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Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492

 
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
[link to guidetoiceland.is (secure)]
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Since 2 hrs no EQs???
 Quoting: renée 63128495


No they didn't chek them yet...
 Quoting: Luisport


Jón Frímann says:
September 22, 2014 at 21:41
I think they are running out of budget because of this eruption. At least that was the case regarding University of Iceland. So I suspect they are saving on the budget. Plus, there is lunch break at the moment (18:00 – 20:00 UTC?).
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Fréttastofa RÚV @RUVfrettir · 7 min
This graph shows the 5 m subsidence of the #Bardarbunga caldera since a GPS monitor was placed there on 12 September. [link to twitter.com (secure)]
 Quoting: Luisport


It is amazing how consistent it is. Makes you think some simple physics is at play.
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09/22/2014 04:15 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Since 2 hrs no EQs???
 Quoting: renée 63128495


No they didn't chek them yet...
 Quoting: Luisport


Jón Frímann says:
September 22, 2014 at 21:41
I think they are running out of budget because of this eruption. At least that was the case regarding University of Iceland. So I suspect they are saving on the budget. Plus, there is lunch break at the moment (18:00 – 20:00 UTC?).
 Quoting: Luisport


bullshit

the UK government, for one, watches all of these volcanoes like a hawk. they allocate money for sensors on all the biggies. don't you think they'd be at least slightly interested in a huge caldera that IS collapsing?

i believe there is a bridge somewhere in New York for sale. maybe Jon is interested?
WTFOMG

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
the caldera is playing yo-yo
WTFOMG
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09/22/2014 04:16 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Iceland Review Online has a short article out today, by Eygló Svala Arnarsdóttir, here is most of it:

“Professor of geophysics Magnús Tumi Guðmundsson told ruv.is this morning that as long as the Bárðarbunga caldera is not sinking faster than it has until now and the eruption in Holuhraun remains stable, the probability of a sub-glacial eruption will decrease.

“However, if the caldera starts dropping faster, or the eruption in Holuhraun subsides, then the magma will likely find another way to the surface, he reasoned.

“Volcanologist Ármann Höskuldsson told eyjan.is yesterday that he believes the current activity will lead to a sub-glacial eruption because there is much more magma underground than is currently being emitted at Holuhraun.

“The caldera subsidence also indicates a sub-glacial eruption, although it is impossible to predict when it would start, he added.

According to Magnús Tumi, it is unusual that an eruption remains stable for such a long time. The Holuhraun eruption has now lasted three weeks and one has to go all the way back to the 1963-1967 eruption which created Surtsey island to find a comparable eruption.”
 Quoting: Luisport
Reasonable, but I am saying it first- the magma chamber will come out in the caldera and by Oct 5-12. The stress of gravitation cannot hold it back. Michaelthearch angel
Anonymous Coward
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
GEEEZZZZZ THIS IS THE MOTHER OF ALL DROPS!!! hiding
WTFOMG

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
whoa what happened? just took a massive drop
WTFOMG
WTFOMG

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
gonna need to make that graph page longer again...soon!!
WTFOMG
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
drop it liks it hot!
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:22 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Iceland Review Online has a short article out today, by Eygló Svala Arnarsdóttir, here is most of it:

“Professor of geophysics Magnús Tumi Guðmundsson told ruv.is this morning that as long as the Bárðarbunga caldera is not sinking faster than it has until now and the eruption in Holuhraun remains stable, the probability of a sub-glacial eruption will decrease.

“However, if the caldera starts dropping faster, or the eruption in Holuhraun subsides, then the magma will likely find another way to the surface, he reasoned.

“Volcanologist Ármann Höskuldsson told eyjan.is yesterday that he believes the current activity will lead to a sub-glacial eruption because there is much more magma underground than is currently being emitted at Holuhraun.

“The caldera subsidence also indicates a sub-glacial eruption, although it is impossible to predict when it would start, he added.

According to Magnús Tumi, it is unusual that an eruption remains stable for such a long time. The Holuhraun eruption has now lasted three weeks and one has to go all the way back to the 1963-1967 eruption which created Surtsey island to find a comparable eruption.”
 Quoting: Luisport
Reasonable, but I am saying it first- the magma chamber will come out in the caldera and by Oct 5-12. The stress of gravitation cannot hold it back. Michaelthearch angel
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 59863827


every metre of drop is putting intense pressure on the chamber

i'm expecting the fissure eruption to get MUCH stronger before the main event
WTFOMG

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09/22/2014 04:23 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
were gonna get a massive earthquake
were gonna get a massive earthquake
WTFOMG
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:23 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
My gf just said this thread is better than sex.

wakeup
 Quoting: FIS


time to pracice, then
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:25 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
My gf just said this thread is better than sex.

wakeup
 Quoting: FIS


time to pracice, then
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 63145645


[link to weerstationlangerak.nl]

click the gif top left to warm yourself up
BadMoonRisen
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09/22/2014 04:25 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
What chart are you watching?
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:26 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
were gonna get a massive earthquake
were gonna get a massive earthquake
 Quoting: WTFOMG


east rim of the caldera

THEN it starts
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:26 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
What chart are you watching?
 Quoting: BadMoonRisen 42411020


[link to weerstationlangerak.nl]

top one there
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:27 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Why not have an IRC channel @ freenode? #bardarbunga .. would be cool
BadMoonRisen
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09/22/2014 04:27 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
What chart are you watching?
 Quoting: BadMoonRisen 42411020


[link to weerstationlangerak.nl]

top one there
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 63029398


ty
Gugazine

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09/22/2014 04:32 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
desert rat September 22, 2014 at 19:53
“The Way Is Open” to the west, that elbow turn must still be pumped full to Kverfjoll.

