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RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 454493 6/19/2008 5:25 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
When should we take our money out of the bank? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 452582
today its a good time...
tomorrow maybe it'll be too late
it will come without warning
one morning we will wake up and found the doors
of the banks closed with police or army to guard them
written something like..<<sorry no cash because of..(whatever)..
please come again after 5 years>>
what is happening in fact is that the tsionists
collect the last money and resources of the people
for the WWIII which is coming
they are not so stupid to start the biggest war
of the last times with *Their* money ;) |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 417517 6/19/2008 6:12 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | I betcha £1 will buy you 1 Euro soon and when the Amerro comes out it will be £1 = 1 Amerro and when oz links up to asia it will be £1 = 1 Asiaro, then they will re badge the whole lot as the same thing. For the nwo to work we will need one world currency and it will be based on the city of londons £, they may not even bother rebadging it just get everyone to switch to £. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 366085 6/19/2008 7:57 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
When should we take our money out of the bank?
Be diversified. Keep cash on hand, be debt free, and invest wisely. Some of your wealth should be food and supplies based on what you think you will need. Quoting: BRIEF AND TO THE POINT
Why be debt-free when your debt will be a fixed amount payable with cheap Amero's? |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 454217 6/19/2008 8:36 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | Perhaps my dream will finally come true... I'll be able to squat in the main offices of the Federal Reserve and start a big fire out of USDs, celebrating with others the end of the US empire! |
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BRIEF AND TO THE POINT User ID: 381742 6/19/2008 9:09 AM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
Why be debt-free when your debt will be a fixed amount payable with cheap Amero's? Quoting: Anonymous Coward 366085
The borrower is always a slave to the lender. I choose not to be a slave.
It's easy to build wealth when you don't owe anybody anything. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.
When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation.
You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it! |
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Polynonymous Howard User ID: 449411 6/19/2008 9:30 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | I urge you to consider the significance of the RBS alert and the Morgan Stanly alert.
Either an information firewall has been breached or the S is HTF or both. |
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BRIEF AND TO THE POINT User ID: 381742 6/19/2008 10:30 AM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
I urge you to consider the significance of the RBS alert and the Morgan Stanly alert.
Either an information firewall has been breached or the S is HTF or both. Quoting: Polynonymous Howard
Morgan Stanley issues full US recession alert
By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, International Business Editor
Last Updated: 12:32am GMT 22/12/2007
Morgan Stanley has issued a full recession alert for the US economy, warning of a sharp slowdown in business investment and a "perfect storm" for consumers as the housing slump spreads.
Fed chairman Ben Bernanke will be hoping he can keep the US economy from recession
Read City experts on the financial outlook for 2008
Banks 'acted to prevent major slump', says Tucker
Comment: Banks have $100bn, but no magic wand
In a report "Recession Coming" released today, the bank's US team said the credit crunch had started to inflict serious damage on US companies.
"Slipping sales and tightening credit are pushing companies into liquidation mode, especially in motor vehicles," it said.
"Three-month dollar Libor spreads have jumped by 60 to 80 basis points over the last month. High yield spreads have widened even more significantly. The absolute cost of borrowing is higher than in June."
"As delinquencies and defaults soar, lenders are tightening credit for commercial, credit card and auto lending, as well as for all mortgage borrowers," said the report, written by the bank's chief US economist Dick Berner. He said the foreclosure rate on residential mortgages had reached a 19-year high of 5.59pc in the third quarter while the glut of unsold properties would lead to a 40pc crash in housing construction.
"We think overall housing starts will run below one million units in each of the next two years -- a level not seen in the history of the modern data since 1959," he said.
Although the US job market has apparently held up well, an average monthly fall of 138,000 in the number of self-employed workers over the last quarter suggests it may now be buckling. "Consumers face what could be a perfect storm," said Mr Berner.
The partial freeze on subprime mortgage rates announced last week by US treasury secretary Hank Paulson may help cushion the blow for some banks, but it could equally backfire by adding a "risk premium" that drives even more lenders out of the mortgage market.
