UK WEATHER UPDATE: Level 1 issued for parts of Ireland, Scotland, UK, France, Benelux, Germany, Sweden and Denmark!!!

yes, there are many dangers with this! Huge Storm surge for shure!

off topic but...
Ian Fergusson ‏@fergieweather 4 min
Sounds like utter chaos in much of S Bristol due to Cumberland Basin bridge failure. Shambles that such a major route falls victim to this.




BBC Radio Bristol ‏@bbcrb 13 min
Plimsoll Bridge broken since 4.20pm. Extensive queues in all directions. @BristolCouncil say diversion signs are up. No comment on repairs.

There's a bunch of em' lining up for the next week.

Take a look here and check out 162 hours ahead from now!
[link to www.meteociel.fr]

Celtic Irish eyes have smiled too long in support of the PLO



And on the Brits too!

That's too far ahead in these models to be worrying yet, but yes... yikes. It could be an interesting Christmas if a 930mb depression goes right across the West Coast. The storm surge near the focus would be immense.

I don't understand the meteorology behind these models, but it's striking how these storms seem to be insulating the area of the next one's formation from high pressure systems - it almost seems to be allowing them to build up and get larger and deeper each time. Surely this has got to be related to the Arctic low across the US, but a whole succession of these things just isn't normal...

You're right, it's FAR from normal!

Well worth a watch, luis had the storm surge called in uk, well before it got media hyped.

The pinky red part off the north west coast of Scotland is reading about 140KPH or approaching 90 MPH according to that map. [link to earth.nullschool.net]

Blustery weather heading to northern Lincolnshire as Storm Emily hits the UK

Strong winds and outbreaks of heavy rain are expected in northern Lincolnshire later this week as the so-called Storm Emily hits the UK.

Though the area is predicted to escape the worst of the bad weather, gusts of up to 50mph are possible on Wednesday evening and into Thursday.

[link to www.scunthorpetelegraph.co.uk]

Prepare for Storm Emily! Deadly 100mph gales and blizzards to hit Britain on Christmas Day


Forecasters gave the ominous double warning as two vast weather depressions edged towards the UK.

The second is expected to lead to an extremely stormy festive period over the entire country.

[link to www.express.co.uk]

Hey Luis, great to see you're not giving up on the weather! I bet they all will then be on their merry way East over to us, providing positive temperatures and absolutely no snow for our Christmas. Which is on the 7th due some calender errors. That also means I won't get decent night skies for my astrophotography. Such a shame. It's already melting over here, well melting then freezing to make Moscow one large skating ring.

Derek Brockway ‏@DerekTheWeather 7 h
@MattHugo81 what's all this about then?! 06Z GFS for start of December 25th #snow [link to twitter.com (secure)]

Thank you my friend! And what do you think about all this?

Unmentioned so far is the rain; there will be plenty of it. Pretty miserable Christams shopping for the SW, and for Scotland who expect snow and rain mix with those storm force winds...

as always thanks Luis great post

Very windy west coast of Ireland today. Looks to be that way all week...especially towards the end of the week:

[link to www.met.ie]

[link to magicseaweed.com]

Storm has been downgraded anyways for Thursday/Friday.

NI will get it most and parts of western scotland.

Other than that, there will be no snow, just plenty of wind and rain until at least the new year.

+VE all December, strong Vortex.

926 will never happen, and there wont be sustained hurricane force winds, but it will be strong, and it will be windy.

You are right with the 5 storm systems though, its' looking like a grim xmas for the UK.

The main system is xmas eve/day and boxing day, thats the one to watch out for.

i just hope so!

That's not going to happen either... The models were a cold outlier, so it's been disregarded... It's currently rain and wind for xmas day, sadly.

Aye, were keeping a strong eye on this storm for xmas day, it's looking horrible at the moment, with potentially 100mph winds, but a long way to go yet so lots of changing to go.

i actually like weather like that

yep, i'm a bit odd.

My Uncle says that northern half of Ireland will be obliterated tomorrow by 100mph winds.

Is this an Uncle... Uncle...Who know's everything?

Anyways, don't worry, it's going to be very windy for NI Wednesday and Thursday, no doubt about that, but not sustained 100mph... We think between 60-70mph GUSTS are a potential, so very strong, but it's been downgraded over the last few hours...

where? I don't see any downgrade... can you post a link?

Of course...

I'll even draw on to show it..

[link to f1.nwstatic.co.uk]

[link to f1.nwstatic.co.uk]

Second one is showing Gusts of 75mph Western Scotland...

GFS, ECMWF, JMA all disagree on the location of the lows final position as well. Wouldn't like to be a TV forecaster.. It's rather going to batter somewhere, or just end up with 50MPH winds.

[link to f1.nwstatic.co.uk]

952mb LP, which is low, but not 926mb or 943mb... Hence the downgrade in force.

My friend, i really hope you are right, but even a 952Mb Low is very very dangerous on wind gusts, storm surges, rain totals, and falling trees and objects and possible acidentes... and this is a very long event, all the week, so it's better be prepared!

I must stress though, it's mainly the GFS that's downgraded it... ECMWF and NAE still have it powerful.