Heads up - Severe Weather Texas!

Heading towards the sink hole??? Oh my

wider area [link to icons-ak.wunderground.com]

I just saw that...good catch!

Luis..Here is a new weather blog I just found.


[link to www.americanwx.com]

SevereStudios‏@severestudios2 min
"Moderate" Risk has been removed. Here's the updated tornado risk for today: [link to twitpic.com]

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue4 min
104°F in South Texas. 30s behind strong front in North Texas today. [link to twitter.com (secure)]

tweets..


DelCity(OK)FireDept ‏@delcityfire 7m
Severe weather potential still there, including Winter Weather precip late tonight into tomorrow. Bottom line, monitor forecasts closely.

Chris White ‏@chrisvawx 9m
Uh oh...the HRRR model is down for maintenance and several radars are out in today's severe weather regions out... [link to fb.me]

WeatherSpotlight ‏@wxspotlight 14m
Join the conversation. Tracking severe weather in Oklahoma today as well as following #OKWX tweets in the live chat. [link to www.weatherspotlight.com]

Chicago News Network ‏@News_Chicago_IL 3m
Severe Thunderstorm Warning in the Area: Severe weather is in the Chicago area. Check here for the la... [link to q.gs] #chicago

Apr 9, 2013 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Apr 9 16:27:38 UTC 2013

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

NWS Norman-Oklahoma City (Central Oklahoma)
Winter Weather Advisory issued April 09 at 11:08AM CDT until April 10 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Norman-Oklahoma City
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SLEET AND SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9
PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY.
* TIMING: MID-EVENING TUESDAY THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.
* MAIN IMPACT: SLEET AND SNOW ARE LIKELY TO ACCUMULATE...MAINLY ON
ELEVATED SURFACES. BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES MAY BECOME HAZARDOUS.
FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO LIKELY...AND SOME ACCUMULATION IS
POSSIBLE.
* OTHER IMPACTS: SNOW AND SLEET MAY ALSO ACCUMULATE ON OTHER
ROADS...MAKING DRIVING HAZARDOUS. ICE ACCUMULATION...COMBINED
WITH STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS...MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE POWER
OUTAGES.
BE CAREFUL IF YOU HAVE TO TRAVEL. EVEN SMALL AMOUNTS OF ICE AND
SNOW CAN MAKE ROADS AND SIDEWALKS SLICK AND DANGEROUS.

Wow...check out the temps. Cold front incoming.

[link to www.mesonet.org]

texasembassy @texasembassy
Currently a 54 degree difference between NW OK (26F) and SW OK (80F). #okwx

FXUS64 KOUN 091819
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
119 PM CDT TUE APR 9 2013

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FOCUS WAS ON THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO WITH SEVERE WEATHER AND
WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS.

THE COLD FRONT WHICH HAS MOVED ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN OK WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES
BEHIND THE FRONT ARE FALLING RAPIDLY INTO MAINLY THE 40S AND 50S...
WITH THE NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT BECOMING BREEZY/WINDY.
MEANWHILE... UPPER LOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND MAYBE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE
SEVERE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. ANY STORMS THAT ARE
ABLE TO STAY DISCRETE /SUPERCELLS/ COULD ALSO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT. SOME OF THE RAIN
COULD BE HEAVY... ESPECIALLY IF TRAINING OF STORMS OCCURS... WHICH
MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING.

AS THE COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA... THE PRECIP IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN/SLEET AND MAYBE EVEN SOME SNOW TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY. THIS WINTER WX COULD AFFECT ROADWAYS BUT THE BIGGER
IMPACT MAY BE ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE ON POWER LINES AND TREES...
ESPECIALLY WITH BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ISSUED A
WINTER WX ADVISORY EARLIER TODAY TO COVER THIS. PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED

SevereStudios‏@severestudios 1 h
@itsalleternal @BobRyanABC7 even without leaves on trees, with the wind, limbs have been coming down


SevereStudios‏@severestudios1 h
Ice Storm Warning issued for parts SD/MN/IA. Details: [link to 1.usa.gov] Map: [link to twitpic.com]

Some very strong ice/snow storms moving through central Nebraska right now... [link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]

NWS geared up for potential severe weather:

Critical Weather Day Has Been Declared

START: 1800Z Tue Apr 09 2013

END: 0000Z Fri Apr 12 2013

TYPE: Regional

WHO: NCEP, NWSTG, NCF, Southern/Central Region

REASON: Potential for severe weather across the central and southern U.S.



GOES-E RSO WILL BE IN PLACE FROM 1514Z-0314Z IN SUPPORT
OF SEVERE WX OPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS.

