TORNADO UPDATES: FLOOD WARNINGS NOW... | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 10:18 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Dr. Forbes upped TOR:CON to 7 for Saturday, meaning a tornado is highly likely. Read about the TOR:CON here: [link to wxch.nl] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 10:39 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2096 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0757 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF E TX...WRN/NRN LA...AND SRN AR CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 211357Z - 211500Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE MAY BE REQUIRED BY 15-17Z FOR PARTS OF EAST TX INTO WRN/NRN LA AND SRN AR. DISCUSSION...LIGHTNING TRENDS THROUGH 1330Z SHOWED TSTMS CONTINUING TO DEVELOP FROM NERN TX /NEAR THE COLD FRONT/ AND SSWWD ALONG A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE TO 45 NNE KVCT. THIS CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION IS LIKELY OCCURRING AS STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS/DEEP LAYER ASCENT IS BEGINNING TO SPREAD NEWD FROM CENTRAL TX. ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND E OF THE FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE IS SUFFICIENTLY SHEARED TO RESULT IN ORGANIZED STORMS...GIVEN 50-60 KT SLY LLJ. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER ASCENT TO SUPPORT STORMS BECOMING ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINS WEST OF THE SURFACE FRONT. AS THIS ASCENT MAKES NEWD ADVANCEMENT...SUSTENANCE OF UPDRAFTS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME GREATER ESPECIALLY BETWEEN 15-17Z. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 10:51 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to i403.photobucket.com] Already some live chasers in the area. Could get dangerous later today. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 10:53 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 1 min TORNADO Watch issued AR LA TX [link to go.usa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 10:58 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 580 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 950 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS WESTERN AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA EASTERN TEXAS COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 950 AM UNTIL 600 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ANGLETON TEXAS TO 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TODAY WHILE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WHILE THE ATMOSPHERE IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE...THE PRESENCE OF VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND INTENSIFYING LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL PROMOTE EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS AND BOWING STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF TORNADOES --SOME POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT-- AND CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22050. ...MEAD |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 11:14 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 15 m Thunderstorms are strengthening from S. Texas to W. La., S. Ark. Danger increasing for severe weather, including tornadoes into this... AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 22 m Moderate to major river flooding forecast for lesser rivers in the Ohio Valley. [link to www.accuweather.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 11:32 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 12:03 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2098 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1045 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...SERN AR...NWRN MS...WRN TN CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY VALID 211645Z - 211745Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT SUMMARY...TORNADO THREAT SHOULD INCREASE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS THUNDERSTORMS INTENSIFY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT/SHORT-WAVE TROUGH. DISCUSSION...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTION IS EXPECTED INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY AS LARGE SCALE ASCENT SPREADS ACROSS THE SABINE RIVER INTO AR/LA. NUMEROUS SMALL SHOWERS/TSTMS HAVE EVOLVED ACROSS SERN TX/WRN LA OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS AND MORE DISCRETE CONVECTION IS NOW SPREADING NEWD INTO SERN AR...AS EVIDENT BY ORGANIZED UPDRAFT OVER UNION COUNTY. THIS STORM HAS STRENGTHENED NEAR THE SHALLOW POLAR FRONT AND SHOULD LIFT NEWD TOWARD THE MEMPHIS METRO REGION...NEAR/JUST WEST OF SAGGING FRONTAL ZONE. STRONGLY SHEARED AIRMASS SHOULD ENHANCE TORNADO THREAT FOR WARM SECTOR UPDRAFTS THAT STRENGTHEN DURING THE DAY. ..DARROW/MEAD.. 12/21/2013 ATTN...WFO...OHX...PAH...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV... LAT...LON 33619298 34639155 35868991 36568919 36518839 36118814 35158870 34288933 33579016 33309116 33259239 33619298 |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 12:41 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 12:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1016 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 UPPER TEXAS COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES INCLUDING GALVESTON AND MATAGORDA BAYS GMZ330-220530- MATAGORDA BAY- 1016 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...TORNADO WATCH 580 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | stay alert and safe folks..................... [link to www.srh.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | [link to imgur.com] [link to imgur.com] [link to i.imgur.com] [link to imgur.com] [link to imgur.com] [link to i.imgur.com] The rain shows no signs of stopping anytime soon. [link to radblast.wunderground.