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+++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++

 
Nyarlathotep

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11/10/2013 10:24 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
WOW I think they are going to blame it on the CME they created! THEY CREATED maybe not real.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33516951


They created the impression that it is a damaging CME on the way for the 13th.. but the imagery shows a faint plasma cloud.

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours

~Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re~ <<<<<<

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


I would suspect it isn't just about the size of the CME but how direct it is and the speed at which it strikes. A big pillow can hit you but won't do much damage or a small bullet can hit you and do a lot. It's not just about the size persay. Their are a lot of other factors to think about... but I am no solar scientist... Maybe Geo can chime in? Am I wrong in this assumption?
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 10:24 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
In the end, the sun will fry us all.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 10:34 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Revisions with new data from satellites places this now as a glancing blow or a miss.

per [link to www.solarham.net]

As per the latest SWPC update, the observed CME consisted mainly of shock and contained very little ejecta, the bulk of which appeared to be directed south of the ecliptic. Initial indications are that this CME will miss Earth to the south, further analysis and imagery are needed to make a final determination.
myeyesropenow42

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11/10/2013 10:46 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Revisions with new data from satellites places this now as a glancing blow or a miss.

per [link to www.solarham.net]

As per the latest SWPC update, the observed CME consisted mainly of shock and contained very little ejecta, the bulk of which appeared to be directed south of the ecliptic. Initial indications are that this CME will miss Earth to the south, further analysis and imagery are needed to make a final determination.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47137918


Revisions with new data from satellites places this now as a glancing blow or a miss.

per [link to www.solarham.net]

As per the latest SWPC update, the observed CME consisted mainly of shock and contained very little ejecta, the bulk of which appeared to be directed south of the ecliptic. Initial indications are that this CME will miss Earth to the south, further analysis and imagery are needed to make a final determination.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 47137918


[link to iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov]

Doesn't appear to be a miss to me LOL Quite impressive actually
psyoptics

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11/10/2013 11:01 PM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
WOW I think they are going to blame it on the CME they created! THEY CREATED maybe not real.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33516951


They created the impression that it is a damaging CME on the way for the 13th.. but the imagery shows a faint plasma cloud.

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours

~Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re~ <<<<<<

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


I would suspect it isn't just about the size of the CME but how direct it is and the speed at which it strikes. A big pillow can hit you but won't do much damage or a small bullet can hit you and do a lot. It's not just about the size persay. Their are a lot of other factors to think about... but I am no solar scientist... Maybe Geo can chime in? Am I wrong in this assumption?
 Quoting: Nyarlathotep


it all about the speed and density.
this one is large and dense....but way too slow. less then 20 hour from the sun to the earth will be up for discussion.....

Last Edited by psyoptics on 11/10/2013 11:03 PM
a good video editor can make anyone say anything the editor wants.
<x>

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11/10/2013 11:02 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
See its all bullshit... all those nasa webpage videos.... all a propaganda piece so they can turn off your power.

Has been for a while they just wanted you to believe they really had shit in space watching.

herightrex
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11/10/2013 11:09 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
M*walk
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11/10/2013 11:13 PM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


Really, i think it's the perfect time to pull the plug, they will have to set off an EMP bomb to get the full effect, but with ALL the warnings and hints them and big brooder have been dropping i would say this is prime time for show time....
“The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants.”
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:19 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


Really, i think it's the perfect time to pull the plug, they will have to set off an EMP bomb to get the full effect, but with ALL the warnings and hints them and big brooder have been dropping i would say this is prime time for show time....
 Quoting: M*walk


Will see, we only need to wait 72 hours, then BS flag will raise or not.
CØNFØRM

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11/10/2013 11:21 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


Really, i think it's the perfect time to pull the plug, they will have to set off an EMP bomb to get the full effect, but with ALL the warnings and hints them and big brooder have been dropping i would say this is prime time for show time....
 Quoting: M*walk


Will see, we only need to wait 72 hours, then BS flag will raise or not.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


so small of a flare even saying that you need a wait is a direct insult to the BS flag and a direct insult to your own Intelligence
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:24 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Is it normal for multiple solar data gathering websites to go down during high activity?!?