The HOF has been looked at pretty closely the last 2 days, and the seismic there has been pretty noisy too, with what was thought to be all wind.
Now looks like the Gjalp is blocking the ring dyke formation, and the lead of the dyke is heading east on it’s merry go round route to the Tingussfjell intrusion dyke
 Quoting: Luisport


hummmmmm....
Guga

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cameldreamer
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09/22/2014 04:41 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Did it occur to you that the amount of lava that has errupted so far is equivalent to the fall in the caldera?
Perphaps it is the weight off the glacier that is causing this erruption.
Daily the estimated lava flow is +/- 25 million m3. That is more or less the drop of the ice in the caldera.
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:43 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
GPS is going as much UP as Down
Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:44 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Did it occur to you that the amount of lava that has errupted so far is equivalent to the fall in the caldera?
Perphaps it is the weight off the glacier that is causing this erruption.
Daily the estimated lava flow is +/- 25 million m3. That is more or less the drop of the ice in the caldera.
 Quoting: cameldreamer 63146764


No it's not. There are a lot of magma stored below the fissure that didn't erupt yet.
Gugazine

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09/22/2014 04:47 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
desert rat September 22, 2014 at 19:53
“The Way Is Open” to the west, that elbow turn must still be pumped full to Kverfjoll.

The HOF has been looked at pretty closely the last 2 days, and the seismic there has been pretty noisy too, with what was thought to be all wind.
Now looks like the Gjalp is blocking the ring dyke formation, and the lead of the dyke is heading east on it’s merry go round route to the Tingussfjell intrusion dyke
 Quoting: Luisport


hummmmmm....
 Quoting: Gugazine


"Grimsvotn and Tugna here i go" - Miss Barda, September 2014
Guga

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Anonymous Coward
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09/22/2014 04:52 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
hi everyone, I just managed to get caught up since last night. My "real life" is interfering in a big way with following Ms. Barda too! Anyway, I see she is still riding
on her coaster, up and down. Luis and Guga, thanks for all the great info and theories. I'll be back for the night shift.
Gugazine

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09/22/2014 04:53 PM
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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
At last. After a good sleep in the IMO office...

Monday
22.09.2014 18:45:46 64.671 -17.479 7.3 km 4.6 99.0 4.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga
Guga

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Monday
22.09.2014 18:45:46 64.671 -17.479 7.3 km 4.6 99.0 4.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga
Gugazine

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
hi everyone, I just managed to get caught up since last night. My "real life" is interfering in a big way with following Ms. Barda too! Anyway, I see she is still riding
on her coaster, up and down. Luis and Guga, thanks for all the great info and theories. I'll be back for the night shift.
 Quoting: QueenFlora's Garden


:)
Guga

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Gugazine

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Monday
22.09.2014 18:45:46 64.671 -17.479 7.3 km 4.6 99.0 4.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga

 Quoting: Luisport


No M5 today...
Guga

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Gugazine

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Re: Volcanic Iceland: Earthquake with magnitude M 5,2 in Þorbjörn mountain (Fagradalsfjall mountain)!!!p1492
Magnitude 3 and larger - 22 Sep

Date Time Latitude Longitude Depth Magnitude Quality Location​
Monday
22.09.2014 18:45:46 64.671 -17.479 7.3 km 4.6 99.0 4.2 km NE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 13:46:48 64.672 -17.481 7.7 km 3.0 99.0 4.2 km NNE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 13:36:02 64.671 -17.460 7.3 km 4.7 99.0 4.7 km NE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 13:03:13 64.657 -17.517 4.7 km 3.4 99.0 1.9 km NNE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 09:51:50 64.616 -17.414 6.2 km 4.8 99.0 6.1 km ESE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 08:30:36 64.619 -17.464 2.8 km 3.3 99.0 3.8 km SE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 08:14:33 64.672 -17.460 7.7 km 3.8 99.0 4.8 km NE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 05:28:28 64.677 -17.473 4.9 km 3.5 99.0 4.9 km NNE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 03:13:57 64.683 -17.495 8.7 km 3.7 99.0 5.0 km NNE of Bárðarbunga
Monday
22.09.2014 00:19:07 64.683 -17.488 8.9 km 3.6 99.0 5.1 km NNE of Bárðarbunga
Guga

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GLP