Heads up - Severe Weather Texas! | |
Texan Buckeye User ID: 1533753 United States 04/08/2013 01:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is another video out of NWS Norman,Ok. They do a great job and are good people. I've actually called their office by mistake one time. I was looking for a recorded weather message but ended up talking to their chief Met for a while. Quoting: CowgirlK Are You Ready for Severe Weather? Tornadoes [link to youtu.be] With all the new people moving here, it's good to post all of this, even though WE know. Also, straight line winds can do the same or more damage than tornadoes, depending on the strength. Just because it's "just wind" doesn't mean don't take it seriously. It IS serious and dangerous. I joke alot about tumbleweeds, but vehicles will swerve to avoid them. Many are as tall as a small car. I've seen them put holes in windshields when the hard stem hit the glass. A dust storm is worse than fog, imo. I've driven many times in both. |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:25 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | TY cowgilk. Quoting: usa1961 I live in a teeny city, everyone knows or atleast recognizes each other. Friends know your whereabouts, and when your camping, fishing hunting, its kinda ok but like today 2 people just called my husband talking about the weather askin if were getting back in town. Anyhow the locals appearsntly know whats happening. I love to hear about people looking out for each other! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 01:26 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SevereStudios‏@severestudios1 min North Platte, NE could see strong to severe storms today, and then snow and ice tomorrow [link to 1.usa.gov] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is another video out of NWS Norman,Ok. They do a great job and are good people. I've actually called their office by mistake one time. I was looking for a recorded weather message but ended up talking to their chief Met for a while. Quoting: CowgirlK Are You Ready for Severe Weather? Tornadoes [link to youtu.be] With all the new people moving here, it's good to post all of this, even though WE know. Also, straight line winds can do the same or more damage than tornadoes, depending on the strength. Just because it's "just wind" doesn't mean don't take it seriously. It IS serious and dangerous. I joke alot about tumbleweeds, but vehicles will swerve to avoid them. Many are as tall as a small car. I've seen them put holes in windshields when the hard stem hit the glass. A dust storm is worse than fog, imo. I've driven many times in both. You got that right neighbor. Even 50-60 mph winds can pick up stuff outside and toss it right through a window too. Heck, my husband was throwing a water balloon at me once, I ducked and it went right through the kitchen window and that wasn't even with a tail wind. LOL |
Texan Buckeye User ID: 1533753 United States 04/08/2013 01:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is another video out of NWS Norman,Ok. They do a great job and are good people. I've actually called their office by mistake one time. I was looking for a recorded weather message but ended up talking to their chief Met for a while. Quoting: CowgirlK Are You Ready for Severe Weather? Tornadoes [link to youtu.be] With all the new people moving here, it's good to post all of this, even though WE know. Also, straight line winds can do the same or more damage than tornadoes, depending on the strength. Just because it's "just wind" doesn't mean don't take it seriously. It IS serious and dangerous. I joke alot about tumbleweeds, but vehicles will swerve to avoid them. Many are as tall as a small car. I've seen them put holes in windshields when the hard stem hit the glass. A dust storm is worse than fog, imo. I've driven many times in both. You got that right neighbor. Even 50-60 mph winds can pick up stuff outside and toss it right through a window too. Heck, my husband was throwing a water balloon at me once, I ducked and it went right through the kitchen window and that wasn't even with a tail wind. LOL Yeeaahh! We've had stuff like that happen too! Nerf is not ALWAYS soft! |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:37 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Here is another video out of NWS Norman,Ok. They do a great job and are good people. I've actually called their office by mistake one time. I was looking for a recorded weather message but ended up talking to their chief Met for a while. Quoting: CowgirlK Are You Ready for Severe Weather? Tornadoes [link to youtu.be] With all the new people moving here, it's good to post all of this, even though WE know. Also, straight line winds can do the same or more damage than tornadoes, depending on the strength. Just because it's "just wind" doesn't mean don't take it seriously. It IS serious and dangerous. I joke alot about tumbleweeds, but vehicles will swerve to avoid them. Many are as tall as a small car. I've seen them put holes in windshields when the hard stem hit the glass. A dust storm is worse than fog, imo. I've driven many times in both. You got that right neighbor. Even 50-60 mph winds can pick up stuff outside and toss it right through a window too. Heck, my husband was throwing a water balloon at me once, I ducked and it went right through the kitchen window and that wasn't even with a tail wind. LOL Yeeaahh! We've had stuff like that happen too! Nerf is not ALWAYS soft! And lets not forget that winds are usually the reason power goes out. It knocks trees onto the power lines. That being said, Today would be a good day to make sure