Like Goldman Sachs, and Lehman Brothers, the bank no longer believes Asia and Europe will come to the rescue as America slows.
It has slashed its 2008 growth forecast for Japan from 1.9pc to 0.9pc, and warned that credit stress will weigh heavily on the eurozone.
Mr Berner said US demand is likely to contract by 1pc each quarter for the first nine months of 2008, but the picture could be far worse if the Federal Reserve fails to slash rates fast enough. It is betting on a quarter point cut this week, with three more cuts by the middle of next year. "We expect the Fed to insure against the worst outcome," he said.
Morgan Stanley is the first major Wall Street bank to warn that it is may now be too late to stop a recession, though most have shifted to an ultra-cautious stance in recent weeks.
Sovereign funds scoop up crisis victims
America faces day of reckoning
The bank at first treated the August crunch as a "mid-cycle correction", much like the financial storm after Russia's default in 1998. But the collapse of the US commercial paper market has now continued for seventeen weeks, suggesting a "fundamental deleveraging of the banking system."
Mr Berner - known at Morgan Stanley as the "resident bull"- is one of the most closely watched analysts on Wall Street. While he began to turn bearish last April as the credit markets turned nasty, the latest report is written in tones that may is rattle the fast-diminishing band of optimists. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.
When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation.
You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it! |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 321058 6/19/2008 12:20 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | Hedge fund managers face Enron-like backlash...
The public has heard a lot about, but not much from, Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin, the two Bear Stearns managers accused of misleading investors of hedge funds that ultimately imploded last year.
arrested...
Prosecutors raised the pressure by arresting the accused. Reports also say they may be publicly paraded into court for their indictments. Both of these are calculated moves to draw attention. |
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Wasayo User ID: 4283 6/19/2008 12:24 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
When should we take our money out of the bank?
today its a good time...
tomorrow maybe it'll be too late
it will come without warning
one morning we will wake up and found the doors
of the banks closed with police or army to guard them
written something like..<<sorry no cash because of..(whatever)..
please come again after 5 years>>
what is happening in fact is that the tsionists
collect the last money and resources of the people
for the WWIII which is coming
they are not so stupid to start the biggest war
of the last times with *Their* money ;) Quoting: Anonymous Coward 454493
This is exactly what happened in the 1929 crash.
My parents told me all about it. People went to their banks to cash their checks.
NO warning. Long lines at the banks.
NO money to be had. Wasayo "Every word of God is pure: He is a shield unto them that put their trust in Him." Prov. 30:5 |
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Polynonymous Howard User ID: 449411 6/19/2008 12:35 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
Hedge fund managers face Enron-like backlash...
The public has heard a lot about, but not much from, Ralph Cioffi and Matthew Tannin, the two Bear Stearns managers accused of misleading investors of hedge funds that ultimately imploded last year.
arrested...
Prosecutors raised the pressure by arresting the accused. Reports also say they may be publicly paraded into court for their indictments. Both of these are calculated moves to draw attention. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 321058
This is a last-ditch effort to salvage Amerikan credibility and thus the greenback. Too little, too late in my opinion.
Look for an upcoming bank holiday. We'll be a cash only society for a couple of days. Then things will get ugly.
Fla. did a trial run of the "holiday" with, I think, a hedge fund last fall. There was a run on the fund by professional/state pension holders. Gubbernor Crist declared a "holiday" on the fund so it could raise capital. Fortunately it could because when the "holiday" expired the run commenced anew. In a lot of ways that was a trial run of what's on the horizon. |
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Tree Samurai User ID: 334323 6/19/2008 2:25 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
This is a last-ditch effort to salvage Amerikan credibility and thus the greenback. Too little, too late in my opinion.
Look for an upcoming bank holiday. We'll be a cash only society for a couple of days. Then things will get ugly.
Fla. did a trial run of the "holiday" with, I think, a hedge fund last fall. There was a run on the fund by professional/state pension holders. Gubbernor Crist declared a "holiday" on the fund so it could raise capital. Fortunately it could because when the "holiday" expired the run commenced anew. In a lot of ways that was a trial run of what's on the horizon. Quoting: Polynonymous Howard
Oh good a holiday! 
