My Prediction - Ebola will Kill at least ONE MILLION people in 2 years time | |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 61201047 United States 08/17/2014 11:48 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Epidemiological modelling based on the data from previous Ebola Virus outbreaks has produced a basic reproduction number (R0) of 2.7 with a 95% confidence range of 1.94.1 (Legrand et al., 2007). This R0 is comparable with that of influenza (Mills et al., 2004) and would seem to be comfortably within the range required to generate an Ebola Virus pandemic. In answer to the question of why this has not already occurred in human history, perhaps the most persuasive response is that EVD very fortunately only emerged into human populations around the time of its discovery in the mid-1970s (Walshet al., 2005), by which time we were fairly well equipped to deal with it in remote low-population-density settings. Whether we can contain it within a large city, should the necessity to do so arise, remains to be seen. Quoting: Medic 25033107 [link to vir.sgmjournals.org] Mar, 2014 Infected: 104 Dead: 62 Apr, 2014 Infected: 194 Dead: 116 May, 2014 Infected: 360 Dead: 216 Jun, 2014 Infected: 670 Dead: 402 Jul, 2014 Infected: 1,247 Dead: 748 Aug, 2014 Infected: 2,319 Dead: 1,391 Sep, 2014 Infected: 4,313 Dead: 2,588 Oct, 2014 Infected: 8,022 Dead: 4,813 Nov, 2014 Infected: 14,921 Dead: 8,953 Dec, 2014 Infected: 27,753 Dead: 16,652 Jan, 2015 Infected: 51,621 Dead: 30,973 Feb, 2015 Infected: 96,016 Dead: 57,610 Mar, 2015 Infected: 178,590 Dead: 107,154 Apr, 2015 Infected: 332,177 Dead: 199,306 May, 2015 Infected: 617,849 Dead: 370,709 Jun, 2015 Infected: 1,149,199 Dead: 689,519 OMG!! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 63442810 India 09/30/2014 03:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Epidemiological modelling based on the data from previous Ebola Virus outbreaks has produced a basic reproduction number (R0) of 2.7 with a 95% confidence range of 1.94.1 (Legrand et al., 2007). This R0 is comparable with that of influenza (Mills et al., 2004) and would seem to be comfortably within the range required to generate an Ebola Virus pandemic. In answer to the question of why this has not already occurred in human history, perhaps the most persuasive response is that EVD very fortunately only emerged into human populations around the time of its discovery in the mid-1970s (Walshet al., 2005), by which time we were fairly well equipped to deal with it in remote low-population-density settings. Whether we can contain it within a large city, should the necessity to do so arise, remains to be seen. Quoting: Medic 25033107 [link to vir.sgmjournals.org] Mar, 2014 Infected: 104 Dead: 62 Apr, 2014 Infected: 194 Dead: 116 May, 2014 Infected: 360 Dead: 216 Jun, 2014 Infected: 670 Dead: 402 Jul, 2014 Infected: 1,247 Dead: 748 Aug, 2014 Infected: 2,319 Dead: 1,391 Sep, 2014 Infected: 4,313 Dead: 2,588 Oct, 2014 Infected: 8,022 Dead: 4,813 Nov, 2014 Infected: 14,921 Dead: 8,953 Dec, 2014 Infected: 27,753 Dead: 16,652 Jan, 2015 Infected: 51,621 Dead: 30,973 Feb, 2015 Infected: 96,016 Dead: 57,610 Mar, 2015 Infected: 178,590 Dead: 107,154 Apr, 2015 Infected: 332,177 Dead: 199,306 May, 2015 Infected: 617,849 Dead: 370,709 Jun, 2015 Infected: 1,149,199 Dead: 689,519 Ebola clinics fill up as death toll hits 3,000 [link to www.foxnews.com] Right on schedule |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 1422737 United States 09/30/2014 05:20 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | August 12 2016. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61512103 At least 1 million dead from Ebola by then. The world sleepwalking into a disaster. Truly tragic My prediction is you are wrong (GLP is on my side!)... There are close to what 7+ billion people and growing? So 1 million dead by 2016 due to Ebola. So many other illnesses kill way more worldwide - but W.E.. You must know what you are talking about. You HAVE TO LOVE these 2 yr out predictions though. See you in 2016 either way. |
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Eating Cannabis Cures Ebola User ID: 63444067 United States 09/30/2014 05:27 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 63520922 India 10/02/2014 01:24 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | How a Dallas hospital failed to diagnose the Ebola patient [link to www.vox.com] Two days after that, he sought care at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital. His was diagnosed with a "low grade, common viral infection" and sent home with an antibiotic. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 63999660 India 10/13/2014 12:34 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Oct 8 first patient in USA (the worlds allegedly only remaining superpower)dies lets have a look at that chart again Mar, 2014 Infected: 104 Dead: 62 Quoting: Medic 25033107 Apr, 2014 Infected: 194 Dead: 116 May, 2014 Infected: 360 Dead: 216 Jun, 2014 Infected: 670 Dead: 402 Jul, 2014 Infected: 1,247 Dead: 748 Aug, 2014 Infected: 2,319 Dead: 1,391 Sep, 2014 Infected: 4,313 Dead: 2,588 Oct, 2014 Infected: 8,022 Dead: 4,813 Nov, 2014 Infected: 14,921 Dead: 8,953 Dec, 2014 Infected: 27,753 Dead: 16,652 Jan, 2015 Infected: 51,621 Dead: 30,973 Feb, 2015 Infected: 96,016 Dead: 57,610 Mar, 2015 Infected: 178,590 Dead: 107,154 Apr, 2015 Infected: 332,177 Dead: 199,306 May, 2015 Infected: 617,849 Dead: 370,709 Jun, 2015 Infected: 1,149,199 Dead: 689,519 |