Tornado Warnings: Tornado Warning for Crawford and Washington Counties in AR until 5:00 PM CDT!!!p.20

An outbreak of severe thunderstorms is expected across the plains
states Saturday into Saturday night...from parts of Nebraska
southward to Texas. Risks will include very large hail...damaging
wind gusts...and several tornadoes -- with a few likely to be
significant/long-lived.


...
A large upper trough crossing the interior western U.S. At the start of
the period is forecast to shift into the plains through the
day...taking on an increasingly negative tilt with time as an
embedded vorticity maximum shifts quickly across the southern rockies into the
central/southern High Plains by early afternoon. Downstream...ridging
will prevail across most of the U.S. East of the MS river.


At the surface...low pressure is forecast to gradually consolidate
in vicinity of the Central High plains...while a Pacific cold front crosses
the southern High Plains into the afternoon. By the end of the
period...a fairly deep low is forecast across Nebraska...with the
trailing front extending southward across central Kansas/central OK and into
northern/western Texas. The emergence of this potent storm system into the
plains should support widespread/substantial severe storms from
early afternoon into the overnight hours.


..central and Southern Plains...
Thunderstorms are forecast to be underway across portions of the
plains states at the start of the period...and evolution of this
convection and associated cloud cover through the day may have
substantial influence over subsequent afternoon destabilization --
and overall degree of severe risk. With that said however...the
synoptic/kinematic environment across the Central Plains and southward
across OK into North Texas appears otherwise highly suggestive of potential
for a severe weather outbreak. Therefore -- despite the
uncertainties...an upgrade to moderate risk appears warranted at
this time.

KCBD NewsChannel11 ‏@KCBD11 15 de mai
WATCH LIVE as our Storm Chaser David Drummond tracks this storm moving across our viewing area! [link to shout.lt]

Funnel clouds on David Drummonds feed but his feed keeps cutting in and out.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
131 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
LAKE COUNTY IN WEST TENNESSEE...
OBION COUNTY IN WEST TENNESSEE...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 129 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
UNION CITY...REELFOOT LAKE STATE PARK...TIPTONVILLE...SOUTH
FULTON...RIDGELY...TROY...KENTON...OBION...COTTONW OOD GROVE...
CLAYTON...CLOVERDALE...TRIMBLE...HORNBEAK...WOODLA ND MILLS...
RIVES...SAMBURG...BLUE BANK...MOFFATT...POPLAR RIDGE AND SPOUT
SPRINGS.

TEH AREA OF HEAVY RAIN WILL LIFT NORTH INTO KENTUCKY SHORTLY. RUNOFF
FROM EARLIER HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES
THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING FLOOD PRONE
AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

STRANGE

Thread: Over 80 people will die today, many many more injured due to a historic TORNADO outbreak

Quoting 256. BobHenson:

I'm quite concerned about the potential for tornadic storms along a corridor centered from Childress, TX, to Oklahoma City, OK, later today. Linked below is a surface analysis based on 11:00 am CDT observations, provided courtesy of John Monteverdi, meteorology professor and severe weather expert at San Francisco State University. Thunderstorms in the last few hours have left an outflow boundary from the Texas Panhandle into southeast Kansas (purple line with cold-front barbs). The dry line now in far southeast NM should be surging eastward later today. The zone along and just southeast of the outflow boundary will be primed for tornadic supercells. The Storm Prediction Center is noting the potential for "strong, long-lived tornadoes" in their latest Day 1 convective outlook. Vertical wind shear and instability will both be very strong. We’ll be launching a live blog shortly, which will be linked from a banner at the WU home page.

--Bob H.

Surface analysis from John Monteverdi, SFSU (11 am CDT Saturday)

You and the NWSNorman. :)

TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
204 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN DONLEY COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...

* UNTIL 245 PM CDT

* AT 201 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF BRICE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LELIA LAKE... HEDLEY...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR
OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

[link to icons.wunderground.com]

The radar already looks scary, look at all the small storm specks everywhere even in arkansas and louisiana.. its going to be a rough night!!

SevereStudios @severestudios · 3 min Há 3 minutos
Tornado Watch just issued for western KS, southwest NEB: