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A monthly multiplier would only track to a linear progression, but if you want a dangerously fast and dirt multiplier you could reduce it down by -

Let X(1) = #ACTIVE_CASES on DAY(1), which should be the most recent full count of cases in the geography.

Let Y(1) = 2.53 * X(1) = #INACTIVE_CASES on DAY(1), which assumes that there are a "full queue" of incubating cases.

For each DAY,

move [Y(n)*1/8.8 of Y(n) into X(n) because I am looking at a mean incubation period of 8.8 days

With an ROI of 2.53~ across a contagious period of 11.8 days, in a 30 day month, you'll have (11.8/30) * 2.53 = 0.9951, as a daily multiplier for transmissions from active cases


Therefore,

Let Y(n) = Y(n-1) + 0.9951 * X(n) To instantiate new cases in incubation based upon the ROI

And remove the dead from X(n) at a rate of 0.3933 because the mean duration of symptoms is 11.8 days in a 30 day month and 11.8/30 = 0.3933

Let x(n) = X(n-1) - (.3933 * X(n-1))

So in short, and based upon an X-cycle of 11.8 days where a patient is symptomatic but not dead, and a transmission factor of 2.53, and you'll have a net gain estimator factor of 29.854 for any give 30 day period. Now, you'll notice that 30/29.854 is almost 1 (in fact, it is 1.00489)

This all boils down to this: if you have # of active cases on any give day, you can simply double it and have an anticipated number of active cases for the same day of the following month...


...and AGAIN, I have to say it: these calculations are for a specific geography. You can't try to condense numbers together from geographies which are unrelated in the real world.

This is part of a graphic description.

[link to www.cydathria.com]

Ebola Zaire attacks every organ and tissue in the human body except skeletal muscle and bone. It is a perfect parasite because it transforms virtually every part of the body into a digested slime of virus particles. The seven mysterious proteins that, assembled together, make up the Ebola-virus particle, work as a relentless machine, a molecular shark, and they consume the body as the virus makes copies of itself. Small blood clots begin to appear in the bloodstream, and the blood thickens and slows, and clots begin to stick to the walls of blood vessels. This is known as pavementing, because the clots fit together in a mosaic. The mosaic thickens and throws more clots, and the clots drift through the blodstream into the small capillaries, where they get stuck. This shuts off the blood supply to various parts of the body, causing dead spots to appear in the brain, liver, kidneys, lungs, intestines, testicles, breast tissue (of men as well as women), and all through the skin. The skin develops red spots, called petechiae, which are hemorrhages under the skin. Ebola attacks connective tissue with particular ferocity; it multiplies in collegen, the chief constituent protein of the tissue that holds the organs togehter. (The seven Ebola proteins somehow chew up the body's structural proteins.) In this way, collagen in the body turns to mush, and the underlayers of the skin die and liquefy. The skin bubbles up into a sea of tiny white blisters mixed with red spots known as a maculopapular rash. This rash has been likened to tapioca pudding. Spontaneous rips appear in the skin, and hemmoraghic blood pours from the rips. The red spots on the skin grow and spread and merge to become huge, spontaneous bruises, and the skin goes soft and pulpy, and can tear off if it is touched with any kind of pressure. Your mouth bleeds, and you bleed around your teeth, and you may have hemorrhages from the salivary glands -- literally every opening in the body bleeds, no matter how small. The surface if the toungue turns brilliant red and the sloughs off, and is swallowed or spat out. It is said to be extraordinarily painful to lose the surface of one's tongue. The tongue's skin may be torn off during rushes of the black vomit. The back of the throat and the lining of the wind pipe may also slough off, and the dead tissue slides down the windpipe into the lungs or is coughed up with sputum. Your heart bleeds into itself; the heart muscle softens and has hemorrhages into its chambers, and blood squeezes out of the heart muscle as the heart beats, and it floods the chest cavity. The brain becomes clogged with dead blood cells, a conditions known as sludging of the brain. Ebola attacks the lining of the eyeball, and the eyeballs may fill up with blood: you may go blind. Droplets of blood stand out on the eyelids: you may weep blood. The blood runs from your eyes down your cheeks and refuses to coagulate. You may have a hemispherical stroke, in which one whole side of the body is paralyzed, which is invariably fatal in a case of Ebola. Even while the body's internal organs are becoming plugged with coagulated blood, the blood that streams out of the body cannot clot; it resembles whey being squeezed out of curds. The blood has been stripped of its clotting factors. If you put the runny Ebola blood in a test tube and look at it, you see that the blood is destroyed. Its red cells are broken and dead. The blood looks as if it has been buzzed in an electric blender.

