New TORNADO Watch for parts of DC DE MD NC NJ PA VA WV!!! Storms are firing from DC to Philly. Strong rotation very near GREENSBURG, KY!!!

5 stars! Stay safe all

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1156 AM CDT MON JUN 10 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHERN NC INTO MUCH OF VA AND MD/DE TO FAR
SOUTHERN PA/NJ

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 101656Z - 101900Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH THE EARLY-MIDDLE PART OF THE AFTERNOON
WITHIN A CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHERN NC INTO MUCH OF VA AND EVENTUALLY
ADJACENT PARTS OF MD/DE AND FAR SOUTHERN PA/NJ. WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND A TORNADO RISK BEING CONCERNS...PORTIONS OF THE REGION ARE
LIKELY TO NEED A WATCH THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/SOME TSTMS ARE NOTED WITHIN A
BROAD/CONFLUENT WARM SECTOR ESPECIALLY FROM THE NC PIEDMONT INTO
SOUTHEAST VA...WITH OTHER DEVELOPMENT FARTHER WEST NEAR/WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS SPINE IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE DEEPER FRONT. CLOUD
COVER HAS LIKELY BEEN HINDERING THE DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION/UPDRAFT VIGOR THUS FAR. HOWEVER...SOME THINNING OF
CLOUD COVER IS NOTED OUTSIDE ONGOING SHOWERS/TSTMS...AND A GRADUAL
INTENSIFICATION OF STORMS IS PROBABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITHIN A
VERY MOIST AIRMASS /LOWER 70S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/...WITH AID OF THE
UPSTREAM APPROACHING/EASTWARD-MOVING OPENING UPPER LOW. AS
UPDRAFTS/STORMS MATURE...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A PROBABLE
STRENGTHENING OF LOWER TROPOSPHERIC SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON...A COMBINATION OF SEMI-DISCRETE/SMALLER SUPERCELLS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH A PROBABLE EVOLUTION OF RELATIVELY
FAST-MOVING LINEAR SEGMENTS WITH EMBEDDED BOWING STRUCTURES/LEWP
DEVELOPMENT. DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST ASIDE FROM AN
ISOLATED TORNADO RISK.

SEL2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM EDT MON JUN 10 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA
A LARGE PART OF NORTH CAROLINA
A LARGE PART OF SOUTH CAROLINA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF RALEIGH
NORTH CAROLINA TO 35 MILES WEST OF ORANGEBURG SOUTH CAROLINA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER/STRENGTH WITH
CONTINUED SFC HEATING ALONG TWO CONFLUENCE AXES OVER THE NC/SC AREA.
THE STRONGEST HEATING SHOULD OCCUR WITH ERN-MOST AXIS OVER THE ERN
PIEDMONT/WRN CSTL PLN...WHILE A SOMEWHAT STRONGER WIND FIELD WILL
EXIST WITH WRN AXIS NOW OVER WRN NC/SC. ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
APPROACHING UPR IMPULSE FROM THE ERN TN VLY...INCREASING LOW TO
MID-LVL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE /50 KT WSWLY 700 MB WIND
ATTM IN ERN TN AT MRX PER VWP/...AND RICH LOW-LVL MOISTURE SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS/LEWPS WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES...IN
ADDITION TO NARROW SWATHS OF DMGG WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]

AccuWeather.com‏@breakingweather44 min
Flood concerns remain strong as heavy rain comes down in the East

The Weather Channel‏@weatherchannel1 h
MT @mikeseidel: Long delays at Northeast Hubs: + 1 hour avg arrival delays due to heavy showers/some thunder. [link to www.fly.faa.gov]

Some big time storms heading this way! To all my fellow North Carolinians...stay safe!

and thanks for the updates Luisport!

Capital Weather Gang‏@capitalweather1 min
Flash flood warning for DC, Arlington, Alexandria, E C Fairfax co til 5:45: [link to wapo.st]

Pretty nasty in NC today. Definitely has that smell of bad storms for this evening.

Tornado Watch
Statement as of 1:55 PM CDT on June 10, 2013

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of
middle Tennessee

* effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
several tornadoes possible
several damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
several large hail events with a few very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible

The Tornado Watch area is approximately along and 70 statute
miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of
Nashville Tennessee to 80 miles south southwest of Nashville
Tennessee. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (wous64 kwns wou4).

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Remember... a Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.


Other watch information... continue... ww 292... ww 293...

Discussion... tstms now forming in nrn middle TN... along low-lvl wind
shift attendant to lwr OH/TN Vly upr trough... expected to strengthen
with continued sfc heating. Deep wind profiles and thermodynamic
environment will remain favorable for discrete supercells with large
hail and dmgg wind. Sizable low-lvl directional shear and expected
discrete storm Mode also suggest a risk for low-lvl mesos/tornadoes
with any stronger/more sustained storms.

Aviation... tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface
wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to
500. Mean storm motion vector 32025.


... Corfidi

Central NC here; will keep you posted IF I am able.
Hearing distant thunder; and so it begins.

[link to radblast-aws.wunderground.com]

Thanks for the updates! Im in northern VA, I will let everybody know if it gets bad. So far the sun has been hiding, hopefully it helps lessen the severity of the storms

Thank's! Take care everyone!!!