This was posted on SolarIMG's FB Page ~8hrs ago...

"As A.R 1890 had produced another X1.1 class at 05:14UTC plus CME that are Earth directed and are expected to arrive on the 13th. Having a bit of trouble gathering data on the actual flare as many of the data sites seem to be down at this point. Hoping they come back up soon to bring you the latest images and movies. Here is the current solar disk (from AIA 171 a) ; we are noticing 2 bright regions coming back around again off the east limb."
-sleyski

...Just wondering.
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:24 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


Really, i think it's the perfect time to pull the plug, they will have to set off an EMP bomb to get the full effect, but with ALL the warnings and hints them and big brooder have been dropping i would say this is prime time for show time....
 Quoting: M*walk


Will see, we only need to wait 72 hours, then BS flag will raise or not.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


so small of a flare even saying that you need a wait is a direct insult to the BS flag and a direct insult to your own Intelligence
 Quoting: CØNFØRM


How it's you AIDS? better?
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:26 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
bsflag

We have had X20+ hit our magnetosphere and nothing happened.
DOOM OFF!!
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:31 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
:ArnoldSunDoom:
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#



big arnie can go take a fuk.
Bananael

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11/10/2013 11:34 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Good, good. Let the solar doom flow through you.

Literally. sundead3
Wake Up

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11/10/2013 11:49 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
FalseFlag2
Isis One

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11/10/2013 11:49 PM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
bsflag

We have had X20+ hit our magnetosphere and nothing happened.
DOOM OFF!!

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48488311


Remember, its less about the flare and more about the CME it produces.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/10/2013 11:55 PM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
WOW I think they are going to blame it on the CME they created! THEY CREATED maybe not real.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33516951


They created the impression that it is a damaging CME on the way for the 13th.. but the imagery shows a faint plasma cloud.

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours

~Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re~ <<<<<<

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


Can somebody explain the whole Magnetopause Standoff Distance thing or point me in the direction of a good explanation?

From what I understand that measurement is really low and in turn, we are more vulnerable beneath the shield?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49437172


There you go bro,


( [link to www.youtube.com]
watch?v=pJHdC7lWx5E

burnit
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


Thanks, for that, I get it now.

One other question about the standoff distance, in the stats. Is that where they expect it to be pushed to during an event or where it starts off?
Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 12:05 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
NASA predicting SHIT, nothing will happen.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49327851


Really, i think it's the perfect time to pull the plug, they will have to set off an EMP bomb to get the full effect, but with ALL the warnings and hints them and big brooder have been dropping i would say this is prime time for show time....
 Quoting: M*walk


Here's a question I've been mulling: would an EMP serve "them" more than a simple grid-down event? I think it would be hard to corral/control the masses if military vehicles and law enforcement vehicles didn't work. No way DHS has hardened electronics in all those things. They are mostly new vehicles, as far as I can tell. Plus, their communications devices wouldn't work - can't imagine they're all EMP-proof. If they fry all electronics they could be shooting themselves in the foot.

I think just yanking the power would be sufficient to throw the masses into panic.
PIR

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11/11/2013 12:09 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Thread: Predicting a Solar Kill Shot Nov. 13th -14th or the 23rd!
Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 12:13 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
WOW I think they are going to blame it on the CME they created! THEY CREATED maybe not real.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33516951


They created the impression that it is a damaging CME on the way for the 13th.. but the imagery shows a faint plasma cloud.

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours

~Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re~ <<<<<<

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


Can somebody explain the whole Magnetopause Standoff Distance thing or point me in the direction of a good explanation?

From what I understand that measurement is really low and in turn, we are more vulnerable beneath the shield?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49437172


There you go bro,


( [link to www.youtube.com]
watch?v=pJHdC7lWx5E

burnit
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


thanks Op for that vid! It answered my questions and clarified some things I wasn't sure about!!!hf
Woot Woot

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11/11/2013 12:14 AM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
ArnoldSunDoom
 Quoting: #Geomagnetic_Storm#


that gif never gets old lol
Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 12:19 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
See its all bullshit... all those nasa webpage videos.... all a propaganda piece so they can turn off your power.

