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Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!

 
Too Dark Park

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11/17/2013 03:00 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
bump
Abi ~

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11/17/2013 03:02 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I'm going to fill some water bottles now, before I forget....just in case.
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Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 03:23 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Is this going to be another Joplin event?! Possibly in Ohio?! Oh my!
 Quoting: UnmannedAerialPilot


O.o I hope not (central Ohioan here!)

Anyone know when the worst of this will hit central Ohio? I hope its not during the night...I've had a bad feeling all day today, the air felt heavy and "electric." The only other times I have had those feeling when my area got hit hard by tornadoes and/or wind storms.
Too Dark Park

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11/17/2013 03:36 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Is this going to be another Joplin event?! Possibly in Ohio?! Oh my!
 Quoting: UnmannedAerialPilot


O.o I hope not (central Ohioan here!)

Anyone know when the worst of this will hit central Ohio? I hope its not during the night...I've had a bad feeling all day today, the air felt heavy and "electric." The only other times I have had those feeling when my area got hit hard by tornadoes and/or wind storms.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20236500



Unfortunately it does appear to be a nighttime event with Ohio, which makes this scenario all the more dangerous.
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11/17/2013 03:38 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Is this going to be another Joplin event?! Possibly in Ohio?! Oh my!
 Quoting: UnmannedAerialPilot


O.o I hope not (central Ohioan here!)

Anyone know when the worst of this will hit central Ohio? I hope its not during the night...I've had a bad feeling all day today, the air felt heavy and "electric." The only other times I have had those feeling when my area got hit hard by tornadoes and/or wind storms.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20236500



Unfortunately it does appear to be a nighttime event with Ohio, which makes this scenario all the more dangerous.
 Quoting: Too Dark Park


Thanks for the warning. I'll keep a careful eye on the sky, then. Been around enough tornadoes to know what to watch and listen for, but never any big ones.
Too Dark Park

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11/17/2013 03:40 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I'm going to fill some water bottles now, before I forget....just in case.
 Quoting: Abi ~



Couldn't hurt.


I'm new to all this extreme weather up here near the Great Lakes. A little over a week ago we had a nice severe storm blow through with, eh... maybe 50 mph winds for about 10 minutes or so. It was enough to knock the power out all around me, yet somehow the lights managed to stay on where I live lol I expect the lights to go out for sure this time.


So, with that said, when I get up tomorrow I plan to have the NOAA radio out along with some blankets and pillows if I end up having to hide out in the hallway in the house I'm in (we don't have a basement). I'm on a laptop, so if the lights go out, I can still run off the city wifi (so long as it's available) to give updates here.
Too Dark Park

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11/17/2013 03:44 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks for the warning. I'll keep a careful eye on the sky, then. Been around enough tornadoes to know what to watch and listen for, but never any big ones.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20236500



Keep this page with you. It shows all NOAA broadcast stations and their call signs: [link to classic.wunderground.com]


Sometimes the player on that site can be a butthole, so find the city that is closest to you who issues warnings for your area, copy the callsign, and search for it here: [link to tunein.com]
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 03:53 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks for the warning. I'll keep a careful eye on the sky, then. Been around enough tornadoes to know what to watch and listen for, but never any big ones.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20236500



Keep this page with you. It shows all NOAA broadcast stations and their call signs: [link to classic.wunderground.com]


Sometimes the player on that site can be a butthole, so find the city that is closest to you who issues warnings for your area, copy the callsign, and search for it here: [link to tunein.com]
 Quoting: Too Dark Park


Thanks again!


I think I know the weather system you were referring to in your previous post above this one, lol. Right across the street a tree fell down and took down at the power lines for one side of the street but mine was fine :D I tend to have good luck when it comes to electricity.

And yeah, I don't have a basement either. I do have a 10 foot deep ditch in the backyard, well technically its a creek but its only usually a couple of inches deep, I wonder if that would be safer than my ancient house. Probably not lol, but we only have one interior room (a tiny bathroom)
Too Dark Park

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11/17/2013 04:06 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
Thanks again!


I think I know the weather system you were referring to in your previous post above this one, lol. Right across the street a tree fell down and took down at the power lines for one side of the street but mine was fine :D I tend to have good luck when it comes to electricity.

And yeah, I don't have a basement either. I do have a 10 foot deep ditch in the backyard, well technically its a creek but its only usually a couple of inches deep, I wonder if that would be safer than my ancient house. Probably not lol, but we only have one interior room (a tiny bathroom)
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 20236500



No problem thumbs


Well, if it is an interior bathroom with no windows, Id say get in there and cover yourself up with pillows and blankets. I don't like how they say to get in a ditch and cover your head if you have no other shelter to get to. Everything turns into a flying projectile when a tornado is bearing down on you... I'd rather take a risk and get in my car, orient myself, and drive south/east away from the worst part of the storm if at all possible. Not smart I know, but.. take that or be outside with flying debris... Id attempt the former.