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue9 min
12z NCAR-5km NMM-WRF, same init, different model "core" ... more vigorous. [link to twitter.com (secure)]


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue10 min
12z NCAR 5-km ARW-WRF shows set-up well Wed evening ~9pm
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue9 min
12z NCAR-5km NMM-WRF, same init, different model "core" ... more vigorous. [link to twitter.com (secure)]

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue12 min
Simulated radar (animated GIF) from 4km NAM shows convection rounding ridge into PA & NYC Wed / (SPC slight severe) [link to models.weatherbell.com] …


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue32 min
hourly Hi-res (animated-GIF) of cold-front blasting thru Texas during next 36-hours. [link to models.weatherbell.com] …

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue2 min
Radar simulation animated GIFS: NMM-East [link to models.weatherbell.com] … ARW-East [link to models.weatherbell.com] …

wow that is a huge difference in just 1 state

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue4 min
Frontal passage near-surface temperature hourly animations: ARW-WRF [link to models.weatherbell.com] … NMM-WRF [link to models.weatherbell.com] …

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue3 min
Worst weather: Alliance Nebraska still sitting near record-low of 10°F w/+SN FZFG, winds at 30 mph [link to coolwx.com]


Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue6 min
Temp distribution in spring much easier to go highly negative than positive anomaly. 40 below normal behind front. [link to twitter.com (secure)]

I was busy fishing a snake out of my pool and missed this one.


BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
148 PM CDT TUE APR 9 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MERRICK COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
NANCE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 215 PM CDT

* AT 146 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES NORTH OF
ARCHER....OR 23 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRAND ISLAND...AND MOVING NORTH
AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FULLERTON AND BELGRADE.

Luis..I have to go do some things before the weather moves in tonight. I think It might be close to bed time for you in your country??? Thank you for all your help today. Bless you.

warned cell [link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]

yes not far...

Storms trying to break in South Central Kansas too... [link to radar.weather.gov]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0411
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CDT TUE APR 09 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX INTO MUCH OF CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 091914Z - 092115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY FORM AND LARGE HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE. A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE 21Z.

DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC FRONT CONTINUES TO SURGE SWD ACROSS TX INTO
WRN OK. ALONG THIS FRONT...OCCASIONAL CU HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AND
DISSIPATED AS SOURCE AIR GETS UNDERCUT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THE AIR
MASS HAS BEEN CAPPED.

HOWEVER...LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CHANGING CHARACTER TO THE
CU FIELDS FROM NWRN TX INTO WRN OK NEAR THE FRONT. A DEEPER GROUPING
OF TCU HAS FORMED ON THE NOSE OF THE HOTTER AIR ACROSS NWRN
TX...NEAR A WEAK SURFACE LOW AND DRYLINE/COLD FRONT INTERSECTION
WHERE CAPPING IS NEGLIGIBLE. MORE RECENTLY...STABLE WAVE CLOUDS HAVE
MIXED ACROSS W CNTRL AND SWRN OK...SUGGESTING THE CAP IS BEING
LIFTED THERE AS WELL. WITH ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND COOLING IN THE CAPPING LAYER...STORM INITIATION WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.

ONE POTENTIAL PROBLEM IN REGARD TO LONG LIVED SEVERE CONVECTION IS
THE TENDENCY FOR THE FRONT TO UNDERCUT DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ALONG
IT...ORPHANING THE INCIPIENT UPDRAFTS. THEREFORE...MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION MAY END UP BEING ELEVATED BEHIND THE FRONT.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 04/09/2013

(Cowgirl)

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0411
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 PM CDT TUE APR 09 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX INTO MUCH OF CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 091914Z - 092115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCATTERED STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY FORM AND LARGE HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE. A WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED BEFORE 21Z.

DISCUSSION...AN ARCTIC FRONT CONTINUES TO SURGE SWD ACROSS TX INTO
WRN OK. ALONG THIS FRONT...OCCASIONAL CU HAVE RAPIDLY DEVELOPED AND
DISSIPATED AS SOURCE AIR GETS UNDERCUT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THE AIR
MASS HAS BEEN CAPPED.

HOWEVER...LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES CHANGING CHARACTER TO THE
CU FIELDS FROM NWRN TX INTO WRN OK NEAR THE FRONT. A DEEPER GROUPING
OF TCU HAS FORMED ON THE NOSE OF THE HOTTER AIR ACROSS NWRN
TX...NEAR A WEAK SURFACE LOW AND DRYLINE/COLD FRONT INTERSECTION
WHERE CAPPING IS NEGLIGIBLE. MORE RECENTLY...STABLE WAVE CLOUDS HAVE
MIXED ACROSS W CNTRL AND SWRN OK...SUGGESTING THE CAP IS BEING
LIFTED THERE AS WELL. WITH ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...AND COOLING IN THE CAPPING LAYER...STORM INITIATION WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS.

ONE POTENTIAL PROBLEM IN REGARD TO LONG LIVED SEVERE CONVECTION IS
THE TENDENCY FOR THE FRONT TO UNDERCUT DEVELOPMENT OCCURRING ALONG
IT...ORPHANING THE INCIPIENT UPDRAFTS. THEREFORE...MUCH OF THE
CONVECTION MAY END UP BEING ELEVATED BEHIND THE FRONT.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 04/09/2013

Watch it live

[link to kfor.com]