These jokers never cease to piss me off... "We are the music makers and we are the dreamers of the dream."
"People often tell me motivation doesn't last. I tell them bathing doesn't either. That's why I recommend it daily!"-Zig Zigler
We are here on Earth to do good to others. What the others are here for, I don't know.- W. H. Auden
"If the only prayer you said in your whole life was, 'thank you,' that would suffice."--Meister Eckhart |
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Polynonymous Howard User ID: 449411 6/19/2008 2:36 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | Your anger is a gift. |
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all_the_kings_horses User ID: 445833 6/19/2008 2:46 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | do you REALLY believe BUSH? Are you telling me BUSH is telling the truth? Bush is trying to help the American family?
Allowing the oil companies to lease that land does not means they will actually extract the oil in the ground there. The oil companies are famous for leasing federal oil land and then refusing to bring the oil to market. OPEC CARTELS knew worldwide economies would sink after oil reached 50 barrel..
If we were smart, we would dig now for oil in gulf and in Alaska. Stop importing oil once these are up and running.
Bush is pushing for this now.
[ link to news.yahoo.com]
WASHINGTON - With gasoline topping $4 a gallon, President Bush urged Congress on Wednesday to lift its long-standing ban on offshore oil and gas drilling, saying the United States needs to increase its energy production. Democrats quickly rejected the idea.
"There is no excuse for delay," the president said in a statement in the Rose Garden. With the presidential election just months away, Bush made a pointed attack on Democrats, accusing them of obstructing his energy proposals and blaming them for high gasoline costs. His proposal echoed a call by Republican presidential candidate John McCain to open the Continental Shelf for exploration
"Families across the country are looking to Washington for a response," Bush said. Quoting: BRIEF AND TO THE POINT |
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BRIEF AND TO THE POINT User ID: 381742 6/19/2008 2:56 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
The oil companies are famous for leasing federal oil land and then refusing to bring the oil to market. Quoting: all_the_kings_horses 445833
Is this speculation or do you have proof they do this? The oil companies are after $$$ so why would they not sell it when oil is higher then it has ever been? You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.
When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation.
You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it! |
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Tree Samurai User ID: 334323 6/19/2008 3:23 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
Your anger is a gift. Quoting: Polynonymous Howard
I channel proactively daily ;) "We are the music makers and we are the dreamers of the dream."
"People often tell me motivation doesn't last. I tell them bathing doesn't either. That's why I recommend it daily!"-Zig Zigler
We are here on Earth to do good to others. What the others are here for, I don't know.- W. H. Auden
"If the only prayer you said in your whole life was, 'thank you,' that would suffice."--Meister Eckhart |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 452977 6/19/2008 3:55 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
I wonder what the exchange rate will be for Ameros. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 454070
1,000 ameros for 1 euro |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 454773 6/19/2008 4:08 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | is this the 1,000,000th time or 1,000,001st time this has been posted. Fucken bullshit i say... |
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BRIEF AND TO THE POINT User ID: 381742 6/19/2008 4:18 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
is this the 1,000,000th time or 1,000,001st time this has been posted. Fucken bullshit i say... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 454773
This will effect you if you have money invested or not. You can call it BS but that's only denial. Good luck. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.
When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation.
You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it! |
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Tree Samurai User ID: 334323 6/19/2008 4:33 PM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
is this the 1,000,000th time or 1,000,001st time this has been posted. Fucken bullshit i say... Quoting: Anonymous Coward 454773
Oh i don't know, maybe because it's MAJOR DOOM CRED!!!
Seriously, research the source before you have to sit on your own BS flag "We are the music makers and we are the dreamers of the dream."