Anywho, I need to try and get some sleep before all this shit initiates early tomorrow (though I said that an hour ago lol )

Last Edited by Too Dark Park on 11/17/2013 04:08 AM
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 05:36 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
www.indianaweatheronline.com
As you wake up this morning, hopefully you are getting a plan in place for today's severe weather. As you should already know, we have been forecasting a severe weather outbreak for Indiana and Ohio for several days now. That severe weather outbreak will come to fruition today. A strong storm system will bring widespread damaging winds and tornadoes to Indiana and Ohio beginning late this morning and continuing through the evening. There is no way to time out individual storms but the timeframe that we are under the gun for dangerous weather is between 11:00 AM and 7:00 PM. Supercells will initially develop over Illinois and move into Indiana after lunch. These storms will be capable of producing tornadoes and some violent tornadoes. Then a second round of storms will move into Indiana from west to east and will produce widespread damaging winds (squall line) during the late afternoon and into the evening hours. Please make sure you and your family are prepared. Today is a dangerous situation. Today is a day to take action if a warning is issued. Today is a day that if a tornado warning is issued, you immediately head to your interior room or basement. Take every possible precaution to keep you and your family safe. We will be here with you throughout the day.
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11/17/2013 05:38 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
We want to say that today is going to be a day that is hazardous the property and to human life. Don't panic, just stay calm and listen to instructions given by local law enforcement and media outlets. Be smart so you can stay safe! We will be posting watches and warnings as they come up and will pass them along to you! Take this storm system extremely serious! There have only been 4 other times that a "High" risk for severe weather has ever, in recorded history, been issued in November! Unfortunately, because it is such a large system, we cannot answer everyone's individual questions! Sorry for any inconvenience this may cause! Stay with us as we get through this weekend! -@dmichaelcoyle

Breaking news-breaking Indiana facebook page.
[link to www.facebook.com (secure)]
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT URBANA IL AND INDIANAPOLIS IND IN THE 18Z TO
21Z TIMEFRAME SHOW SBCAPE NEAR 1500 J/KG...0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 70
KT...LOW-LCL HEIGHTS AND LONG LOOPED HODOGRAPHS SUGGESTING
SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES WILL BE LIKELY AS DISCRETE CELLS INTENSIFY.
0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES OF 400 TO 450 M2/S2 WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG TORNADOES WITH SEVERAL LONG-TRACK DAMAGING
TORNADOES EXPECTED TO OCCUR FROM ERN IL ENEWD ACROSS MUCH OF WRN AND
CNTRL IND FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. AS CELL COVERAGE
INCREASES AHEAD OF THE FAST MOVING FRONT...A SQUALL-LINE SHOULD
ORGANIZE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE ALONG WITH TORNADOES WITH ROTATING CELLS
EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD RAMP UP SOUTH OF THE
OH RIVER DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AS CELLS INITIATE SWD ALONG THE
FRONT. THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES SHOULD DEVELOP AS
A FAR SOUTH AS THE TN VALLEY DURING THE EVENING AS AN EXTENSIVE LINE
OF SEVERE STORMS MOVES EWD INTO THE UPPER OH VALLEY AND CNTRL
APPALACHIAN MTNS.

SEVERAL FACTORS APPEAR TO BE COMING TOGETHER FOR A TORNADO OUTBREAK
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY. THE FIRST FACTOR IS THAT THE SYSTEM IS
NEGATIVELY-TITLED AND VERY WELL-ORGANIZED. THE SECOND IS THAT THE
LOW AND MID-LEVEL JETS WILL BECOME FAVORABLY COUPLED IN THE OH
VALLEY TODAY COINCIDING WITH AN OUTBREAK OF STORMS ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR. THE THIRD IS THAT SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DISCRETE
INTO THE MID-AFTERNOON. THESE FACTORS COMBINED WITH EXTREMELY
FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES JUSTIFIES THE ISSUANCE OF A HIGH
RISK ACROSS ERN IL...IND AND SW LOWER MI.
[link to forecast.weather.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 08:41 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
West central IN here...Woke up to our Torcon raised to 7. I've NEVER seen it that high for our area before.
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 08:49 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
hf
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 08:51 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 25 min
HIGH Risk for damaging wind and destructive tornadoes today! [link to yfrog.com]
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 08:59 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 4 min
Storm Prediction Center likely to issue first #tornado watch by mid to late AM for parts of IL, E. MO and SE IA: [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:07 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 1 min
RT @anthonywx: This is the 2nd "High Risk" day of 2013. The other was June 12, and covered nearly the same area. [link to twitter.com (secure)]
LIL' ANGEL
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11/17/2013 09:07 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
I'm wondering about the HAARP signatures with these storms, although I understand they are offline.