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:05 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 5 min 2nd Tornado WATCH just issued until 8pm for parts of ARK, MS, TN. Map to follow. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] … |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:08 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 582 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1200 PM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN ARKANSAS WESTERN MISSISSIPPI WESTERN TENNESSEE * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NOON UNTIL 800 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF DYERSBURG TENNESSEE. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 580...WW 581... DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WHILE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WHILE INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK...THE PRESENCE OF A VERY STRONG WIND FIELD WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES --SOME SIGNIFICANT-- AND CORRIDORS OF WIND DAMAGE. AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22050. ...MEAD |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:14 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Too Dark Park User ID: 9813460 United States 12/21/2013 01:31 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Too Dark Park User ID: 9813460 United States 12/21/2013 01:46 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | LOUISIANA HE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTH CENTRAL SABINE COUNTY IN EASTERN TEXAS... EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN WINN PARISH IN NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... SOUTHWESTERN BIENVILLE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... EASTERN DE SOTO PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANSFIELD... NATCHITOCHES PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF NATCHITOCHES... RED RIVER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... NORTHERN SABINE PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA... * UNTIL 130 PM CST * AT 1233 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF ZWOLLE TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANSFIELD...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 26 MILES NORTH OF TOLEDO BEND DAM TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MANSFIELD...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANY...COUSHATTA AND CAMPTI... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:51 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | SevereStudios ‏@severestudios 24 m Map of new Tornado Watch. [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] … [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 01:58 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | 1.5-inch precipitable water w/small cells exceeding 2-inches. impressive soup for December 21st [link to twitter.com (secure)] |
Simple27 User ID: 51550563 United States 12/21/2013 02:06 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 02:07 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather 12 min We are keeping a close eye from central La. to NW Miss., W. Tenn. next few hours for violent storms. [link to www.accuweather.com] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 02:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | NOAA NWS SPC: A Moderate Severe Weather Outbreak is Forecast Today and/or Tonight [link to www.spc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 51839210 Portugal 12/21/2013 02:47 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL WOUS40 KWNS 211650 ALZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-220200- PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1050 AM CST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI TO OHIO VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting the development of a few intense tornadoes and widespread damaging winds over parts of the Lower Mississippi to Ohio valleys this afternoon and tonight. The areas most likely to experience this activity include: Northwest Alabama Southeast Arkansas Central and Northeast Louisiana much of Mississippi Western and Middle Tennessee Elsewhere, severe storms are also possible from parts of the Ohio Valley to the Gulf Coast. A potent jet stream disturbance now over west Texas will track northeast into Red River Valley later today, before accelerating northeast into the mid-Mississippi Valley tonight and early Sunday. Associated with this disturbance, an area of low pressure now forming over northeast Texas will become better organized as it moves northeast into southern Arkansas this afternoon, northwest Tennessee this evening, and the lower Ohio Valley early Sunday. Ahead of the low, a broad flow of unseasonably warm and humid air will surge north from the western Gulf of Mexico into the lower Mississippi, the lower Tennessee, and the Ohio Valleys through early Sunday. The increasing moisture and strong wind field that will accompany the jet stream impulse will create an environment favorable for bands of rotating thunderstorms capable of both potentially strong tornadoes and damaging wind over a broad swath extending from eastern Texas and southern Louisiana northeastward into the lower Mississippi and lower Tennessee Valleys. Although the severe weather threat is expected to be greatest this afternoon through early tonight over parts of Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee, a more conditional risk for tornadoes and damaging winds will persist into early Sunday from the central Gulf Coast northeast into the mid-Ohio Valley. State and local emergency managers are monitoring this developing situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio, television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings, and statements later today. ..Mead/Corfidi.. 12/21/2013 |