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Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5

 
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
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05/05/2015 07:16 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Was it earth facing?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13127957


Nope. Just rotating into view really.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections are two very different things that can sometimes be associated with eachother...

When there is a flare - its detected by the GOES Satellite - which detects the amount of xrays the Earth is getting...

So when you ask is this Earth facing - yes - the X2.7 Solar Flare impacted Earth.

Now - the corresponding Coronal Mass Ejection that happened at the same time as the solar flare from the same region is NOT Earth directed - at least that is how it appears at the moment.
 Quoting: 1sSol1d1ntel


Yes I know all of that but the source region isn't positioned yet for a cme to worry us which is what I was really answering. An X2.7 itself isn't anything to be bothered about which I'm sure you know.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 1402695
Denmark
05/05/2015 07:17 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Region 2339 [link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


bump for good footage
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:17 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Will get info hiding


[link to sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov]

sohowww
 Quoting: Goofy for God
POSSIBLE PLANET KILLER,PEOPLE!!!THIS IS REALLY BAD!!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 46788496


Certainly has the potential so far...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69141401
United States
05/05/2015 07:19 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
If there were ever any actual sun doom, there would be nothing anyone could do about it. The end.
Anonymous Coward
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05/05/2015 07:19 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Was it earth facing?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13127957


Flares are omni-directional, so yes!

We took a hit but it wasn't a large charge, maybe next time we won't be as lucky?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


A weak hit!

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


Wrong... Click here:

[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Scroll down...

Find the D-RAP...

Press play and watch from 21:00...

Huge hit.

R3 - strong radio blackout
 Quoting: 1sSol1d1ntel


Strong radio blackout for some short wave users. Everyone else is fine.
1sSol1d1ntel

User ID: 45070449
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05/05/2015 07:20 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Was it earth facing?
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 13127957


Nope. Just rotating into view really.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections are two very different things that can sometimes be associated with eachother...

When there is a flare - its detected by the GOES Satellite - which detects the amount of xrays the Earth is getting...

So when you ask is this Earth facing - yes - the X2.7 Solar Flare impacted Earth.

Now - the corresponding Coronal Mass Ejection that happened at the same time as the solar flare from the same region is NOT Earth directed - at least that is how it appears at the moment.
 Quoting: 1sSol1d1ntel


Yes I know all of that but the source region isn't positioned yet for a cme to worry us which is what I was really answering. An X2.7 itself isn't anything to be bothered about which I'm sure you know.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


lol, youre right!

I guess this is what happens - we get so excited over these small X-Class flares because of the insanely weak solar cycle we are in.

And of course its on the limb like 90% for the X-Class flares we've gotten over the past 3-years!

hf
1sSol1d1ntel
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69141458
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05/05/2015 07:22 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Not what I would call earth directed.
 Quoting: Desert Fox


hiyou have a link cause I can not find a update yet , still showing M from yesterday
 Quoting: Goofy for God


[link to www.swpc.noaa.gov]

Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01
Serial Number: 113
Issue Time: 2015 May 05 2238 UTC

SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1
Begin Time: 2015 May 05 2205 UTC
Maximum Time: 2015 May 05 2211 UTC
End Time: 2015 May 05 2215 UTC
X-ray Class: X2.7
Location: N12E70
NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong

NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at
www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation

Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.
Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


High Frequency Blackouts....

Would be an interesting time for a Nuclear False Flag Event...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:23 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Region 2339 [link to halpha.nso.edu]
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


bump for good footage
 Quoting: observing now


Although you will need the longer time period version soon as that link will roll forward in time. Longer time period movie [link to halpha.nso.edu]
Anonymous Coward
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05/05/2015 07:23 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
If there were ever any actual sun doom, there would be nothing anyone could do about it. The end.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69141401


Correct, it's most likely that's exactly what will happen.

Nothing else comes anywhere close!!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69104911
Spain
05/05/2015 07:27 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century.
Morpheus

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05/05/2015 07:28 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5


Last Edited by Morpheus on 05/05/2015 07:29 PM
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:29 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911


Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69104911
Spain
05/05/2015 07:32 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911


Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


...but they have graphs and charts and stuff...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:33 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911


Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


...but they have graphs and charts and stuff...
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911


Borrocks!!

I have eyes, they work just as well if not better!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:33 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911

Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:36 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911

Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


This one's a hotty!!

I foresee lots of problems with this one...
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:36 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911

Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


Sorry was 1% but was upped to 10% in midday update.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:38 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares

[link to vencoreweather.com]

in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911

Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


Sorry was 1% but was upped to 10% in midday update.
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 61863222


Next official update one hour from now. Interesting to see what they project for future activity.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69007048
Mexico
05/05/2015 07:44 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
OK, let me rephrase my question :

Tomato plants in or out ??

hiding
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 07:47 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
OK, let me rephrase my question :

Tomato plants in or out ??

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69007048


In, at least for the next few hours!
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69118953
United States
05/05/2015 07:48 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
.
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
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05/05/2015 07:48 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
OK, let me rephrase my question :

Tomato plants in or out ??

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69007048


Your tomato plants will be fine. What the region does in a few days time will be more interesting.
1sSol1d1ntel

User ID: 45070449
United States
05/05/2015 07:49 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Little video of four of the SDO/AIA 48 hour videos:


1sSol1d1ntel
Anonymous Coward
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05/05/2015 07:52 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
OK, let me rephrase my question :

Tomato plants in or out ??

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69007048


In, at least for the next few hours!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


Atmosphere has the stopping power of about 10 metres of waterto x rays so an X2.7 is nothing as far as earth based tomato plants are concerned!
Anonymous Coward (OP)
User ID: 61974406
United States
05/05/2015 08:06 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Little video of four of the SDO/AIA 48 hour videos:


 Quoting: 1sSol1d1ntel


Thank You
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 61863222
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 08:08 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Interestingly z problem we have at the moment is that the two STEREO spacecraft that monitor the back side of the Sun are unavailable. STEREO-B is broken and STEREO-A is directly behind the Sun and unable to communicate with Earth. So we have little knowledge of what's coming round the corner...
1sSol1d1ntel

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05/05/2015 08:09 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Little video of four of the SDO/AIA 48 hour videos:


 Quoting: 1sSol1d1ntel


Thank You
 Quoting: Goofy for God


Did you see that southern hemisphere filament lifted off at the exact same time as the flare?

You can see it better at Big Bear:

[link to halpha.nso.edu]
1sSol1d1ntel
Pillar2

User ID: 69138694
Poland
05/05/2015 08:09 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
Well I expect strong quake from this one
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 69105182
United Kingdom
05/05/2015 08:12 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
OK, let me rephrase my question :

Tomato plants in or out ??

hiding
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69007048


In, at least for the next few hours!
 Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69105182


Looks like another one is brewing, hope you took my advice!

[link to services.swpc.noaa.gov]
Anonymous Coward
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Australia
05/05/2015 08:12 PM
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Re: Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5
An X1? My farts are more dangerous than that pathetic flare.





GLP