Strong, potentially damaging winds to impact the Northeast today!!! 6th death has been confirmed in IL!!!

it can stay out of iowa

Haiyan in the States.

People think that big damaging storms will never get them.

Think twice.

You could end up homless squatting under a leantoo before you know it.

And its Winter Time.

What a great time to be caught unprepared.

In the dead of WINTER TIME!

Just the thought gives me the shivers. Cold and Wet.

Ain't life grand all of a sudden.

Wow, had no idea this was coming! Thanks a ton, Luis, as I'm in Ohio.

I'm in the purple on this map, whatever that means...

Probably not anything good. LOL

[link to twitter.com (secure)]

Thanks for the info!



Stay safe! Eeeek! Do you have a basement?

Yes, thank God! Our home is also anchored to the foundation.

Stay safe! Eeeek! Do you have a basement?

Yes, thank God! Our home is also anchored to the foundation.


Thank God!

I'm going out now to get some batteries, just in case.

Luis, gave you some green to counteract that red. Sheesh. I sooooo appreciate you!

Yes, thank God! Our home is also anchored to the foundation.


Thank God!

I'm going out now to get some batteries, just in case.

Luis, gave you some green to counteract that red. Sheesh. I sooooo appreciate you!


Thank you sooo much!

How is this looking For South East Ohio?

Fuck! Derechos happen here all of the time! They are only hyped by people who do not live here! We are fine! No doom what so ever!

Im up North of Denver and around 2am the winds were very strong, still very very windy now.

I gave you green and signed it CW. No one should be punished for doing a good deed!

Those poor people in Joplin, MO are under the gun again.

Derechos happen here all of the time??? You are playing with serious stuff!

[link to www.youtube.com]

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 AM CST SAT NOV 16 2013

VALID 161630Z - 171200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY SUNDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MO VALLEY INTO UPPER
MIDWEST...

...SYNOPSIS...

A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE PACIFIC NW AND NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN
REGION WILL UNDERGO CONSIDERABLE AMPLIFICATION WHILE SHIFTING INTO
THE CNTRL CONUS IN RESPONSE TO THE EQUATORWARD PROGRESSION OF MID
AND UPPER-LEVEL WIND MAXIMA INTO THE BASE OF THE PARENT SYSTEM.
MEANWHILE...A PRECEDING VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL EJECT FROM THE CNTRL
PLAINS NEWD THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...A SURFACE CYCLONE ATTENDANT TO THE LEAD
MID/UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP FROM N-CNTRL NEB TOWARD THE MN
ARROWHEAD AHEAD OF A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER WHICH
WILL TRACK FROM NERN CO TO CNTRL IA BY 17/12Z. AN ASSOCIATED WARM
FRONT WILL MOVE NWD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AHEAD OF A
STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ADVANCE EWD INTO THE UPPER MS
AND MID/LOWER MO VALLEYS...CNTRL/ERN KS SWD THROUGH THE RED RIVER
VALLEY OF TX/OK.

...LOWER MO VALLEY INTO UPPER MIDWEST LATER TODAY INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...

A 50 KT SWLY LLJ WILL MAINTAIN THE POLEWARD FLUX OF AN INCREASINGLY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER THROUGH THE NWD-EXPANDING WARM SECTOR WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS RISING THROUGH THE 50S TO PERHAPS AROUND 60 F.
THIS PROCESS WILL OCCUR BENEATH A PLUME OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES /REF. 12Z TOP SOUNDING/ WITH MLCAPE VALUES STEADILY INCREASING
TO 500-1000 J/KG TO THE SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT AFTER 17/00Z.