the laundry is done, dishes clean, batteries in the flash lights, gas in the car, gas for the grill, phones charged up,...that sort of thing. At least that's what I'm working on. |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Texan Buckeye User ID: 1533753 United States 04/08/2013 01:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Nebraska...Here is your briefing for today. Large hail, tornado's, etc. Severe Weather Threat Multimedia Web Briefing - updated 12 PM CDT April 8t [link to youtu.be] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Wichita, Kansas — Another round of severe thunderstorms is expected later today and tonight across the western and northern portions of the state. On Tuesday, the threat will shift to the eastern half of the state. All forms of severe weather are possible from large hail to damaging winds to tornadoes. Keep an eye to the sky the next couple of days! [link to ksn.com] |
snark Forum Administrator User ID: 27313445 United States 04/08/2013 01:53 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not a Meteorologist or have any formal weather training. I'm just a gal who loves to weather watch. That being said, there are a lot of variables with this system which probably will not become clear until tonight or early tomorrow. This is what they are saying at the moment.. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS A GROWING POSSIBILITY THAT SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR AS EARLY AS 1 AM TO 4 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR WESTERN MOST AREAS. THE ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID STATE BY MID MORNING ON THURSDAY. We're gonna have one of those fun sleepless nights Wednesday night/Thurs early am. Awesome! T For Texas, T For Tennessee! The virtue of courage is a prerequisite for the practice of all other virtues, because otherwise one is virtuous only when virtue has no cost. There are times when something needs to be done, and yet we know that if we step up and do this needful thing, we will pay a heavy personal price. -C.S. Lewis |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 01:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not a Meteorologist or have any formal weather training. I'm just a gal who loves to weather watch. That being said, there are a lot of variables with this system which probably will not become clear until tonight or early tomorrow. This is what they are saying at the moment.. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS A GROWING POSSIBILITY THAT SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR AS EARLY AS 1 AM TO 4 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR WESTERN MOST AREAS. THE ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID STATE BY MID MORNING ON THURSDAY. We're gonna have one of those fun sleepless nights Wednesday night/Thurs early am. Awesome! You got that right. I think a lot of people might be having sleepless nights this week! Me included. |
snark Forum Administrator User ID: 27313445 United States 04/08/2013 01:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not a Meteorologist or have any formal weather training. I'm just a gal who loves to weather watch. That being said, there are a lot of variables with this system which probably will not become clear until tonight or early tomorrow. This is what they are saying at the moment.. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS A GROWING POSSIBILITY THAT SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR AS EARLY AS 1 AM TO 4 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR WESTERN MOST AREAS. THE ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID STATE BY MID MORNING ON THURSDAY. We're gonna have one of those fun sleepless nights Wednesday night/Thurs early am. Awesome! You got that right. I think a lot of people might be having sleepless nights this week! Me included. I'm gonna finish some yardwork when I get home and get the laundry done. At least we have a little time! T For Texas, T For Tennessee! The virtue of courage is a prerequisite for the practice of all other virtues, because otherwise one is virtuous only when virtue has no cost. There are times when something needs to be done, and yet we know that if we step up and do this needful thing, we will pay a heavy personal price. -C.S. Lewis |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 20835756 United States 04/08/2013 02:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I'm not a Meteorologist or have any formal weather training. I'm just a gal who loves to weather watch. That being said, there are a lot of variables with this system which probably will not become clear until tonight or early tomorrow. This is what they are saying at the moment.. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY MORNING. IT IS A GROWING POSSIBILITY THAT SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. CURRENTLY...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR AS EARLY AS 1 AM TO 4 AM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS OUR WESTERN MOST AREAS. THE ACTIVITY WILL THEN MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE MID STATE BY MID MORNING ON THURSDAY. We're gonna have one of those fun sleepless nights Wednesday night/Thurs early am. Awesome! You got that right. I think a lot of people might be having sleepless nights this week! Me included. Im not gonna sleep much tommorow night... Dallas area |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 02:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ...STRONG STORM TO BRING SNOW...WIND AND BLOWING SNOW TO CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... .A LATE WINTER STORM HAS STARTED TO BRING SNOW AND STRONG WINDS TO MUCH OF THE AREA AND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL FALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WYOMING. THE HEAVIEST THIS STORM WILL CREATE HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOWFALL FROM THE EAST SLOPES OF THE WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS TO CASPER MOUNTAIN. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE UPSLOPE FAVORED LOCATIONS WITH A HIGH IMPACT EXPECTED IN CASPER WHERE A FOOT OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...ALONG INTERSTATE 80 WHERE NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...AND IN LANDER WHERE OVER A FOOT OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 02:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ANS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MIDSOUTH FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY MOVE EASTWARD INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PUSH RELATIVELY WARM AND INCREASING MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM. BY WEDNESDAY...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AND A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WHERE SOUTH WINDS OF 25 MPH WILL OCCUR WITH GUSTS TO BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...BUT THE BETTER CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SQUALL LINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SQUALL LINE MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR WITH MANY LOCATIONS RECEIVING UP TO AT LEAST TWO INCHES OF RAIN. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. $$ JCL |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 03:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0399 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CDT MON APR 08 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/N-CNTRL AZ...S-CNTRL/SWRN NV CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 081736Z - 081930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG GUSTS. OVERALL WEAK/TRANSIENT NATURE OF THE CONVECTION PRECLUDES THE NEED FOR A WW. DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE MIDLEVEL TROUGH...AND ASSOCIATED STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS SRN NV AND INTO NRN AZ. AS IT DOES...A SURFACE LOW...CENTERED OVER SW NV AT 17Z...AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE EWD. STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE LEFT EXIT OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK IN CONJUNCTION WITH FORCING FROM THE COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS N-CNTRL/NERN AZ AND S-CNTRL/SWRN NV THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SCANT MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE FROM 200-400 J PER KG/ WILL LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND PERSISTENCE...BUT GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING AND ROBUST DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD...A FEW STRONG...CONVECTIVELY-DRIVEN WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. LIMITED STORM STRENGTH AND PERSISTENCE WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW. ..MOSIER/THOMPSON.. 04/08/2013 ATTN...WFO...GJT...FGZ...SLC... LAT...LON 34281188 34221235 34271268 34431301 34591311 34751318 34991319 35241310 35521294 36231262 36691236 37751128 38101093 38331051 38421018 38460980 38400952 38260937 38010930 37670937 37290951 36550992 35641046 34921097 34281188 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 34895059 United States 04/08/2013 03:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0399 Quoting: Luisport NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1236 PM CDT MON APR 08 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/N-CNTRL AZ...S-CNTRL/SWRN NV CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 081736Z - 081930Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG GUSTS. OVERALL WEAK/TRANSIENT NATURE OF THE CONVECTION PRECLUDES THE NEED FOR A WW. DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE MIDLEVEL TROUGH...AND ASSOCIATED STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL WINDS...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS SRN NV AND INTO NRN AZ. AS IT DOES...A SURFACE LOW...CENTERED OVER SW NV AT 17Z...AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE EWD. STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE LEFT EXIT OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK IN CONJUNCTION WITH FORCING FROM THE COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS N-CNTRL/NERN AZ AND S-CNTRL/SWRN NV THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SCANT MOISTURE AND WEAK INSTABILITY /MUCAPE FROM 200-400 J PER KG/ WILL LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND PERSISTENCE...BUT GIVEN THE STRONG FORCING AND ROBUST DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD...A FEW STRONG...CONVECTIVELY-DRIVEN WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE. LIMITED STORM STRENGTH AND PERSISTENCE WILL PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW. ..MOSIER/THOMPSON.. 04/08/2013 ATTN...WFO...GJT...FGZ...SLC... LAT...LON 34281188 34221235 34271268 34431301 34591311 34751318 34991319 35241310 35521294 36231262 36691236 37751128 38101093 38331051 38421018 38460980 38400952 38260937 38010930 37670937 37290951 36550992 35641046 34921097 34281188 I'm here in Central AZ and its windy as all fuck hell....lol...its supposed to get to about 50mph this afternoon. Its cool though, shouldn't get much worse around here I don't think. |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 03:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue11 min South Dakotans are used to shoveling/plowing snow in April, right? Couple feet coming. