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NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!

 
Canuck_Hillbilly

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03/24/2014 12:41 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
On standby in the Valley, Nova Scotia!uhoh
 Quoting: The Gent


Hey neighbour! cheers

Heading to the grocery and liquor stores now to stock up!
My opinions are just that. My opinions! Don't like them? Tough!
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03/24/2014 12:55 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 24 min
At 900-hPa level, winds solidly Category 4 about 130-knots -- about 1,000 feet above ocean surface [link to twitter.com (secure)]

The Gent

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03/24/2014 01:09 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
On standby in the Valley, Nova Scotia!uhoh
 Quoting: The Gent


Hey neighbour! cheers

Heading to the grocery and liquor stores now to stock up!
 Quoting: Canuck_Hillbilly


Done that this morning, One step ahead of you my friend.....

Cheers!
Rachael123

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03/24/2014 01:26 PM

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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
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Joe Bastardi
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Most models to assume polar frontal wave will be boss.I think arctic wave off va cape will be.would mean track 100 nw pic.twitter.com/shxUIY0OuM
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Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 01:28 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 4 min
Canadian has shifted west.very close to my forecast pt at 40 n/70 w ( benchmark) Trying to jump more on
nw system [link to twitter.com (secure)]

Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 01:41 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
[link to climate.cod.edu] [link to climate.cod.edu]
Canuck_Hillbilly

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03/24/2014 01:57 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!


Holy crap! Circle of doom! I'm all stocked up now. Let 'er rip!
My opinions are just that. My opinions! Don't like them? Tough!
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03/24/2014 02:00 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!


Holy crap! Circle of doom! I'm all stocked up now. Let 'er rip!
 Quoting: Canuck_Hillbilly


[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 02:09 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 1 min
Bomb is 24 mb / 24 hr "explosive deepening" of central pressure.
12z ECMWF 6-hourly MSLP:
1000 mb, 993 mb, 978 mb, 956 mb, 951 mb


Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 02:16 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
AccuWeather.com ‏@breakingweather · 11 min
A foot of snow to bury Cape Cod, MA & Nova Scotia at midweek. See our latest snow map: [link to www.accuweather.com]

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03/24/2014 02:18 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Capital Weather Gang ‏@capitalweather · 2 h
NE Storm may generate 40-50 ft waves, sustained winds 75-85 mph offshore. Prob biggest NW Atlantic storm since Sandy: [link to wapo.st]

Canuck_Hillbilly

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03/24/2014 02:34 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Capital Weather Gang ‏@capitalweather · 2 h
NE Storm may generate 40-50 ft waves, sustained winds 75-85 mph offshore. Prob biggest NW Atlantic storm since Sandy: [link to wapo.st]


 Quoting: Luisport


A friend of mine is on an oil rig south of Sable Island this week. NOT where I'd want to be right now!
My opinions are just that. My opinions! Don't like them? Tough!
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03/24/2014 02:34 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 5 min
ECMWF hurricane forecast in line with [link to Weatherbell.com] . Lower than ave yr overall, but heightened US impact risk, esp US e coast NC N

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03/24/2014 03:18 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
12z CMC [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com] [link to meteocentre.com]
Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 03:54 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Tuesday:
•Ingredients: A northern upper-level disturbance moves into the Northeast in the morning while the southern disturbance spins up new low pressure off the Florida coast. By early evening the two systems begin merging into a stronger low-pressure center just off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This low pressure intensifies explosively Tuesday night as it moves northeast to an area off the coast of Cape Cod.
•Impacts: Light to moderate snow from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley into the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic states during the day, ending Tuesday night. For the I-95 corridor the snow may mix with rain, at times. As the merger occurs and the coastal low strengthens, there is the potential for snow and wind to spread through New Jersey, the New York City area including Long Island, and into New England Tuesday evening and Tuesday night. The strength of the winds and the amount and westward reach of snowfall are all uncertain at this time and will depend on the exact track/intensity of the low pressure system. Snowfall amounts in New York City could range from a dusting to several inches, depending on the track of the low, with the highest totals over eastern Long Island.
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03/24/2014 03:56 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 8 min
@itsalleternal @ericfisher the lowest I've seen is 960 mb over Nova Scotia based on track. Should fill or weaken before landfall

Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 04:20 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
The winds will cause very rough conditions across the northwestern Atlantic Ocean. Seas in open waters from Massachusetts to Newfoundland may reach 40 feet.

Coastal flooding is possible in Massachusetts, where coastal areas have an exposure to northerly winds. Water levels in this area may rise to a couple of feet above published tide levels.

The blizzard will not develop fast enough to severely impact the rest of the East Coast. However, light snow is forecast to fall along the I-95 corridor in New England and the northern mid-Atlantic. Enough snow can fall to lower the visibility and cover road surfaces for a time.

On Monday, the storm was crossing the Central states with spotty snow. Snow will spread across the central and southern Appalachians during Monday night.

Snow amounts through Monday night will generally be on the order of a coating to an inch or two.

As the storm reorganizes along the East Coast on Tuesday, the snow will develop across the mid-Atlantic, southern New York and Connecticut. Outside of the mountains, there will likely not be enough cold air in place for more than wet snowflakes across the Carolinas.

