Just Got Text !!!!X Flare Update pg5 | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:16 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections are two very different things that can sometimes be associated with eachother... When there is a flare - its detected by the GOES Satellite - which detects the amount of xrays the Earth is getting... So when you ask is this Earth facing - yes - the X2.7 Solar Flare impacted Earth. Now - the corresponding Coronal Mass Ejection that happened at the same time as the solar flare from the same region is NOT Earth directed - at least that is how it appears at the moment. Yes I know all of that but the source region isn't positioned yet for a cme to worry us which is what I was really answering. An X2.7 itself isn't anything to be bothered about which I'm sure you know. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:19 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Flares are omni-directional, so yes! We took a hit but it wasn't a large charge, maybe next time we won't be as lucky? A weak hit! [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] Wrong... Click here: [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Scroll down... Find the D-RAP... Press play and watch from 21:00... Huge hit. R3 - strong radio blackout Strong radio blackout for some short wave users. Everyone else is fine. |
1sSol1d1ntel User ID: 45070449 United States 05/05/2015 07:20 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections are two very different things that can sometimes be associated with eachother... When there is a flare - its detected by the GOES Satellite - which detects the amount of xrays the Earth is getting... So when you ask is this Earth facing - yes - the X2.7 Solar Flare impacted Earth. Now - the corresponding Coronal Mass Ejection that happened at the same time as the solar flare from the same region is NOT Earth directed - at least that is how it appears at the moment. Yes I know all of that but the source region isn't positioned yet for a cme to worry us which is what I was really answering. An X2.7 itself isn't anything to be bothered about which I'm sure you know. lol, youre right! I guess this is what happens - we get so excited over these small X-Class flares because of the insanely weak solar cycle we are in. And of course its on the limb like 90% for the X-Class flares we've gotten over the past 3-years! 1sSol1d1ntel |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69141458 United States 05/05/2015 07:22 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | you have a link cause I can not find a update yet , still showing M from yesterday [link to www.swpc.noaa.gov] Space Weather Message Code: SUMX01 Serial Number: 113 Issue Time: 2015 May 05 2238 UTC SUMMARY: X-ray Event exceeded X1 Begin Time: 2015 May 05 2205 UTC Maximum Time: 2015 May 05 2211 UTC End Time: 2015 May 05 2215 UTC X-ray Class: X2.7 Location: N12E70 NOAA Scale: R3 - Strong NOAA Space Weather Scale descriptions can be found at www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point. Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. High Frequency Blackouts.... Would be an interesting time for a Nuclear False Flag Event... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Although you will need the longer time period version soon as that link will roll forward in time. Longer time period movie [link to halpha.nso.edu] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69105182 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:23 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69104911 Spain 05/05/2015 07:27 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares [link to vencoreweather.com] The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century. |
Morpheus User ID: 68887545 Canada 05/05/2015 07:28 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69105182 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:29 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century. Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69104911 Spain 05/05/2015 07:32 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century. Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about... ...but they have graphs and charts and stuff... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69105182 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] The sun is almost completely blank. The main driver of all weather and climate, the entity which occupies 99.86% of all of the mass in our solar system, the great ball of fire in the sky has gone quiet again during what is likely to be the weakest sunspot cycle in more than a century. The sun's X-ray output has flatlined in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Not since cycle 14 peaked in February 1906 has there been a solar cycle with fewer sunspots. We are currently more than six years into Solar Cycle 24 and the current nearly blank sun may signal the end of the solar maximum phase. Solar cycle 24 began after an unusually deep solar minimum that lasted from 2007 to 2009 which included more spotless days on the sun compared to any minimum in almost a century. Take no notice, they don't know what they're on about... ...but they have graphs and charts and stuff... Borrocks!! I have eyes, they work just as well if not better! |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69105182 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring. This one's a hotty!! I foresee lots of problems with this one... |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:36 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring. Sorry was 1% but was upped to 10% in midday update. |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 61863222 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 07:38 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Can someone explain this, because I continue to see reports like this, but then here we are getting x-flares Quoting: Anonymous Coward 69104911 [link to vencoreweather.com] in recent days and NOAA forecasters estimate a scant 1% chance of strong flares in the next 24 hours. Actually the X flare probability for today was 5% and was upped to 10% in the last update as this new region rotated into view. Region 2339 was identified as the likely source for stronger flaring. Sorry was 1% but was upped to 10% in midday update. Next official update one hour from now. Interesting to see what they project for future activity. |
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1sSol1d1ntel User ID: 45070449 United States 05/05/2015 08:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Did you see that southern hemisphere filament lifted off at the exact same time as the flare? You can see it better at Big Bear: [link to halpha.nso.edu] 1sSol1d1ntel |
Pillar2 User ID: 69138694 Poland 05/05/2015 08:09 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69105182 United Kingdom 05/05/2015 08:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Looks like another one is brewing, hope you took my advice! [link to services.swpc.noaa.gov] |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 69141282 Australia 05/05/2015 08:12 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |