Swedish banks plead for tougher regulation to prevent housing bubble burst | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 69848994 Romania 07/23/2015 12:00 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | With a loan-to-disposable income ratio well over 170 percent, Swedes are among the most indebted citizens in Europe. Lending to households hit its the fastest pace in four years in May, while house prices leapt 14.4 percent in the year to June. The stock market is also up around 20 percent over the past year as investors chase returns amid rock bottom interest rates. Roughly 70 percent of Swedes have interest-only mortgages, meaning they are heavily exposed to falling house prices, although some banks are now demanding new customers pay down their loans to 75 percent of market value. [link to www.cnbc.com] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 69848994 Romania 07/23/2015 12:04 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Thread: Nuts! Swedish central bank cuts key rate further below zero... Thread: Breaking!! Moody downgrades two Swedish Banks!! WTF Swedbank CFO says to ignore the rating.. |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 69848994 Romania 07/23/2015 12:13 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | House prices in Sweden jumped by 196% in nominal terms – that is 96% in real terms, after accounting for inflation – since 1990, European credit rating agency Scope Ratings said in a report it issued on the Swedish banks it rates. Indicators of house price fundamentals are “well above their historical norms,” Scope Ratings’ calculations show. The price/rent ratio and the price/disposable income ratio are higher now than they were in the previous cycle, back in 1990. Sweden experienced a boom in house prices between 1985 and 1990, then went through a severe crisis. In Sweden, mortgage debt more than trebled between January 2002 and June 2014, with the loans financing properties that became more and more expensive, particularly in the big cities. Crucially, the increase in mortgage debt was much faster than economic growth, Scope Ratings noted. The proportion of mortgage debt to GDP swelled to 81% in the period, from 48%. It is one of the highest in the developed world. In 2012, the Swedish financial market regulators estimated that the average amortisation period was close to 148 years – in effect, borrowers rely on ever-increasing house prices to prevent them from falling into negative equity. [link to www.marketmoving.info] |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 69848994 Romania 07/23/2015 12:33 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | Does Sweden have a housing bubble?: Nobel laureate in economics Paul Krugman told newspaper Svenska Dagbladet recently that based solely on the fact that "prices have gone up a lot and that household debt is quite high", Sweden is probably showing the symptoms of a housing bubble. Krugman told SvD that over the last few years, "all the places where people said oh this is different, it's turned out that no, actually it wasn't. So, just on that general thing, I'd say probably it's a bubble." While the government has introduced measures to curb credit growth, analysts at Danske Bank A/S (DANSKE) and the Swedish National Board of Housing are joining the Washington-based IMF in calling for stronger action: forcing households to pay down debt and changing the rules that allow property owners to deduct a percentage of mortgage interest costs from their tax bills. [link to economistsview.typepad.com] |