Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! | |
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Too Dark Park User ID: 9813460 United States 11/16/2013 12:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! I am very excited. I moved to Indiana recently and have since been very anxious in seeing the weather up here. Nothing awesome ever happens in Texas unless you live up in the Panhandle. I'm going to be outside waiting for it! |
Too Dark Park User ID: 9813460 United States 11/16/2013 12:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT AND A FEW TORNADOES SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN AND NEAR THE MODERATE RISK AREA ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. AKA a derecho |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 49 m Widespread damaging wind threat for Midwest on Sunday, shifts to Northeast Sunday night-Monday [link to www.accuweather.com] |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:10 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 2h Some #severe storms are possible in the Midwest tonight, however a bigger severe t-storm outbreak is expected Sunday: [link to wxch.nl] |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! Timing for severe storms tomorrow in area of Middle Tennessee. [link to www.srh.noaa.gov] |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:17 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! Ryan Breton ‏@RyanBretonWX 3h Moderate risk of severe weather in OH tomorrow; slight risk extends all the way into central Pennsylvania: [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] … Rick Mitchell ‏@RickMitchellWX 3h Moderate risk of svr storms tomorrow in Midwest. Widespread svr wind event & a few tornadoes possible. #dfwwx [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:18 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! Dr. Greg Forbes ‏@DrGregForbes 17h My full severe forecast at [link to www.weather.com] Dr. Greg Forbes ‏@DrGregForbes 17h Dangerous day Sunday - maybe even Sunday morning in east IA, IL, south WI with a tornado threat and then spreading across Midwest, Mid-South |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! Probabilities on the increase for Sunday #Severe event featuring damaging winds and a few tornadoes in hatched area: [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] … |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 46821329 Canada 11/16/2013 12:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! I'm right in the middle of it. Quoting: Ms Zippy I am also paying attention, the fire dept has been to my apartments 3 times this week training. Last night they came at 4am setting off this horrible sound where you have no choice except leave. I couldn't even find my passport, needless to say I got a lesson in the importance of having a bob. It was a bad feeling standing outside in the cold in my pj's and not allowed back into the building. All the electronic locks were locked down except the front door where there was a guard. WTH......why would they come in a 4am. How inconsiderate & not necessary at all. Yesterday in my building, the fire alarm went off 2 times. First time was in the early afternoon & second time at 10:30pm. Both times the fire truck came & it took them about 10mins to shut it off. There are no kids in my building to be pranking it & its a security controlled front entrance, so I believe the alarm was malfunctiong for some reason. The building is fairly new also. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:39 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! We're still 24 hrs. out...could raise again. I've NEVER seen it this high for us at most a 4. Quoting: Melrox The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel 21 m TOR:CON has been raised to a 6 in IN and IL by @drgregforbes for Sun. More details on this and what TOR:CON means: [link to wxch.nl] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:43 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! Saturday, Nov. 16 The first upper-air disturbance does not have much instability to work with, but may be able to give an isolated severe thunderstorm in central and east IA, north MO. TOR:CON - 2. A chance of a very isolated severe thunderstorm in west MO, extreme east OK, extreme southeast KS. TOR:CON - 1 Saturday Night, Nov. 16-17 The second upper-air disturbance begins to intercept the returning moisture and gives isolated severe thunderstorms pre-dawn in east IA, north MO, east MO, west IL. TOR:CON - 2 to 3 Sunday, Nov. 17 Severe thunderstorm and tornado outbreak, possibly beginning in the morning in the western part of the threat area. Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes in east IA, south WI, lower peninsula of MI, IN, IL, OH, west NY, west PA, western WV, KY, TN, north AL, north half MS, northeast LA,l east AR, east MO. TOR:CON - 6 IL, IN; 5 south MI; 3 to 4 much of the rest of the severe area. TOR:CON details: AL north - 3 AR east - 3 to 4 morning, early afternoon IA - 4 morning IL - 6 morning, early afternoon IN - 6 KY - 3 to 4 MI south - 5 MI north lower - 4 MO east - 3 to 4 morning, early afternoon MS north half - 3 LA northeast - 3 NY west - 2 to 3 OH - 3 to 4 PA west - 2 to 3 TN - 3 to 4 WI south - 3 morning WV west - 2 to 3 other areas - 1 or less Sunday Night, Nov. 17-18 Thunderstorms diminish but strong gusts may persist ahead of and with the cold front across NY, PA, WV, MD, NJ. TOR:CON - less than 2 Monday, Nov. 18 Strong wind gusts in New England, mostly without thunderstorms. TOR:CON - less than 2. [link to www.weather.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:44 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 1 min Winds will be howling as the Chicago Bears host the Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon [link to www.accuweather.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 40051142 United States 11/16/2013 12:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! November 17 Potential Severe Weather Outbreak By Andrew at 5:09 PM There is potential for a severe weather outbreak this weekend, as an amplified storm system traverses the Plains, leading to an enhanced jet stream and an opportunity for a potentially significant squall line. The image above shows the jet stream wind speed projection for Sunday evening. I drew in the black line to show the tilt of the storm system, which should be negatively-tilted for this event. The negative tilt matters in this situation, as negatively-tilted storms tend to produce more "intense" severe weather events than positively-tilted storm systems (which involve the storm pushing to the southwest). The jet stream should be absolutely screaming when this event begins, with the NAM forecast above maxing out above 110 knots. The active jet stream will lead to this event being maximized in the severity, in terms that whatever severe weather that occurs on Sunday should be of decent significance (i.e. damaging winds and possibly a tornado). Simulated reflectivity