"People often tell me motivation doesn't last. I tell them bathing doesn't either. That's why I recommend it daily!"-Zig Zigler
We are here on Earth to do good to others. What the others are here for, I don't know.- W. H. Auden
"If the only prayer you said in your whole life was, 'thank you,' that would suffice."--Meister Eckhart |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 454811 6/19/2008 5:24 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | So must be long and want to be more even, often bluff jeje. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 385176 6/19/2008 8:00 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
OPEC CARTELS knew worldwide economies would sink after oil reached 50 barrel..
If we were smart, we would dig now for oil in gulf and in Alaska. Stop importing oil once these are up and running. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 368888
Oh, bullshit. That's the corporate line and it's a lie. The price of oil would remain the same (rising). Besides that, we already struck the world's largest desposit of oil in Alaska, at Prudho (sp) Bay. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 454864 6/19/2008 8:02 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | Now this is some serious doom!!
 |
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LT User ID: 407944 6/19/2008 8:32 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | I have about $15k in a Florida State Retirement account. Should I just withdraw it, pay the penalties, and stash the cash? |
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535 User ID: 450972 6/19/2008 9:08 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | I will restate what I know as a favor to all here. My "hints" as to why have been crystal clear. This is planned and WILL happen, regardless of what is done to stop it.
Again: You must have cash. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 419054 6/19/2008 11:54 PM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
People get the government they deserve and the US is gonna get it good and hard....James Dines Quoting: nobody 454315
They are just trying to shake everybody out. You don't lose any money unless you sell. Hold tight. We didn't sell out in 2000-2001 so we didn't lose any money. In fact we are way ahead of where we would have been had we sold like my idiot brother-in-law. |
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Anon User ID: 455000 6/20/2008 2:27 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
I wonder what the exchange rate will be for Ameros. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 454070
I don't think TPTB would risk debasing a new currency by introducing it immediately. Rather, look for some of the scrip that has been stored at Ft. Knox for the longest,just in case. |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 455003 6/20/2008 2:33 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote | it may well be that the USA, USD, Peso, Loonie, ,Yuan etc may all equal ONE-but it s t heir buying power that makes the differnce.
Besides-youll just have a debit card-maki ti kin of hard to give money to street people,,, |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 455003 6/20/2008 2:41 AM | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
Who do you believe????????
Why We're Gloomier Than The Economy
Consumer Anxiety Outstrips the Data
By Neil Irwin
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, June 18, 2008; A01
Ask Americans how the economy is doing, and their answer is stark: It is not just bad, it is run-for-the-hills terrible. Consumer confidence is at its lowest level in almost 30 years. Only 12 percent of Americans think the economy is in good shape. On the Internet, comparisons to the Great Depression are widespread.
But the reality is different. According to most broad measures of how the economy is doing, it's not all that grim.
Soft? You betcha. In recession? Quite possibly. And a crisis in the financial markets has rattled nerves for months now. But so far, the economy is holding up better than it did during the last two recessions in 1990 and 2001. Employers haven't shed as many jobs, the unemployment rate is still relatively low, and gross domestic product has kept rising. Things are nowhere near as bad as they were in the Great Depression, or even during the severe recession of 1982-83. The last time consumers were this miserable, in May 1980, the jobless rate was 7.5 percent and inflation was 14.4 percent. Now those numbers are 5.5 percent and 4.2 percent respectively.
This paradox has created a unique challenge for those guiding the economy, who worry that Americans' pessimistic views will become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Two-thirds of the economy is consumer spending. So if people's negative outlook leads them to cut their spending, a steeper downturn could happen.
This has left economists trying to figure out why Americans' perceptions are so much more negative than the data analysts use to measure how things are going.
"We're saying that we feel a lot worse than we did at the depths of the last recession, when we had had 2 or 3 million job losses, that we feel worse than we did after
9/11," said William Cheney, chief economist of John Hancock Financial Services. "At some level, that just doesn't make a whole lot of sense."
But through the prism of daily experience, it may.
The run-up in gasoline and food prices, for example, appears to affect people's perception of how they're doing more than a similar price rise in other goods.