Fake Ebola Test Kits for Sale

[link to www.osundefender.org]


The Lagos State Government on Wednesday warned Lagosians and other citizens in the country not to fall victims of suspected fraudsters who were selling a kit that could be used to test for Ebola Virus. The government, in a statement by the Special Adviser on Media to the Governor, Mr. Hakeem Bello, explained that the reality on ground was that there was nothing like that.
It added that the product, which was called Rapid Response Canada, was nothing but a hoax to rip-off unsuspecting Nigerians of their earned money.

I wonder if the creator of this fake kit also has the 12 million dollars I won in the lottery over there...

I wonder how they figured it was fake. Before or after testing?

I wonder how they figured it was fake. Before or after testing?

Agence France-Presse &#8207;@AFP · 5m
#BREAKING West Africa Ebola epidemic claims more than 1,900 lives, says WHO chief

so it went from 1550+ to over 1,900 what in 4 days.

If this it's a major us city we are fubar , I'll be moving to my 20 acres in Texas , solar panels composting toilets and away from this insane society lmao hahaha

This is part of a graphic description.

[link to www.cydathria.com]

Ebola Zaire attacks every organ and tissue in the human body except skeletal muscle and bone. It is a perfect parasite because it transforms virtually every part of the body into a digested slime of virus particles. The seven mysterious proteins that, assembled together, make up the Ebola-virus particle, work as a relentless machine, a molecular shark, and they consume the body as the virus makes copies of itself. Small blood clots begin to appear in the bloodstream, and the blood thickens and slows, and clots begin to stick to the walls of blood vessels. This is known as pavementing, because the clots fit together in a mosaic. The mosaic thickens and throws more clots, and the clots drift through the blodstream into the small capillaries, where they get stuck. This shuts off the blood supply to various parts of the body, causing dead spots to appear in the brain, liver, kidneys, lungs, intestines, testicles, breast tissue (of men as well as women), and all through the skin. The skin develops red spots, called petechiae, which are hemorrhages under the skin. Ebola attacks connective tissue with particular ferocity; it multiplies in collegen, the chief constituent protein of the tissue that holds the organs togehter. (The seven Ebola proteins somehow chew up the body's structural proteins.) In this way, collagen in the body turns to mush, and the underlayers of the skin die and liquefy. The skin bubbles up into a sea of tiny white blisters mixed with red spots known as a maculopapular rash. This rash has been likened to tapioca pudding. Spontaneous rips appear in the skin, and hemmoraghic blood pours from the rips. The red spots on the skin grow and spread and merge to become huge, spontaneous bruises, and the skin goes soft and pulpy, and can tear off if it is touched with any kind of pressure. Your mouth bleeds, and you bleed around your teeth, and you may have hemorrhages from the salivary glands -- literally every opening in the body bleeds, no matter how small. The surface if the toungue turns brilliant red and the sloughs off, and is swallowed or spat out. It is said to be extraordinarily painful to lose the surface of one's tongue. The tongue's skin may be torn off during rushes of the black vomit. The back of the throat and the lining of the wind pipe may also slough off, and the dead tissue slides down the windpipe into the lungs or is coughed up with sputum. Your heart bleeds into itself; the heart muscle softens and has hemorrhages into its chambers, and blood squeezes out of the heart muscle as the heart beats, and it floods the chest cavity. The brain becomes clogged with dead blood cells, a conditions known as sludging of the brain. Ebola attacks the lining of the eyeball, and the eyeballs may fill up with blood: you may go blind. Droplets of blood stand out on the eyelids: you may weep blood. The blood runs from your eyes down your cheeks and refuses to coagulate. You may have a hemispherical stroke, in which one whole side of the body is paralyzed, which is invariably fatal in a case of Ebola. Even while the body's internal organs are becoming plugged with coagulated blood, the blood that streams out of the body cannot clot; it resembles whey being squeezed out of curds. The blood has been stripped of its clotting factors. If you put the runny Ebola blood in a test tube and look at it, you see that the blood is destroyed. Its red cells are broken and dead. The blood looks as if it has been buzzed in an electric blender.

