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Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean

 
kickazCarlin
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09/04/2013 06:56 PM
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Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE DISTURBANCE IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS DEVELOPED A
CLOSED WIND CIRCULATION AND IS NOW A TROPICAL CYCLONE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST FORECAST ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR OR JUST WEST OF PUERTO RICO
EARLY ON THURSDAY...NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
LATER ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE EAST OF THE TURKS AND THE CAICOS
ISLANDS ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]
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I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.
TheEndIsNigh2013

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09/04/2013 06:57 PM
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Re: Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean
It's supposed to go out to sea, correct? Hopefully it doesn't hit land.
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kickazCarlin  (OP)

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09/04/2013 06:59 PM
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Re: Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean
It's supposed to go out to sea, correct? Hopefully it doesn't hit land.
 Quoting: TheEndIsNigh2013


Currently most models are forecasting an out to sea solution. There is still a chance that a passing cold front within the next week will pick the storm up and bring it closer to the US coastline. Time will tell as already.
Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.



I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.
kickazCarlin  (OP)

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09/04/2013 07:02 PM
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Re: Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean
[link to spaghettimodels.com]

^This website a great tool for amateur hurricane forecasters who have basic knowledge of tropical systems. One of the best tools on the internet for this subject IMO.



Currently the storm has a low and mid upper vorticity stacked which is a good indication of a organizing storm.

[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]
[link to tropic.ssec.wisc.edu]

As you can tell by Puerto Rico's radar there is a very clear low level circulation with this system

[link to radar.weather.gov]
Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.



I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.
kickazCarlin  (OP)

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09/04/2013 07:12 PM
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Re: Tropical Depression 7 forms in the caribbean
There will be a live chat within the next half our with a local met if anyone is interested


[link to www.livestream.com]
Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.



I am open to any and all sides of a story but beware,I have a biased opinion from life experiences just like you.





GLP