AN INITIAL RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY MATERIALIZE IN THE
16/21Z-17/03Z TIME FRAME ACROSS SRN IA/NRN MO WHERE SUSTAINED
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO
INITIATE A STORM OR TWO. SHOULD THIS SCENARIO
UNFOLD...MODEL-DERIVED FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF
FAIRLY SIZABLE CLOCKWISE-CURVED HODOGRAPHS WHICH WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELL EVOLUTION AND A RISK FOR A TORNADO OR TWO IN ADDITION TO
SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

A SECONDARY THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE IN THE
17/09-12Z TIME FRAME AHEAD OF THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER
PARTS OF IA INTO NWRN IL AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT
STRENGTHENS WITH THE APPROACH OF THE PRIMARY UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM.
POOR LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OWING TO NOCTURNAL COOLING IN THE
BOUNDARY LAYER CASTS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER STORMS WILL BE
SURFACE BASED. A MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THREAT WILL EXIST EVEN FOR
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED STORMS WITH A GROWING RISK FOR TORNADOES AND
DAMAGING WINDS FROM 17/12Z AND BEYOND AS STORMS BECOME PROGRESSIVELY
ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER.

...MID SOUTH INTO OH VALLEY LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT WITH EARLIER RUNS IN
SUGGESTING THE FORMATION OF A SW-NE-ORIENTED CONVECTIVE BAND
SITUATED ALONG THE WRN PERIPHERY OF THE RETREATING EAST COAST
SURFACE ANTICYCLONE...AND ALONG THE AXIS OF THE NOCTURNAL LLJ. THIS
REGIME WILL EVOLVE ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF THE NWD-EXPANDING WARM
SECTOR WITH STORMS LIKELY BEING SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. AS
SUCH...SUB-SLIGHT-RISK PROBABILITIES WILL BE MAINTAINED...THOUGH
MODEL AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
UPGRADE IN SUBSEQUENT DAY 1 OUTLOOKS.

..MEAD/DEAN.. 11/16/2013

SPC and the NWS in Wilmington are obviously more focused on a linear/wind threat for Ohio, but i'm not entirely sure that will be the worst of our problems. NAM continues to show possible discrete storms around the Ohio/Indiana border.

CANADA WATCHING... ==discussion==

A low pressure system from Colorado is expected to track towards the
Great Lakes and will rapidly intensify into a significant fall storm
as it heads towards Lake Superior later on Sunday. Its associated
cold front is forecast to reach Southwestern Ontario late Sunday
afternoon then blast east across the remainder of the regions Sunday
night.

In advance of this fall storm, southerly winds will continue to pump
in mild air from the Southern United States. Hence fair weather under
various blends of sun and cloud along with mild temperatures are
expected today. On Sunday, stronger southerly winds will help
temperatures to rise well into the mid teens, with a few locales such
as Niagara and Windsor possibly getting into the upper teens. Showers
are likely Sunday, with many areas receiving a total of 15 to 25 mm
thanks to tropical moisture coming up from the Gulf of Mexico.
However there may be some rain-free periods of a couple hours
As well.

Very strong and gusty southwesterly winds are expected to herald the
arrival of the strong cold front late on Sunday. Thunderstorms may
form along and ahead of the cold front. Some of these thunderstorms
may be severe with damaging winds the main threat, especially for
Southwestern Ontario.

In the wake of the cold front, very strong winds will persist into
Monday with much colder air from the Arctic expected to blast in from
the northwest in the wake of the front by Monday night. There is
potential for snow squalls by Tuesday in the snow belt regions to the
southeast of Lake Huron and Georgian Bay as winter roars in with a
vengeance.

Environment Canada will monitor this developing situation closely.


The public is advised to monitor future forecasts and warnings as
warnings may be required or extended.

Please monitor the latest forecasts and warnings from Environment
Canada at www.weatheroffice.gc.ca

What does northeast TN look like. Is going to be just heavy winds and storms. Or should we be on the lookout for a possible tornado?

Thanks Luisport.

63 deg & strong winds right now.


Gusts near 40 mph.

and the cause of our 30 year drought and increased storm wind velocities is due to the lower specific heat of the atmosphere. The atmosphere heats and cools faster because it is missing water. The water is missing due to aircraft.

CO2 is a non-problem folks. The CO2 lines have been absorbed 100% for a long time. The source of your ills is global dimming.
[link to www.youtube.com]

It's ALWAYS windy there!!

[link to www.youtube.com]

[link to kamala.cod.edu]

TN - 3 to 4 TOR CON