE MID MO VALLEY TONIGHT...AS AN EMBEDDED JET STREAK ROTATES
NNEWD FROM W TX TO OK/KS. IN RESPONSE...SLOW DEEPENING OF THE
SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED NEAR STL...WHILE THE TRAILING COLD FRONT
MOVES ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MORE QUICKLY SEWD TOWARD THE TX COAST. IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONT...A PLUME OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ORIGINATING FROM
THE NW CARIBBEAN HAS SPREAD INLAND ACROSS LA/AR...WHERE BOUNDARY
LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE REACHED THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F. THIS
MOISTENING HAS OCCURRED BENEATH A REMNANT EML PLUME WITH MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES OF 7.5-8.5 C/KM.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CLOUD BREAKS ACROSS MUCH OF AR...WHICH
WILL ALLOW SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO WARM WELL INTO THE 70S THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SUPPORT MLCAPE NEAR 2500 J/KG. ALSO...THE SLY LLJ
WILL INCREASE GRADUALLY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT FROM
CENTRAL/ERN AR TO IL/INDIANA...IN RESPONSE TO THE DEEPENING MID MS
VALLEY LOW. LIKEWISE...MID-UPPER SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE WITH THE
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE JET STREAK EJECTING NNEWD OVER ERN OK/KS.
THE NET RESULT WILL BE AN ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS /EFFECTIVE SRH APPROACHING 300 M2 PER S2 AND EFFECTIVE
BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT/.

GIVEN THE RELATIVELY SLOW MOTION OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN AR
THIS AFTERNOON...AND SUBSTANTIALLY RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
LA/AR COMPARED TO AREAS FARTHER W IN PREVIOUS DAYS...THE RISK FOR
SUPERCELLS BOTH ALONG AND A LITTLE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL BE
GREATER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS DAYS. THIS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING
RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN AR INTO SE MO...AND POTENTIALLY AN ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADO IF A SEMI-DISCRETE STORM CAN BE MAINTAINED FOR A
COUPLE OF HOURS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED
WITH WHAT SHOULD EVOLVE INTO A SOMEWHAT SOLID FRONTAL SQUALL LINE BY
EARLY TONIGHT. THE ERN EXTENT OF THE SEVERE RISK OVERNIGHT WILL BE
LIMITED BY SLOW EWD MOTION OF THE FRONT...AND BY WEAKENING
INSTABILITY ACROSS ERN MS/AL INTO MIDDLE TN WHERE LOW-LEVEL IS MORE
LIMITED BY TRAJECTORIES FROM WITHIN THE LINGERING RIDGE OVER THE SE
STATES.

...OH VALLEY TO MID ATLANTIC THROUGH THIS EVENING...
A FEW SMALL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS
OH AS OF LATE MORNING...AND THIS CONVECTION SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON WHILE SPREADING EWD INTO PA. INSTABILITY IS NOT
PARTICULARLY STRONG...WITH THE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FEED INTO
THE OH VALLEY FROM THE SW...BUT STRONG SURFACE HEATING AND STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTEND EWD TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. GIVEN
THE LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WIND PROFILES WITH UP TO 50 KT FLOW
AROUND 500 MB...ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...AS WELL
AS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL W OF THE APPALACHIANS.

..THOMPSON/MOSIER.. 04/10/2013

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 1635Z (12:35PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:10 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
COULD BE SOME DANGEROUS WEATHER COMING............. [link to www.srh.noaa.gov]
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:11 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
HAIL POSSIBLE SOUTH FLORIDA!!!.....................A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE INTERIOR WEST THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS EAST COAST BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE WESTERN INTERIOR. THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM THE STORMS WILL BE
LIGHTNING STRIKES, GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

WIND: THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS
UP TO 50 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

HAIL: UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL IS POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST STORMS
ACROSS GLADES, HENDRY, AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON.

RIP CURRENTS: CONTINUED EASTERLY WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE DAY WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE AT LEAST A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE EAST
COAST BEACHES OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY DUE TO EAST
TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH END
OF THE WEEK BEFORE INCREASING TO SCATTERED COVERAGE BY NEXT
WEEKEND, AS A WEAKENING COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE
NORTH.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:12 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1210 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

AMZ550-552-555-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064 -141-144-147-101900-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-
NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
1210 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

.NOW...

ISOLATED SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW OVER THE
ATLANTIC WILL COME ASHORE FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTH. MANY OF THE
SHOWERS SHOULD DISSIPATED BY THE TIME THEY REACH INTERSTATE 95
HOWEVER...SOME OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS MAY PUSH WEST OF THE INTERSTATE
FROM SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTH AND REACH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF OSCEOLA
AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES. ONLY A COUPLE OF HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF
RAIN IS EXPECTED.

&&
Luisport

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
532 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-102330 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DESOTO-CHARLOTT E-LEE-
532 AM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
INCREASING MOISTURE COMBINED WITH ADEQUATE INSTABILITY AND DAYTIME
HEATING WILL ALLOW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA
BREEZE CIRCULATIONS TODAY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. AT THE PRESENT TIME THE BEST CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM
HIGHLANDS COUNTY SOUTHWEST TO THE FORT MYERS AREA. STORMS THAT DEVELOP
TODAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...GUSTY
WINDS...AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AS THE STORMS MOVE TO THE
NORTHWEST AND NORTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. IF THUNDER IS HEARD OR LIGHTNING
IS OBSERVED...MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AMPLE MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE ON
FRIDAY WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST INTO
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PENINSULA. LOWER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

$$

MCMICHAEL
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:15 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
That was quick, looks like if that Low that was near Quincy has blossomed again. Going to be wet in Southeast IL this afternoon. [link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]
Luisport

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04/10/2013 01:15 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
104 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

OHC083-101730-
/O.CON.KCLE.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-130410T1730Z/
KNOX OH-
104 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM EDT
FOR KNOX COUNTY...

AT 1258 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR DANVILLE...OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOUNT VERNON...MOVING EAST
AT 45 MPH. THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST OUT OF
THE WARNING AREA. HOWEVER THERE IS ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM APPROACHING
THE COUNTY FROM THE WEST. THIS STORM WILL HAVE A SIMILAR PATH TO THE
FIRST STORM AND MAY BECOME SEVERE.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE....

LAT...LON 4024 8247 4027 8248 4030 8251 4037 8264
4055 8264 4055 8237 4056 8230 4057 8218
4024 8220
TIME...MOT...LOC 1702Z 261DEG 41KT 4051 8225

$$

LAPLANTE
CowgirlK (OP)

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04/10/2013 01:33 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
St. Louis...storms today. Video from Met in training?


SLU Weather April 10, 2013


[link to youtu.be]
CowgirlK (OP)

User ID: 37774299
United States
04/10/2013 01:35 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Missouri...


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1217 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-111​730-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-​
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-​
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-

LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STON​E-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1217 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.


DISCUSSION...

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSOURI EAST OF A GAINESVILLE TO SALEM LINE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH. THERE IS A RISK FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

THE RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI HAS
INCREASED WITH SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED
PRIMARILY BETWEEN 2 AND 7 PM.

RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA TODAY. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL.

IN ADDITION...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO
INCHES WILL OCCUR IN SOME LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS
TRAIN OVER THE SAME AREAS. THIS HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN
FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND OTHER FLOOD
PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AN UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR MASS WILL CAUSE LOW TEMPERATURES TO DIP
TO NEAR FREEZING BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHTS. TEMPERATURES
MAY FALL INTO THE MID 30S OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN
MISSOURI BY LATE TONIGHT AS WELL.

SOUTH WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY
...AND TUESDAY AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES INTO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING ACROSS FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...OR GENERALLY EAST OF
A GAINESVILLE TO SALEM LINE.
CowgirlK (OP)

User ID: 37774299
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04/10/2013 01:39 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Michigan..you get everything today, rain, snow, sleet..etc.



Morning Hazardous Weather Briefing for Wednesday April 10th, 2013

[link to youtu.be]
Texan Buckeye

User ID: 1533753
United States
04/10/2013 01:40 PM
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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Hey guys, sorry if you already posted this. We ended up with snow on the ground this morning. Sometime overnight, they put us in the winter weather advisory. The Lubbock area got a sleet/snow mix. It's mostly melted off now. It even took TXDot by surprise. We were NOT supposed to get this!

Thanks Cowgirl and Luis, for your hard work. This storm is a weird one.
They also serve who stand and wait. John Milton
CowgirlK (OP)

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United States
04/10/2013 01:57 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Hey guys, sorry if you already posted this. We ended up with snow on the ground this morning. Sometime overnight, they put us in the winter weather advisory. The Lubbock area got a sleet/snow mix. It's mostly melted off now. It even took TXDot by surprise. We were NOT supposed to get this!

Thanks Cowgirl and Luis, for your hard work. This storm is a weird one.
 Quoting: Texan Buckeye


Thanks for the report Buckeye. Yep this storm has been a crazy one. With all the hail and freezing temps, I'm sure its wreaking havoc on crops and vegetation. It's currently 39 degrees in the DFW area. I had to turn the heat back on!
Texan Buckeye

User ID: 1533753
United States
04/10/2013 02:01 PM
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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
Hey guys, sorry if you already posted this. We ended up with snow on the ground this morning. Sometime overnight, they put us in the winter weather advisory. The Lubbock area got a sleet/snow mix. It's mostly melted off now. It even took TXDot by surprise. We were NOT supposed to get this!

Thanks Cowgirl and Luis, for your hard work. This storm is a weird one.
 Quoting: Texan Buckeye


Thanks for the report Buckeye. Yep this storm has been a crazy one. With all the hail and freezing temps, I'm sure its wreaking havoc on crops and vegetation. It's currently 39 degrees in the DFW area. I had to turn the heat back on!
 Quoting: CowgirlK


I don't have the exact temps but, we went from the middle 80's yesterday to just above freezing in a little over an hour. I really thought, after seeing the radar last night, we would get dry-slotted again. We didn't get much, but Lubbock had a lot of accidents this morning. TxDot didn't know to get out and salt the roads. Be careful.
They also serve who stand and wait. John Milton
Luisport

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04/10/2013 02:16 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
AS THIS
OCCURS...HODOGRAPHS WILL BECOME ENLARGED AND THE CHARACTER OF THE
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE FROM DISORGANIZED/MARGINAL SEVERE
TO SUPERCELLULAR WITH A TORNADO AND HAIL THREAT. GIVEN SUBSTANTIAL
MOISTURE AND LARGE LI/S...A COUPLE STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.
Luisport

User ID: 37798913
Portugal
04/10/2013 02:17 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
000
WUUS51 KPBZ 101807
SVRPBZ
PAC031-053-065-121-101845-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.SV.W.0009.130410T1807Z-130410T1845Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
207 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN CLARION COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
SOUTHERN FOREST COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...
NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...
EASTERN VENANGO COUNTY IN NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 245 PM EDT

* AT 205 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS DETECTED 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KNOX...OR 5 MILES EAST OF EMLENTON...AND WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KNOX... VAN... CLARION...
FRYBURG... COOK FOREST STATE PARK...
REDCLYFFE... CLEAR CREEK STATE PARK...

THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAY WILL BE IMPACTED...
I-80 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 56 AND 77.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INTO A STURDY BUILDING AND AVOID
WINDOWS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY CALLING...412-262-1988...POSTING TO
THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWSPITTSBURGH.

&&

LAT...LON 4120 7876 4116 7878 4120 7973 4136 7969
4143 7943 4145 7906 4142 7906 4141 7909
4136 7909 4135 7905 4138 7897 4143 7896
4145 7898 4145 7895 4138 7897 4127 7874
4120 7871
TIME...MOT...LOC 1807Z 180DEG 0KT 4116 7960

$$
Luisport

User ID: 37798913
Portugal
04/10/2013 02:17 PM

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Re: Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL AR INTO SRN AND SERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101803Z - 102000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CHANGE CHARACTER LATER TODAY WITH
TORNADOES...VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY. TORNADO
WATCHES ARE FORTHCOMING SOON.

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL MO ACROSS
WRN AR TO JUST SW OF TEXARKANA AS OF 18Z...WITH A WARM FRONT TO THE
SW OF ST. LOUIS. HEATING HAS ERODED MOST OF THE CIN ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR WITH TEMPERATURES MAINLY IN THE 76-81 RANGE. THE 18Z LZK
SOUNDING SHOWS THAT THE CAPPING INVERSION IS NEARLY GONE WITH A
DEEPENING BOUNDARY LAYER EXTENDING ABOVE 700 MB. ALSO SHOWN IN THIS
SOUNDING IS THAT THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES REMAIN
STEEP...AND THAT MEAN LOW LEVEL MIXING RATIOS HAVE CHANGED LITTLE
DESPITE HEATING. WIND PROFILES THIS FAR E OF THE COLD FRONT HAVE NOT
YET RESPONDED TO THE APPROACHING TROUGH...BUT THIS APPEARS TO BE
HAPPENING SW TOWARD SHV WHERE 850 MB FLOW WAS MORE BACKED.

ISOLATED STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS SWRN AR
AND NERN TX...AND SHOULD GRADUALLY DEEPEN. OVER TIME...LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN AND BACK FURTHER...POSSIBLY ENHANCED BY A ZONE
OF DEVELOPING PRESSURE FALLS JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. AS THIS
OCCURS...HODOGRAPHS WILL BECOME ENLARGED AND THE CHARACTER OF THE
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE FROM DISORGANIZED/MARGINAL SEVERE
TO SUPERCELLULAR WITH A TORNADO AND HAIL THREAT. GIVEN SUBSTANTIAL
MOISTURE AND LARGE LI/S...A COUPLE STRONG TORNADOES MAY OCCUR.

DURING THE EVENING...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE ALONG THE
FRONT...WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND/OR QLCS MODE. EVEN SO...STRONG
SHEAR WILL FAVOR TORNADOES AND SWATHS OF DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE
WINDS.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 04/10/2013


ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...S HV...

LAT...LON 36258959 36048971 34929046 33439167 33079259 32989342
33249389 33649406 35039352 35889329 37619228 38249178
38629093 38749033 38728973 38408934 37728901 36588946
36258959

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