Eric J. Johnson, who studies behavioral economics at Columbia Business School, offers this example: Someone who has to pay an extra $25 to fill up his car is reminded of that cost once a week -- or more often if you count the times he is driving down the road and sees the $4 per gallon price in giant numbers on a sign. Technically, he is no worse off than if his rent had increased by $100 a month. But it feels a lot worse.
"Things that you buy more frequently and that have large percentage increases will weigh more in people's perception of inflation," Johnson said.
Not only that, but increases in the price of gasoline and food affect almost everyone.
"If the unemployment rate goes from 5 to 7 percent, that affects 2 percent of the population," said Michael Feroli, an economist at J.P. Morgan Chase. "If gas prices go up, almost 100 percent of the population feels terrible."
Another possibility: Americans have been unnerved by the financial crisis that was a major cause of this broader economic slowdown. The credit crisis has spilled from one part of the financial markets to another. At times, the wheels of global capitalism have appeared to be at risk of coming off.
Although trouble in the financial sector is not the same as a generalized disorder of the economy, ordinary Americans may not make that distinction.
Another factor is that homes are losing value -- and this reduces the wealth of more people than a plummeting stock market like that of 2001. Currently, 68 percent of Americans own their home. In 2001, only 21 percent owned stocks directly.
Moreover, housing values literally hit closer to home. A person's stock holdings can seem like a paper abstraction. But the value of the four walls that a person calls home is more tangible and can seem more secure even though it may be every bit as volatile.
Wellesley College economist Karl E. Case and two co-authors researched how changes in the value of homes affect what people spend and got a curious result: When home prices are rising, people spend more money. When they are dropping, they don't spend less money. With stocks and other assets, by contrast, spending both rises and falls with prices.
"People spend more when house prices go up and worry more when prices go down, but don't actually spend much less," Case said. "That could explain why consumer spending numbers have been much more robust than you would expect if you look at consumer sentiment."
Some analysts attribute Americans' negative views on the economy to media coverage, which tends to play bad news more prominently than good news. There is ample research proving that, say, a drop in the stock market or rise in the unemployment rate gets more extensive news coverage than a move in the reverse direction. (In other news, newspapers tend to cover plane crashes more extensively than a safe landings).
But that has been true during past downturns. There is no obvious reason that it would be more pronounced now than in 2001 or 1990, when consumer confidence did not drop as much as it has recently.
The biggest reason for people's gloom might be because of what they're used to. In the 1980s and '90s, memories of the double-digit unemployment and double-digit inflation from the 1970s were still fresh.
"People expected very little out of the economy," said Richard Curtin, who has administered the University of Michigan's survey of consumer sentiment for 35 years. "Compared to what their frame of reference was, the performance of the economy was absolutely tremendous."
But now, coming off two decades of prosperity and low inflation, Americans have come to treat low unemployment and inflation as givens. We have gotten so used to things being good, in other words, that even when conditions become somewhat bad, it feels terrible.
[ link to www.washingtonpost.com] Quoting: Jaco 342053
Boy does this person live in a dream world, most people are aware and thinks are getting sketchy, but still normal-but are begginning to see the horrible tidal waves of debt coming.
There are, to my readings
! at least to exponentiallu larger wave of subprime default, as ARMS kick in over the next years
2 Derivitives Diriveitives
Banks on edge of collapse
The media usually buries this in sec C-8 after the sports paage |
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Anonymous Coward User ID: 455019 6/20/2008 5:09 AM | |
BRIEF AND TO THE POINT User ID: 269684 6/20/2008 7:19 AM
 | | Re: RBS advised clients to brace for a full-fledged crash in global stock and credit markets over the next three months | Quote |
I have about $15k in a Florida State Retirement account. Should I just withdraw it, pay the penalties, and stash the cash? Quoting: LT 407944
That's up to you. I have money in investments that I am not going to pull out but I have plenty of cash on hand, so you have to decide what you are comfortable with. You cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.
What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.
The government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.
When half of the people get the idea that they do not have to work because the other half is going to take care of them, and the other half gets the idea that it does no good to work because somebody else is going to get what they work for, that my dear friend, is the beginning of the end of any nation.
You cannot multiply wealth by dividing it! |
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