Earthquake Thread ~ Always Updated*5.0 South Sandwich Islands*5.0 Indonesia ~ Pg 20447

USGS Records 125 North Bay Earthquakes Following Napa Tremor With More To Come
[link to sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com]

Napa Quake Seen Costing Up to $4 Billion as Wineries Shut

The earthquake that struck northern California yesterday will lead to economic losses of as much as $4 billion, fueled by damaged wineries and shuttered businesses that rely on tourists.

Insurers will probably cover about $2.1 billion, according to an estimate from Kinetic Analysis Corp., which projected total losses of about twice that sum. Costs borne by the industry may be limited because many homeowners don't have earthquake coverage, according to the Insurance Information Institute.
[link to finance.yahoo.com]
--------------------

Just imagine what a 8+ quake will do, when just a little 6.0 did all that.

M2.9 - 9km NNW of Diamond Ridge, Alaska
2014-08-25 09:59:24 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

M2.7 - 21km SSW of Little Sitkin Island, Alaska
2014-08-25 12:11:07 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

M2.8 - 80km SSW of Kiska Volcano, Alaska
2014-08-25 14:36:39 UTC
[link to earthquake.usgs.gov]

Peter Cobbold August 25, 2014 at 19:34
Off topic
What’s this?

[link to www.pbase.com]

-underwater volcano doesn’t ring true, but was there a submarine eruption yersterday?
– far too bright for bioluminescence and wrong colour.

Irpsit August 25, 2014 at 19:35
I will repost my scenario guess-estimates:

60% of changes that magma stalls in this intrusion and then 3 things can happen: either does not erupt (20%), or erupts there (40%). If it erupts it can either form a fissure (25%) or a single-spot eruption (15%). I still think we will see the intrusion eventually stalling before reaching Askja.

30% of changes that it travels further north and then either, erupts at Askja (20%), or a slight change that it does not trigger an eruption there and continues northwards and loses pressure and the intrusion eventually dies down (10%).

10% of change that the intrusion travels slightly east into Herdubreid system and might trigger an eruption there (5%) or not (5%). But I think it is more likely if it continues northwards and it reaches Askja rather than Herdubreid.

Thus 65% changes of eruption (40% of where it currently, 20% at Askja, 5% at Herdubreid).
35% of not erupting (20% it dies down at current place, 10% it dies down around Askja further north, or 5% dies down around Herdubreid region).

So I changed my 12 guessestimated options for what is going to happen, to a few more:
More likely dike does not reach Askja. It might erupt now and or it might not.
1) localized single-spot medium sized eruption, outside the glacier, near to where it is now
2) medium sized fissure just stays that way, lenght 5 to 10km, along the line to where it is now
3) no eruption yet. Dike stays emplaced, waiting for mantle decompression or new magma arrival
4) medium sized fissure evolves towards a shield volcano

Second most likely scenario after that, is that dike reaches Askja but it can erupt or not.
5) dike reaches Askja and only causes a small eruption at Askja caldera, and nothing else
6) dike continues past Askja and stays emplaced, no eruption whatsoever, for the moment

Third and still not very likely scenario (unless we see serious mantle decompression) is a large rifting eruption, or a caldera event (if many more M5 quakes occur there)
6) large sized rifting fissure, between Askja and Bardarbunga
7) large sized rifting fissure reaching Askja, with concomitant explosive eruption there
8) large sized rifting fissure draining Bardarbunga caldera, with explosive eruption there

There are a few of unprobably scenarioes but I listed them anyways:
9) dike emplaced does not erupt but draining causes a significant explosive eruption at Bardarbunga
10) dikes stops. only a small eruption within Bardarbunga caldera
11) dike reaches Herdubreid and triggers an eruption there
12) large scale rifting eruption with eruptions at both calderas
13) Hekla does a surprise and erupts before all of this

Second, I will repost an excellent article on Askja and that we could be onto a repeat of the Holuhraun, as Peter Cobbold suggested. Circa 1862 or 1874. A Bardarbunga dike intrusion into Askja fissure swarm, but magma belonged to Bardarbunga.