Some family members were at a football game in Carmel Indiana Friday night, the ref on the field had a heart attack died on the field and was resuscitated on the field at the exact same time a man in the stands had a seizure, subsequently then also had a heart attack on his way to the hospital and another grandfather died in the hospital from possibly the same ails.

Is the Midwest being HAARPED.

Be on guard Midwesterns!
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Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:42 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 22 min
BREAKING: @DrGregForbes has raised TOR:CON to 9 for IL and IN. 90% chance of a #tornado within 50 mi. of a location: [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 2 min
Particularly dangerous situation tornado watch box issued from central IL to southeast WI, including Chicago [link to www.accuweather.com]
Luisport (OP)

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 2 min
First #tornado watch of the day issued until 4 pm CST for much of IL, east-central MO, SE IA, SE WI and NW IN. [link to wxch.nl]
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:51 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
TOR:CON of 6 for southern Michigan now
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:52 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SEL1

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 561
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN IOWA
ILLINOIS
NORTHWEST INDIANA
NORTHEAST MISSOURI
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN
LAKE MICHIGAN

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 840 AM UNTIL
400 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 80
MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
SCOTT AFB ILLINOIS TO 40 MILES NORTHEAST OF MADISON WISCONSIN.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

DISCUSSION...ONE OR MORE BROKEN BANDS OF SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND RAPIDLY SPREAD EAST/NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA TODAY. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR LONG
TRACKED...SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES. LARGE HAIL AND CORRIDORS OF WIND
DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...MEAD
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:53 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
334 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2013

...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TONIGHT...

.AFTER THE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHES LATE
TODAY...THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT LATE THIS EVENING WILL
BE MARKED BY INTENSE WINDS. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH A RAPIDLY DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORECAST TO LIFT
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT. THE ONSET OF COLDER POST FRONTAL
AIR AND THE INTENSITY OF THE LOW LEVEL WIND FIELD WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO REACH 60 MPH LATE THIS EVENING AND
POSSIBLY INTO THE OVERNIGHT. CONTINUED DEEPENING OF THE SURFACE
LOW MAY ACTUALLY SUPPORT WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH INTO MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 09:53 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
My what a blustery day.
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:54 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 3 min
PDS Tornado Watch ("Particularly Dangerous Situation") issued IA, IL, MO, WI [link to twitter.com (secure)]
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:55 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
NWS Northern Indiana ‏@NWSIWX 1h
If you do not have a basement, it may be a good idea to make plans at family/friends homes who have one.
Luisport (OP)

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11/17/2013 09:56 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2010
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN MO...SERN IA...AND WRN/CENTRAL
AND NRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY

VALID 171347Z - 171515Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

SUMMARY...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SWD FROM CENTRAL/ERN IA INTO
NRN/CENTRAL MO BY MID-LATE MORNING WITH ACTIVITY THEN MOVING QUICKLY
EWD INTO MUCH OF IL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL BECOME
ORGANIZED WITH THE POTENTIAL TO EVOLVE INTO LONG-LIVED DISCRETE TO
SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. THREATS FOR TORNADOES...HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WITH THESE INITIAL STORMS SUGGEST A TORNADO WATCH MAY NEED TO
BE ISSUED BY MID-LATE MORNING.

DISCUSSION...MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED CONVECTIVE
CLOUDS ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE EXTENDING FROM SWRN-NERN
MO INTO SERN IA NEAR THE SURFACE LOW. MEANWHILE...RADAR IMAGERY
SHOWED A NARROW BAND OF REFLECTIVITY EXTENDING FROM SWRN IA INTO
NWRN MO /INVOF KANSAS CITY MO/...WITH THIS LIKELY INDICATING THE
PRESENCE OF THE COLD FRONT AND STRONG DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT
ADVANCING EWD INTO THIS REGION. STORMS...MAINLY ELEVATED...ARE
ONGOING OVER CENTRAL/ERN IA ALONG AND N OF A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
SWRN-NERN IA.

THE DEGREE OF FORCING ADVANCING EWD ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA
COMBINED WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALREADY PRESENT
OVER MO/IL /E.G. 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR NEAR 50 KT/ IS EXPECTED TO
SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT SWD FROM CENTRAL/ERN IA INTO NRN/CENTRAL MO
AS LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE INCREASES WITH THE COLD FRONT OVERTAKING
THE PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH.

..PETERS/CORFIDI.. 11/17/2013


ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...E AX...

LAT...LON 38589247 39839289 41419214 42039044 42258924 42138769
40058797 38328946 37929044 37869177 38589247
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11/17/2013 09:56 AM

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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 1 min
Remember, WATCH = conditions favorable for tornadoes over the area. WARNING = take shelter, tornado in progress.
Anonymous Coward
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11/17/2013 09:56 AM
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Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!
TOR:CON of 6 for southern Michigan now
 Quoting: Luisport


uhoh

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