projections from the NAM model indicate that a strong squall line should stretch from Ohio to the western tip of Tennessee by the evening hours on Sunday. Per hodographs from immediately out ahead of the squall line, any convection that forms before the squall line pushes through may be tornadic. In the same fashion, if the squall line itself is more of a coagulation of individual cells rather than a line of storms, there is a raised potential of tornadoes. At the time, storm motion (storm speed) around 50-60 knots to the east-northeast tells me that this will certainly be a big damaging wind threat. Lower level winds just 5000' off the ground will be over 60 knots, and if these winds translate to the surface, we could see a large-scale damaging wind event over the Ohio Valley. - See more at: [link to theweathercentre.blogspot.de] Quoting: Luisport It's coming right for me. thanks again for the heads up |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1132 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013 VALID 171200Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF ERN IL...EXTREME SERN WI...SRN LOWER MI...OH...INDIANA...AND NRN KY... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION... ...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND EVENT AND SEVERAL TORNADOES /SOME POSSIBLY STRONG/ SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES... ...SYNOPSIS... LONGWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE WRN US IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY THROUGH SUNDAY AS A VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL JET STREAK DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES BEFORE PROGRESSING EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MS VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO BECOME NEGATIVELY-TILTED AS IT LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...AN INTENSE DEEPENING LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM IA TOWARD ERN LAKE SUPERIOR DURING THE DAY AND PROGRESS INTO ERN ONTARIO AND WRN QUEBEC AT NIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ARC SWD FROM THE LOW WITH THE NRN PART OF THE FRONT ACCELERATING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THE SRN PART OF THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LAG SWWD...REACHING AN ERN LOWER MI/SRN INDIANA/CENTRAL AR/NRN TX LINE BY 18/00Z...AND ERN NY/NRN VA/WRN NC/NRN GA AND LOWER MS VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ...OH VALLEY INTO THE SRN GREAT LAKES... OVERNIGHT STORMS MAY BE CONTINUING FROM PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY SWWD ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY MAY CONTAIN A MORE LIMITED SEVERE THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS IT SHIFTS EWD/NEWD WITH TIME. ALTHOUGH DYNAMIC FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PRIMARILY NORTH OF THIS AREA...SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES INCLUDING POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING INTO EARLY/MID AFTERNOON FROM ERN IA INTO PARTS OF NRN/CENTRAL IL...THEN SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY. STRONG SSWLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVECT MOISTURE NWD TOWARD THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW WITH 60-65F DEW POINTS REACHING AS FAR NORTH AS NRN PARTS OF IL AND INDIANA. A PLUME OF STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IS FORECAST TO EXTEND EWD FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TOWARD THE SRN GREAT LAKES AND WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED INSTABILITY WITH CAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG FORECAST ACROSS PARTS OF IL AND INDIANA. STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS MID/LATE MORNING OVER PARTS OF ERN IA NEAR THE SURFACE LOW AND ADVANCING COLD FRONT...THEN INCREASE IN COVERAGE INTO NRN/CENTRAL IL DURING THE AFTERNOON AS STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID/UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK OVERSPREADS THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY AXIS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF CLOCKWISE TURNING LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH STRUCTURES IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG VEERING WIND PROFILES. SEVERAL 12Z CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS /ESPECIALLY THE 4 KM WRF-NSSL AND 1.3 KM NAM FIRE NEST/ INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS PARTS OF IL/INDIANA AND SRN LOWER MI ALONG/AHEAD OF THE STRONGEST EWD SURGE OF THE COLD FRONT. THESE WILL HAVE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FROM MID-LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING TO PRODUCE SWATHS OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...SEVERE HAIL AND POSSIBLY SEVERAL TORNADOES /SOME STRONG/. WITH TIME...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO BOWING LINEAR STRUCTURES AND SPREAD RAPIDLY EWD/NEWD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE FAST-MOVING LINES WILL MOVE PROGRESSIVELY INTO LESSER INSTABILITY...HOWEVER VERTICAL TRANSFER OF STRONG HORIZONTAL MOMENTUM TO THE SURFACE MAY MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ..WEISS.. 11/16/2013 [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
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Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:56 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF CLOCKWISE TURNING LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH STRUCTURES IN ASSOCIATION WITH STRONG VEERING WIND PROFILES. SEVERAL 12Z CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS /ESPECIALLY THE 4 KM WRF-NSSL AND 1.3 KM NAM FIRE NEST/ INDICATE DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS PARTS OF IL/INDIANA AND SRN LOWER MI ALONG/AHEAD OF THE STRONGEST EWD SURGE OF THE COLD FRONT. THESE WILL HAVE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FROM MID-LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING TO PRODUCE SWATHS OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...SEVERE HAIL AND POSSIBLY SEVERAL TORNADOES /SOME STRONG/. WITH TIME...CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP INTO BOWING LINEAR STRUCTURES AND SPREAD RAPIDLY EWD/NEWD ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES/UPPER OH VALLEY WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT TRANSITIONING TO POTENTIALLY WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE FAST-MOVING LINES WILL MOVE PROGRESSIVELY INTO LESSER INSTABILITY...HOWEVER VERTICAL TRANSFER OF STRONG HORIZONTAL MOMENTUM TO THE SURFACE MAY MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE THROUGH MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 50062585 Portugal 11/16/2013 12:57 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Re: Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!! I should add that the tropical system moving into Mexico could add moisture to this system. [link to www.ssd.noaa.gov] |