[link to www.repository.cam.ac.uk (secure)]

This is the scenario that could have happened in the entire region, according to the paper and other data

Year 1862-1864: for these two years an eruption happened in part of the Veidivotn fissure AND Dyngjujokull at the same time! Both came from Bardarbunga central volcano.
Year 1873: a large eruption of Grimsvotn, similar to 2011
Year 1874: an eruption starts at Askja caldera and possibly a fissure extending southwards of Askja into Vatnajokull glacier, belonging either to Askja or to Bardarbunga. Reports of two 20km apart ash plumes are still unlocated.
Year 1875: a large fissure forms near Myvatn, formed by a very long dike north of Askja, and then Askja also goes caldera at same time.
Yer 1902/1910: possible eruptions again in Dyngjujokull, Bardarbunga central volcano and Loki-Fogrufjoll., just slightly north of Laki.

This makes me think that this decade we might see rifting, minor or larger, occuring not only where we see the current dike, but also at other regions of Iceland, especially around Vatnajokull. I would say Herdubreid, near Hamarinn, north of Tungnafellsjokull, southwest of Grimsvotn, or even outside of Katla caldera. Most these places have seen deep quakes in the past, just like Kistufell and Mt Unknown.

Maine drinking water tests positive for dangerous levels of fluoride

A new study out of Maine suggests that residents across the New England state are regularly subjected to drinking water containing double the amount of fluoride considered to be dangerous by federal guidelines.

Residents from across the Pine Tree State were asked to voluntarily take samples from the private wells they rely on for drinking water, and ten different towns—including eight within a single county—tested higher than hoped for.

Scientific American published the results of the study last week, and the article's author, Dina Fine Maron, wrote that the details suggest many Mainers are introducing dangerous amounts of fluoride to their bodies due to an absence of regulation.

[link to rt.com]

Flare rising again
[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

I'm watching!!

M1.2 already

Geezzzzz

M2.1!

Wild is what I call that:

His blog post:
[link to www.pbase.com]

[link to www.solarham.net]

Still climbing!

Wow, look at the absorption!

[link to www.solarham.net]

M3.5 whoa!

Might be over. Was wonder if we were going to get an X-flare

Looks like it's peaking at M3.9

That is fierce breathtaking

Yep, peaked. Thought we were gonna get lucky, too.

Wonder what happened to solar minimum??? lol

Magnitude 2.4
Region CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
Date time 2014-08-25 20:14:57.0 UTC
Location 36.96 N ; 120.28 W
Depth 6 km
[link to m.emsc.eu]

I loved that you said "off topic". Only you would be that polite As Simple has said many times, we post everything here.
I dont' know what it is. A pool of those weird illuminating fish that are rarely spotted??
-----------------------------

I keep this link up so that I am always checking it, the quakes are way up for the 48 hours

Total: 2588

[link to en.vedur.is]

Last Edited by WhiteAngel on 08/25/2014 04:34 PM

The M3.97 flare was from the same region as the 2.0 early, 2149.
[link to www.solarham.net]

Sunspot region 2146 did it again! Only hours after the M2 solar flare, sunspot region 2146 produced the second M-class event of today: M3.98 at 20:21 UTC. There will be a chance that we reach the S1 proton storm threshold. More information will be posted here if this event produces a Coronal Mass Ejection.

What can we expect in the upcoming 24h?
Sunspot region 2146 has a magnetic delta structure in the southern penumbral area of the sunspot cluster that has been growing since our latest update. Due to this development more M-class flares are possible. We have raised the probability for M-class flares in the next 24 hours to 60%.

M-class flare probability: 60% chance
X-class flare probability: 5% chance

[link to www.spaceweatherlive.com]

Protons going up

[link to www.solarham.net]

Second M-Flare of the day, this time M3.9 detected around region 2146.

pic
[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Interesting read

NSA search engine allows law enforcement to scour data on citizens

According to the leaked documents and Gallagher's own reporting, the ICREACH search engine created by the NSA lets analysts from nearly two-dozen other government agencies, including the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Drug Enforcement Agency, among others, share an array of sensitive details collected by the US intelligence community and its partners concerning not just foreign terror suspects, but “millions of records on American citizens who have not been accused of any wrongdoing,” Gallagher wrote.
[link to rt.com]