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Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!

 
Luisport

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11/16/2013 09:43 AM

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Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 2h
Widespread damaging wind and isolated tornadoes tomorrow (SUN). Very dangerous system! [link to yfrog.com]


Last Edited by Luisport on 11/18/2013 07:45 AM
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:43 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 1 h
RT @NWSSPC: We issued a Day 2 Moderate Risk for severe weather on Sun. Here are past November Day 2 MDTs: [link to twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:47 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 3h
Will thunderstorms delay the Big Game this weekend? Details here: [link to wxch.nl]


The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 6h
Severe weather outbreak possible this weekend. Details here: [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:48 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 3h
Rain, thunderstorms and damaging winds will move through the East later this weekend [link to www.accuweather.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:50 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME ERN IL INTO
IND...OH...SRN MI AND NRN KY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH
THE OH AND TN VALLEYS AND A PORTION OF THE NERN AND SERN STATES...

...SYNOPSIS...

A STRONG UPPER JET NOW EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY DROPPING SEWD
INTO THE PACIFIC NW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH BASE OF SYNOPTIC SCALE
TROUGH. ATTENDANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEGATIVELY TILTED
THROUGH THE MID MS...OH VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES SUNDAY...REACHING
WRN PORTIONS OF THE NERN U.S. TOWARD THE END OF THIS PERIOD. THIS
FEATURE WILL INDUCE A SFC CYCLONE THAT IS FORECAST TO UNDERGO
SIGNIFICANT DEEPENING AS IT MOVES FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO THE
GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT TRAILING FROM THE LOW
WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE MID MS...OH AND TN VALLEYS...WHILE A WARM
FRONT LIFTS NWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.

...OH AND TN VALLEYS AND GREAT LAKES REGIONS...

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT AND A FEW
TORNADOES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR THE
MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES.

CURRENT OBSERVATIONS SHOW DEWPOINTS RISING INTO THE MID 60S ALONG
COASTAL TX WITH 70 NOT FAR OFFSHORE. A STRONG 50+ KT SSWLY LLJ WILL
ADVECT PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH LOW 60S DEWPOINTS AS FAR
NORTH AS THE OH VALLEY WITH MID 60S FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY. HOWEVER...THE MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY
WIDESPREAD CLOUDS THAT WILL LIMIT DIABATIC WARMING IN MUCH OF THE
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. IT STILL APPEARS PROBABLE THAT AREAS OF
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING ALONG WARM CONVEYOR
BELT SUNDAY MORNING. THUS...THE PRIMARY DESTABILIZATION MECHANISM
WILL BE LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION BENEATH A PLUME OF EWD
DEVELOPING 7-7.5 MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. IN WAKE OF WARM ADVECTION
STORMS...AN AXIS OF MLCAPE FROM 500-1500 J/KG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR.

THE DEEPENING CYCLONE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASE IN
FRONTOGENETIC FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING EWD THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY. STORMS MAY REDEVELOP BY AFTERNOON ALONG
PRE-FRONTAL WARM CONVEYOR BELT BENEATH DIFFLUENT UPPER JET EXIT
REGION AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. SHOULD SFC BASED WARM SECTOR
INITIATION OCCUR...80+ KT MID-LEVEL WSWLY WINDS WILL PROMOTE FAST
MOVING STORMS THAT SHOULD REMAIN AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE DISCRETE WHERE LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND 50+
KT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES. HOWEVER...DEGREE OF THE TORNADO THREAT
/SHOULD THESE STORMS DEVELOP/ WILL DEPEND ON MAGNITUDE OF
DESTABILIZATION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR BOUNDARY LAYER.

OTHERWISE...STORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT
FROM THE GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO THE MID MS AND TN VALLEYS AND
SUBSEQUENTLY DEVELOP EWD. GIVEN STRENGTH OF VERTICAL SHEAR...THESE
STORMS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO AN ORGANIZED LINEAR MCS WITH LEWP AND
BOW ECHO STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH EMBEDDED MESO-VORTICES ALSO WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SQUALL LINE.

...NERN U.S....

STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY OUTPACE THE AXIS OF RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT AND ENCOUNTER MUCH WEAKER INSTABILITY AS THEY
APPROACH THE NERN STATES. HOWEVER...SOME THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND
MAY PERSIST WITH REMAINING LOW TOPPED CONVECTION LATE THIS PERIOD.

[link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:55 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
A potentially significant and very widespread severe weather event is looking more likely for tomorrow, the SPC has already issued a moderate risk. Damaging winds look to be the biggest threat but a few tornadoes will be possible if discrete storms can form ahead of the front. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov]
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:57 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THIS FRONT. DUE TO THE STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS THERE WILL BE
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A FEW TORNADOES AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO
BE A THREAT. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME WILL BE LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY
EVENING.
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 09:58 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
NWS Wilmington OH ‏@NWSILN 4m Our area now under MODERATE risk for svr weather on Sunday. Please RT to spread the word! #ohwx #inwx #kywx [link to i.imgur.com]
ar-15 nut

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11/16/2013 09:59 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks for the heads up luis.hiding
A pissed off American veteran!
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 10:01 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks for the heads up luis.hiding
 Quoting: ar-15 nut


Take care! Forecasters see this as a very dangerous system.
MHz

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11/16/2013 10:11 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
With that stationary 'H' in central Canada that is going to feed a lot of cold air to that 'L' that is moving eastward in the norther US.
[link to www.theweathernetwork.com]
Bluebird

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11/16/2013 10:18 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks, Luis. Will keep an eye on things.
One of the most important aspects of conspiracy theories is being able to discern when there isn't one.