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Utah...this one is for you. Winter Storm Moving Across Great Basin through Tuesday [link to youtu.be] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | From one of my favorite Florida forecasters blog.. Information in the outlook, and analysis of soundings from around the area, indicate a capping inversion, from on average at the 880-890 mb level, down to 800 mb. Given the current cap, thunderstorm activity should be limited to elevated storms, to where the main threat would be hail, which would be initiating most likely around noon, to around late afternoon. Current analysis of F5 Data severe wx software, indicates a good probability from the NAVGEM, NAM-WRF, and GFS that a potential for stronger cells, which may be surface based, could produce some tornadoes, some strong. This will depend whether or not the cap can be broken later this afternoon, into early evening, and will depend on daytime heating for this. Should this occur, the greatest threat for tornadic activity appears to hinge around the 8:00 P.M. to 11:00 P.M. EDT window. SWEAT Index Values of 400-475 indicates a better probability of tornadoes within that time, and EHI values of anywhere from 2-5 indicates some tornadoes, if any could be strong. Link to we page for maps of the described area. [link to stormw.wordpress.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 03:30 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue3 min Avg temperature in Rapid City SD, 20°F next 3-days with few days struggling into teens. Yikes [link to twitter.com (secure)] Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue4 min Rapid City, SD [KRAP] forecast from SREF ensembles has variety -- either snow or a LOT of snow. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue11 min Quoting: Luisport South Dakotans are used to shoveling/plowing snow in April, right? Couple feet coming. [link to twitter.com (secure)] Luis, I hope you are going to be online tomorrow. I think that is when we are going to see warnings in place. We could sure use your help! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 03:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue11 min Quoting: Luisport South Dakotans are used to shoveling/plowing snow in April, right? Couple feet coming. [link to twitter.com (secure)] Luis, I hope you are going to be online tomorrow. I think that is when we are going to see warnings in place. We could sure use your help! yes i think so |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0236 PM CDT MON APR 08 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO INTO WRN KS AND SWRN NEB CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 081936Z - 082200Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER FAR ERN CO ...AND MAY MATURE AND MOVE INTO WRN KS AND SWRN NEB. DISCUSSION...PRESSURE FALLS CONTINUE AT AROUND 1.0 - 1.2 MB/HR ACROSS ERN CO AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ATTEMPTS TO RETURN NWWD. THE SURFACE THETA-E AXIS WAS LOCATED FROM WRN OK INTO SERN CO JUST S OF A RELATIVELY COOL STRATUS-INDUCED COLD POCKET FROM GCK TO DDC. GRADUAL HEATING SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...AND DESPITE LOWER DEWPOINTS IN THE 30S AND 40S OVER ERN CO...INSTABILITY WILL STILL BE PRESENT. VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS AREAS OF CU BENEATH BROKEN CIRRUS NEAR LHX AND EXTENDING NWD TOWARD AKO. ALTHOUGH CONVERGENCE IS WEAK...A FEW UPDRAFTS SHOULD GROW INTO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL. WHEN THIS OCCURS...THE BACKED SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS SHOULD ALLOW CELLS TO TURN EWD AND MOVE ACROSS THE KS BORDER. HODOGRAPHS WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH MAXIMUM HAIL SIZE ESSENTIALLY LIMITED BY AVAILABLE MOISTURE. IF STORMS CAN PERSIST INTO THE 50 F DEWPOINT AIR...VERY LARGE HAIL WOULD BE LIKELY. A MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT COULD ALSO MATERIALIZE BUT ONLY IF CELLS CAN MAINTAIN STRENGTH INTO THE LOWER LCL ENVIRONMENT BEFORE CAPPING DESTROYS THEM. ..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 04/08/2013 |
KITKAT123 User ID: 33545572 United States 04/08/2013 03:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I have a bad feeling Texas is going to get hit with tornados from this one there is a cold front moving in they said on the news and its been in low 80s here the past 2 days We know what happens when we mix cold front with warm temps spells disaster Its 75 today humid and windy in Fort Worth KITKAT123 |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 37674748 Portugal 04/08/2013 03:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue3 min 5pm expected temps range from mid-90s in Texas to teens along Canadian border. [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
CowgirlK (OP) User ID: 34838675 United States 04/08/2013 03:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | A severe weather outbreak, including the threat for tornadoes, is possible for at least 30 million Americans this week. video and more info at link below [link to www.weather.com] |
KITKAT123 User ID: 33545572 United States 04/08/2013 03:52 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.wunderground.com] Today 79 °F Partly Cloudy Tonight 64 °F Mostly Cloudy Tomorrow 79 | 55 °F Chance of a Thunderstorm 20% chance of precipitation Wednesday 59 | 37 °F T-storms 60% chance of precipitation Thursday 57 | 39 °F Partly Cloudy Friday 68 | 45 °F Clear Last Edited by KITKAT123 on 04/08/2013 03:52 PM KITKAT123 |