Well now, that was a delightful read after my nap......

Saved.

A sanity check of our R-O figures: infected countries have a known population. When they "go dark" as it were due to a majority being infected / dead this bounds the infection rate.

We can estimate the first index case in that country, then work it from there to "lights out" - which will be applicable to countries in that economic strata.

Liberia and Sierra Leone have, together, approximately 10 million people.

While WHO can play games with numbers now, they won't be able to hide a country that goes dark. If 1% of Liberia is infected, lights out may be in just a few months. Or less.

This is nothing in terms of magnitude. We are in the vertical part of the curve, but still the bottom part of the curve.

It's game over in West Africa.


Just fckn EYEBALL these curves:
[link to en.wikipedia.org]

It projects to 9,000 cases with 6,350 dead by the beginning g of October - Just eyeballing it.

And that is the underreported count.


Fckn game over.

where you suggest October,

IS NOW.

game way the fukk over.

We should be seeing the first wave in America in the next week. People with last stage symptoms.

In another week to 3 we will see the second and third waves......in America.

You couldn't make a movie of this.

Nobody would go, nobody would believe TPTB could be so stupid. The story would be laughable.

Mid September the whole world will be terrified.

There will be major fights in Ukraine beginning,

First wave of Plague hits US,

American cities are hit HARD with ISIS Revenge.

(disgruntled employees?)

Mother of all False FLags.

Quote

What's the counter target. Foment US anger, then counter strike ISIS in Syria? Then what, back to the old plan and go after Iran?
Unquote

Yeah man, gotta have another war. Not selling those high dollar boomers.

"The American public must be galvanized behind another War"
"What is needed is another Pearl Harbor"

Remember the PNAC Document?

Ready yourself for round 2.

A monthly multiplier would only track to a linear progression, but if you want a dangerously fast and dirt multiplier you could reduce it down by -

Let X(1) = #ACTIVE_CASES on DAY(1), which should be the most recent full count of cases in the geography.

Let Y(1) = 2.53 * X(1) = #INACTIVE_CASES on DAY(1), which assumes that there are a "full queue" of incubating cases.

For each DAY,

move [Y(n)*1/8.8 of Y(n) into X(n) because I am looking at a mean incubation period of 8.8 days

With an ROI of 2.53~ across a contagious period of 11.8 days, in a 30 day month, you'll have (11.8/30) * 2.53 = 0.9951, as a daily multiplier for transmissions from active cases


Therefore,

Let Y(n) = Y(n-1) + 0.9951 * X(n) To instantiate new cases in incubation based upon the ROI

And remove the dead from X(n) at a rate of 0.3933 because the mean duration of symptoms is 11.8 days in a 30 day month and 11.8/30 = 0.3933

Let x(n) = X(n-1) - (.3933 * X(n-1))

So in short, and based upon an X-cycle of 11.8 days where a patient is symptomatic but not dead, and a transmission factor of 2.53, and you'll have a net gain estimator factor of 29.854 for any give 30 day period. Now, you'll notice that 30/29.854 is almost 1 (in fact, it is 1.00489)

This all boils down to this: if you have # of active cases on any give day, you can simply double it and have an anticipated number of active cases for the same day of the following month...


...and AGAIN, I have to say it: these calculations are for a specific geography. You can't try to condense numbers together from geographies which are unrelated in the real world.