Oh yeah, like you'd understand anyway.

Where are we going and why am I in this handbasket?. . .J. Handy
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 10:21 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
They've been spraying for days to calm that system, tornados in Nov. might wake up the sheep.
Too Dark Park

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11/16/2013 10:22 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Wheeee! And I'm in the moderate risk area that the Storm Prediction Center is forecasting to get the nasty winds/possible tornadoes! ohyeah
UnmannedAerialPilot

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11/16/2013 10:23 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
5*, pin request and green karma. Thanks for the update Luisport!
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 10:28 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 7 min
RT @NWSIWX: Severe weather outbreak likely on Sunday! [link to twitter.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 10:28 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
000
FLUS44 KBMX 161522
HWOBMX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
922 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013

ALZ011>015-017>050-171530-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHE​ROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TAL​LAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MAC​ON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
922 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AREAS OF FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. VISIBILITIES WILL DROP BELOW 1 MILE AT TIMES AND SOME AREAS
WILL DROP TO NEAR 1/4 OF A MILE AT TIMES. DRIVERS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION AND USE LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

AREAS OF FOG WILL REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH 9 AM
SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

$$


SEVERE FOG WARNING!!! TAKE SHELTER NOW!!! PANIC!!!!PANIC!!! FEARFEARFEAR!!!


Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 10:28 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
5*, pin request and green karma. Thanks for the update Luisport!
 Quoting: UnmannedAerialPilot


hf
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 10:29 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Matthew 24:27

For as the lightning cometh out of the east, and shineth even unto the west; so shall also the coming of the Son of man be.
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 10:35 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
A lot of jet energy with this next system. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 10:35 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I'm smack dab in the middle of this. I rarely concern myself with forecasts around here, most don't live up to the hype but, this one has my attention. It's looking BAD.
Too Dark Park

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11/16/2013 10:37 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I pined it, so it can grow.


Weather doom is never pinned unless an EF20 tornado goes through Lower Manhattan during rush hour.
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 10:37 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I pined it, so it can grow.


Weather doom is never pinned unless an EF20 tornado goes through Lower Manhattan during rush hour.
 Quoting: Too Dark Park


Thank you so much! hf
Too Dark Park

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11/16/2013 10:39 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
For those of you who are in the areas of concern, look up your closest NOAA radio broadcast call-sign on this page: [link to classic.wunderground.com]


If you happen to lose power, access the site on your phone so you can have the station broadcasting.
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 10:40 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Here's a weather link from my area.

[link to www.indianaweatheronline.com]
Too Dark Park

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11/16/2013 10:41 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
For those of you who are in the areas of concern, look up your closest NOAA radio broadcast call-sign on this page: [link to classic.wunderground.com]


If you happen to lose power, access the site on your phone so you can have the station broadcasting.
 Quoting: Too Dark Park



Also: IF the player on above page doesn't play for you (it happens), go here and type in your local NOAA broadcast station call-sign and listen that way: [link to tunein.com]
Too Dark Park

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11/16/2013 10:49 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I pined it, so it can grow.


Weather doom is never pinned unless an EF20 tornado goes through Lower Manhattan during rush hour.
 Quoting: Too Dark Park


Thank you so much! hf
 Quoting: Luisport



thumbs
Luisport (OP)

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11/16/2013 11:02 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
[link to climate.cod.edu] [link to climate.cod.edu]
waterlily

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11/16/2013 11:18 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Stay safe guys. This looks like more than just a bad hair day.
*********** WaterLily ***********
" Do I dare
Disturb the universe?"
-- T. S. Elliot, Love Song of J. Alfred Prufrock

*************************************
“We are as ignorant of the meaning of the dragon as we are of the meaning of the universe.”
-- Jorge Luis Borges
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
"Pompey made his preparations for the war at the end of the winter, entered upon it at the commencement of spring,
and finished it in the middle of the summer."
-- Cicero, De Imperio Cn. Pompei
Anonymous Coward
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11/16/2013 11:22 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I'm right in the middle of it.

I am also paying attention, the fire dept has been to my apartments 3 times this week training.
Last night they came at 4am setting off this horrible sound where you have no choice except leave.

I couldn't even find my passport, needless to say I got a lesson in the importance of having a bob.

It was a bad feeling standing outside in the cold in my pj's and not allowed back into the building. All the electronic locks were locked down except the front door where there was a guard.
Abi ~

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11/16/2013 11:39 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Crazy weather in Illinois...snowed just enough to be measurable on the 11th...32 degrees most all week and today it is 60 degrees and very windy...

my dog is shivering like he is cold and acting very strange..he is a lab/Shepard mix and does not usually act this way..there is no way he is cold in 60 degree weather...

keeping an eye out

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