Updated 10/4/13: Tornados, Blizzard, Healthcare... It's happening today! | |
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El Tiburon (OP) User ID: 28375544 United States 09/29/2013 06:21 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Updated... [link to fox4kc.com] The pressure of that storm is 973 mbs or about 28.73″…to my knowledge there hasn’t been one hurricane/tropical system this year in the Atlantic basin that has had a pressure that low. Humberto was the closest at about 29.00″…so this storm is impressive…but it’s also in a breeding ground of typically big storms in the fall/winter season. |
El Tiburon (OP) User ID: 28375544 United States 10/01/2013 03:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Tiburon (OP) User ID: 28375544 United States 10/01/2013 03:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
El Tiburon (OP) User ID: 28375544 United States 10/04/2013 03:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] SUMMARY...ONGOING EVOLUTION OF THE ENVIRONMENT INVOF THE MID MO VALLEY CONTINUES TO SUGGEST SLOWLY INCREASING SEVERE RISK. WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS AS SEVERE POTENTIAL -- INCLUDING THE RISK FOR A FEW TORNADOES -- EVOLVES. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] DISCUSSION...RECENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES A WELL DEFINED DRY CHANNEL SUCCEEDING A POTENT MID/UPPER PV MAXIMUM EMERGING OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS WHILE PIVOTING AROUND THE ERN SEMICIRCLE OF A BROAD...DEEP CYCLONE ENCOMPASSING THE WRN STATES. THE INTERACTION OF THE BROADER CYCLONE WITH A STRONG NE/SW-ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE CNTRL STATES CONTINUES TO FOSTER CYCLOGENESIS OVER CNTRL NEB...WITH A 1001-MB LOW NOW ANALYZED BETWEEN THEDFORD AND BROKEN BOW. AS THE SPATIAL GAP BETWEEN THE PV MAX AND SFC LOW CONTINUES TO CLOSE AND ASCENDING BRANCHES OF STRONG/DEEP FRONTOGENETIC CIRCULATIONS BECOME INCREASINGLY AUGMENTED BY DCVA-RELATED ASCENT PRECEDING THE LARGER-SCALE CYCLONE AMIDST DEEP WARM ADVECTION /SAMPLED BY STRONGLY VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILE PER UDX VWP DATA/...PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY NW OF THE SFC LOW ACROSS THE MCD AREA. ALREADY...MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY SUGGESTS WIDESPREAD BANDED PRECIPITATION STRUCTURES ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA...WITH SFC OBSERVATIONS SUGGESTING MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OCCURRING. STRONG ADIABATIC COOLING WITHIN THE FORCED ASCENT REGIME WILL REINFORCE THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORTING SNOW AS THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. SNOWFALL COVERAGE/INTENSITY SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR ANTICIPATED...LOCALLY AIDED BY /1/ OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS /E.G. UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE NRN SLOPES OF THE BLACK HILLS/ AND /2/ CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENTS WITH MARGINAL ELEVATED CAPE POSSIBLY SUPPORTING THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DEEP SATURATED PROFILES COINCIDING WITH DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONES OVER 2000 FT DEEP WITH CENTROIDS ALIGNING WITH STRONG ASCENT BETWEEN THE 600- AND 500-MB LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA. THESE FACTORS SHOULD SUPPORT HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. |
Knowbody Special User ID: 3753361 United States 10/04/2013 06:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | I don't recall BLIZZARDS occurring in the first week of October in the past, very rare and unusual to say the least. |