Most of the snow that falls during the midday and afternoon hours on Tuesday will have a hard time sticking to roads.
Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 04:36 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Excerpt from today's day 4-8 SPC convective outlook...
STILL SEEMS MOST LIKELY THAT THE EASTWARD AND NORTHEASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE STRONGER MID/UPPER FORCING FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP LAYER FLOW FIELDS... AWAY FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO... WILL OCCUR PRIOR TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SEASONABLY MOIST RETURN FLOW. AND THE MODEST NATURE OF THE RETURN FLOW PROBABLY WILL LIMIT THE EXTENT OF THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. AT LEAST LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEY REGION... PERHAPS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ... THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BUT CERTAINTY IS NOT GREAT ENOUGH AT THIS TIME TO INTRODUCE A REGIONAL SEVERE RISK AREA.
Anonymous Coward
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03/24/2014 05:05 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 4 min
My WxBELL ECMWF-Init WRF-10km run took explosive cyclone down to at least 948 mb -- that does impress me. [link to twitter.com (secure)]

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03/24/2014 05:20 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
337 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...POWERFUL WINTER STORM LIKELY TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND
AND PARTICULARLY THE CAPE AND ISLANDS VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

MAZ022>024-250345-
/O.EXT.KBOX.BZ.A.0004.140326T0400Z-140326T1800Z/
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET
337 PM EDT MON MAR 24 2014

...BLIZZARD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHA/S VINEYARD.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AND BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH A LOW
PROBABILITY FOR UP TO A FOOT OF SNOW ACROSS THE OUTER-CAPE AND
NANTUCKET.

* TIMING...VERY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY IN HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW MAY MAKE TRAVEL ALMOST
IMPOSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY FOR THE WEDNESDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR. IN
ADDITION...STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREES AND POWER
OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. LOW
PROBABILITY FOR A FEW GUSTS UP TO HURRICANE FORCE ACROSS THE
OUTER-CAPE AND NANTUCKET.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR CONSIDERABLE
FALLING AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE FOR AT LEAST
3 HOURS. WHITEOUT CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAKING TRAVEL
VERY DANGEROUS.
tech_bonus

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03/24/2014 08:03 PM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Could have told you days ago - [link to www.theweatherspace.com]
 Quoting: TheWeatherSpace



Uhh...what's this talk of 50(!!) foot waves being generated from this? blink
Anonymous Coward
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03/25/2014 08:51 AM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
bump
Madmacs

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03/25/2014 09:22 AM

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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
meh...

will miss most of US coast line....


NBD

yoda
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 28 min
@ericfisher maybe 4 times more powerful than Sandy based on integrated KE of wind field

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03/25/2014 10:58 AM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Alex Lamers ‏@AlexJLamers · 11 h
Nor'easter: from TUE 18z to WED 18z the 00z 4km NAM has 1005mb → 956mb, 00z GFS 1003mb → 958mb, 00z RGEM 1000mb → 954mb. Still 45-50mb/24hr.



Ryan Maue ‏@RyanMaue · 11 h
Huge area of hurricane force winds will surround nearly calm center -- while not a tropical system, it'll share warm-core -- albeit shallow
Anonymous Coward
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!

Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 20 h
A question of who pulls who in. Models all against my idea that nw development pulls in system to se. But snows in va on model increasing




Joe Bastardi ‏@BigJoeBastardi · 20 h
My idea is system that you will see near Hatteras around noon tomorrow will be stronger as it moves northeast, pull in other.Not vice versa


abeliever
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03/25/2014 11:08 AM

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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Luis, just an inch or so of light snow here north of DC.


The Cape and Islands should be really concerned. They are constantly fighting erosion at waterfront properties. People spend lots of money on that. They've also lost homes into the ocean because of erosion. I fear that with this intensity and coming off the water, the bay side of the Cape is really going to get hit hard.

A lot of these homes are on beautiful sandy cliffs. Breathtaking views, but they get killed in normal storms, and therefore this intensity could really pack a punch on the Cape from Plymouth to Provincetown and then the Vineyard and Nantucket.

Yikes!

It's not the snow that they'd fear, it's the winds and the ocean. I think I'd be boarding up those cliff homes...

Thanks Luis!


hf

Last Edited by abeliever on 03/25/2014 11:09 AM
Anonymous Coward
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03/25/2014 11:13 AM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
The Weather Channel ‏@weatherchannel · 4 h
#Blizzard watches & warnings are posted for parts of New England. Our latest #snow, wind, coastal flooding forecast. [link to wxch.nl]
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03/25/2014 11:24 AM
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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore · 12 h
Lots-O-Wind 2 MT @EricWeglarzWx: Concerns with flooding, AccuWx Hi-Res wave model depicting these high waves [link to twitter.com (secure)]

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Re: NORT'EASTER UPDATE: Central pressure dropped to 955mb and falling. New peak gust of 119 mph reported. 17 TO 22 FT WAVES. CAT 3 WIND GUSTS NOW!!!
Capital Weather Gang ‏@capitalweather · 1 h
We're now forecasting 2-5 inches of snow along and west of I-95 today (LIVE UPDATES): [link to wapo.st]





GLP