Has been for a while they just wanted you to believe they really had shit in space watching.

:herightrex:
 Quoting: <x>


On the other hand, wh would they want to turn it off? There will be chaos and chaos can't be controlled. And there won't be mass media brainwashing or internet distraction. People will riot and there will be no one to stop them. So what do they win is such scenario? I've always thought status quo is their strongest weapon and they are doing everything they can to prevent any real doom
Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 12:24 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
WOW I think they are going to blame it on the CME they created! THEY CREATED maybe not real.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 33516951


They didn't spend so much airplay advertising American Blackout for nothing. Although I doubt this will be it per say. Not now.
Isis One

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11/11/2013 12:25 AM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
...


They created the impression that it is a damaging CME on the way for the 13th.. but the imagery shows a faint plasma cloud.

Event Issue Date: 2013-11-10 10:00:59.0 GMT
CME Arrival Time: 2013-11-12 18:39:35.0 GMT
Arival Time Confidence Level: ± 6 hours
Disturbance Duration: 24 hours
Disturbance Duration Confidence Level: ± 8 hours

~Magnetopause Standoff Distance: 4.9 Re~ <<<<<<

[link to lasp.colorado.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


Can somebody explain the whole Magnetopause Standoff Distance thing or point me in the direction of a good explanation?

From what I understand that measurement is really low and in turn, we are more vulnerable beneath the shield?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49437172


There you go bro,


( [link to www.youtube.com]
watch?v=pJHdC7lWx5E

burnit
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46283060


Thanks, for that, I get it now.

One other question about the standoff distance, in the stats. Is that where they expect it to be pushed to during an event or where it starts off?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 49437172


That stand off video was very helpful Ac, thanks.
Spread the word, change the collective conscious......
THERE IS MORE THAN ENOUGH OF EVERYTHING TO GO AROUND

When you are undisciplined, the universe is extremely forgiving and when you are disciplined, the universe is extremely generous. Me

One doesn't discover new lands without consenting to lose sight, for a very long time, of the shore. Andre Gide
[link to www.godlikeproductions.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 12:25 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
See its all bullshit... all those nasa webpage videos.... all a propaganda piece so they can turn off your power.

Has been for a while they just wanted you to believe they really had shit in space watching.

:herightrex:
 Quoting: <x>


On the other hand, wh would they want to turn it off? There will be chaos and chaos can't be controlled. And there won't be mass media brainwashing or internet distraction. People will riot and there will be no one to stop them. So what do they win is such scenario? I've always thought status quo is their strongest weapon and they are doing everything they can to prevent any real doom
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 428255


Oh please, true doom happens off camera. Doom will rise if the public has no answers or explanations as to what's going on.
JustinSider

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11/11/2013 12:41 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Suspicious Observer was quick to dismiss this one and explicitly said it would not cause any damage. Why not be a little suspicious atleast?? isn't that in his NAME!

This and the GridEx 2 Drill going on... Doom On me thinks...
Guilty: is what our graves will read, no year no family. We did nothing, to stop the murder of people just like us..
#Geomagnetic_Storm#

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11/11/2013 12:59 AM

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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
bsflag

We have had X20+ hit our magnetosphere and nothing happened.
DOOM OFF!!

 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 48488311


Remember, its less about the flare and more about the CME it produces.
 Quoting: Isis One


shesright
Geoshill


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stormer

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11/11/2013 01:04 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
Um...so which side of the planet will take the hit?

manhole5
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Anonymous Coward
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11/11/2013 01:08 AM
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Re: +++ NASA CME Prediction model MASSIVE CME off the charts for 13th +++
based on the full 3d the south poleward part of planet will get a glancing blow, density is low, shock is high (high speed)

might spur australis borealis





GLP