Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun | |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 07:43 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Morning GFG Has really improved dramatically last couple hours. Much better upper-level outflow as seen on water-vapor satellite loop. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov] |
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JanJan User ID: 37755393 United States 07/25/2013 08:01 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Oh NOOOOO! Not ready for another one! Am at work and can't watch the vids - will it course up into the northeast?! It is quite cool here this morning - big change from last week. Feels more like early fall. Last week felt like late hell... . Thanks for keeping us posted! Oh and... 5*s and PIN for more updates |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 08:06 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Oh NOOOOO! Quoting: JanJan Not ready for another one! Am at work and can't watch the vids - will it course up into the northeast?! It is quite cool here this morning - big change from last week. Feels more like early fall. Last week felt like late hell... . Thanks for keeping us posted! Oh and... 5*s and PIN for more updates |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 1527468 United States 07/25/2013 08:22 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Better not hit near Miami or florida as right on the other side in the Gulf there's that gas rig that exploded, they better get that leak under control 1st & those train cars that derailed in Port of Tampa leaking Ethanol |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 19535695 United States 07/25/2013 08:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun The name of the storm is very telling Dorian is a name of Greek origin meaning "from Doris", or alternatively from the Gaelic name Doireann meaning "tempestuous weather" [link to en.wikipedia.org] Stay safe and aware ! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 16845676 United States 07/25/2013 08:36 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun NOAA's storm tracker and spaghetti models are in general agreement that the projected path of Tropical Storm Dorian will continue west or west-northwest over the next couple of days. Dorian is expected to continue over much warmer seawater than previously forecast which diminishes the chances of some slight short-term weakening. [link to news.brevardtimes.com] look at radar at bottom |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 09:09 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun TROPICAL STORM DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 AM AST THU JUL 25 2013 DORIAN HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING...WITH STRONGER CONVECTION OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER. A RECENT AMSU OVERPASS SHOWED A MID-LEVEL EYE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION... ALTHOUGH IT WAS UNCLEAR IF THIS FEATURE WAS DIRECTLY OVER THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER. SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE 55 KT FROM SAB AND 45 KT FROM TAFB...AND A RECENT AMSU-BASED INTENSITY ESTIMATE FROM CIMSS WAS 48 KT. BASED ON THIS THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 50 KT. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 290/15. DORIAN IS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF A DEEP-LAYER RIDGE THAT COVERS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ATLANTIC. THIS FEATURE SHOULD STEER THE CYCLONE QUICKLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS OR SO. AFTER THAT...DORIAN SHOULD APPROACH A WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE...WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A DECREASED FORWARD SPEED. THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE HAS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE NORTH SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. BASED ON THIS...THE NEW FORECAST TRACK WILL BE NUDGED A LITTLE TO THE NORTH...BUT IT LIES SOUTH OF THE CENTER OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND THE MODEL CONSENSUS. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS COMPLEX AND OF LOW CONFIDENCE. DORIAN SHOULD MOVE OVER WARMER SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES DURING THE NEXT 2-3 DAYS...BUT DURING THIS TIME IT ALSO MAY ENCOUNTER SOUTHWESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRIER AIR AT THE MID-LEVELS. IN ADDITION...THE UPPER-LEVEL WIND FORECASTS FROM THE DYNAMICAL MODELS BECOME QUITE DIVERGENT BETWEEN 72-120 HOURS...WITH THE POSSIBILITIES RANGING FROM CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION TO SHEAR STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE DORIAN TO WEAKEN. OVERALL...THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE FORECASTS LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS...AND THUS THE NEW FORECAST IS THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE NEW FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE SHIPS MODEL AND IS STRONGER THAN THE INTENSITY CONSENSUS. [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov] |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 09:59 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Right now, the storm is fairly strong at 60 mph with a pressure now below 1000 mb. This is not surprising considering the well defined structure easily seen in satellite imagery. Do not be shocked if Dorian becomes a hurricane over the next few days. [link to hurricanetrack.com] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 11:48 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Latest NAVGEM has it running the Florida Strait into the Keys and the GOM. If that happens, it'll be all hell breaking loose. [link to www.fnmoc.navy.mil (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 19535695 United States 07/25/2013 11:49 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Latest NAVGEM has it running the Florida Strait into the Keys and the GOM. Quoting: DoorBert If that happens, it'll be all hell breaking loose. [link to www.fnmoc.navy.mil (secure)] I will share this with my friends here Doorbert , Thanks so much for all your hard work |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3644239 United States 07/25/2013 11:50 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Latest NAVGEM has it running the Florida Strait into the Keys and the GOM. Quoting: DoorBert If that happens, it'll be all hell breaking loose. [link to www.fnmoc.navy.mil (secure)] I will share this with my friends here Doorbert , Thanks so much for all your hard work |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3669563 United States 07/25/2013 01:42 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun Hurricane Hunters start flying Sunday WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 1030 AM EDT THU 25 JULY 2013 SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD) VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JULY 2013 TCPOD NUMBER.....12-055 I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. 3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES FOR TROPICAL STORM DORIAN AT 28/1200Z NEAR 19.8N 57.0W. [link to www.nhc.noaa.gov] |
DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3669563 United States 07/25/2013 02:40 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun [link to m.wafb.com] |
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DoorBert (OP) User ID: 3669563 United States 07/25/2013 04:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Trop Storm Dorian continues to Strengthen in the Atlantic - Anywhere from Gulf-of-Mexico to East Coast is Under the Gun |