|
|
| Page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74 |
Ike 145mph sustained
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 459297
9/7/2008 5:30 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
 Houston ? Nah, kidding, right ? Houston ? Here ?
I was afraid of that.
Its too far to tell yet. I don't think it gets there until next weekend. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 459297
9/7/2008 5:36 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
I just looked at your site Kevin.
Which day do you think it will make landfall? |
|
Kevin_Martin
User ID: 496821
9/7/2008 5:40 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
As of now Saturday, give or take +/- 1.5 days. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 459297
9/7/2008 5:51 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
As of now Saturday, give or take +/- 1.5 days. Quoting: Kevin_Martin
Thanks. Quite a way off yet. |
|
Kevin_Martin
User ID: 496821
9/7/2008 5:59 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
Very - Which is why I had to note the end of the line track could very well change. However, I am quite confident in this hitting the Central Gulf. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498814
9/7/2008 6:07 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
its going to the oil rigs |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 431745
9/7/2008 8:16 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
It's making a beeline straight for the oil platforms.
 |
|
Ice 
User ID: 474255
9/7/2008 8:34 AM
 | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
[link to www.skeetobiteweather.com]
[link to www.esl.lsu.edu]
models swing west
[link to www.nrlmry.navy.mil]
Navy track showing west swing
[link to markalot.org]
at the end of the day , it's still very far out and to much time till Gulf landfall!
Ike is going to take a run at the Gulf states and someone will get hit.
After we get hit we work and go on! If it floods we wait on the water to go down and the wind to stop blowing.
We work and clean up and move on!
It is not God or the devil it is just nature and the way things are!
Mobile to Houston better keep a eye on Ike and be ready!
Since this storm looks to get torn up over Cuba I am not sure how big it might get. Kat was only a Cat 1 after going over Florida but it grew very fast!
God Bless all
clean up and Saints football today!!!
ice
Proverbs 1:7 The fear of the LORD is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and discipline. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 493118
9/7/2008 8:55 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
there are more wear they came from ...probally 3-5 more! |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 227843
9/7/2008 9:29 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
Discussion on CrownWeather.com/tropical.html says there are three track predicitons with 2 going into Port O'Conner and one going into Louisiana/Mississippi sometime on Friday evening. I think I'll get nervous come Wednesday.
I don't know where Port O'Conner is as it isn't on the maps I am using to keep up with the changes. Like how far from Galveston is it?
This is a really good website! It gives you all kinds of info with tracking maps, discussion, etc.:
[link to www.crownweather.com]
. |
|
Ice
User ID: 474255
9/7/2008 9:32 AM
| | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
Discussion on CrownWeather.com/tropical.html says there are three track predicitons with 2 going into Port O'Conner and one going into Louisiana/Mississippi sometime on Friday evening. I think I'll get nervous come Wednesday.
I don't know where Port O'Conner is as it isn't on the maps I am using to keep up with the changes. Like how far from Galveston is it?
This is a really good website! It gives you all kinds of info with tracking maps, discussion, etc.:
[ link to www.crownweather.com]
.
thanks AC
boy you sure do post alot!!!
ice
Proverbs 1:7 The fear of the LORD is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and discipline. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 227843
9/7/2008 10:01 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
I don't post as much as I used to! You might be mistaking me for another one or two posters who have adopted the dot at the end of their posts. I'd change, but it's such a habit now, after using it for years, that I would forget half the time. I think this one would be nice: ~
. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498814
9/7/2008 10:16 AM | |
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498814
9/7/2008 10:18 AM | |
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498886
9/7/2008 10:18 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
Even if it swings west isnt N.O. going to get a lot of wind and rain being on the north east side of the storm?
I would think that could be a problem especially since the last one was like a week ago. |
|
Ice
User ID: 474255
9/7/2008 10:19 AM
| | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
[ link to www.crownweather.com]
.
----------
thanks AC
boy you sure do post alot!!!
ice
I don't post as much as I used to! You might be mistaking me for another one or two posters who have adopted the dot at the end of their posts. I'd change, but it's such a habit now, after using it for years, that I would forget half the time. I think this one would be nice: ~
.
my fault
you didn't get it!
ice it was a lame take on AC posting!!
Proverbs 1:7 The fear of the LORD is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and discipline. |
|
Ice
User ID: 474255
9/7/2008 10:25 AM
| | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
friday still below Louisiana
don't like the slowe track!!
[link to www.nhc.noaa.gov]
[link to www.wunderground.com]
I think I am giving up on 5 day models!!!
they change so much!
the only good they do is to give a trend!
they are moving more north , I guess it is do to timing and slow track of strom!
ice
Proverbs 1:7 The fear of the LORD is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and discipline. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 227843
9/7/2008 10:27 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
ice wrote in response to AC:
"my fault
you didn't get it!
ice it was a lame take on AC posting!!"
Ah, "IC", says AC. :)
. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498864
9/7/2008 10:31 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
It may be a good idea for the folks who evacuated for hurricane Gustav to wait until Ike passes before returning to New Orleans, rather than returning and possibly needing to leave all over again if Ike comes their way. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498885
9/7/2008 10:32 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
 |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 497161
9/7/2008 10:40 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
It may be a good idea for the folks who evacuated for hurricane Gustav to wait until Ike passes before returning to New Orleans, rather than returning and possibly needing to leave all over again if Ike comes their way. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 498864
this hurricane as it crosses from right to left will greatly reduce it to cat 1 and then it will never become a cat 2 or 3 from there on.. |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498864
9/7/2008 10:44 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
It may be a good idea for the folks who evacuated for hurricane Gustav to wait until Ike passes before returning to New Orleans, rather than returning and possibly needing to leave all over again if Ike comes their way.
this hurricane as it crosses from right to left will greatly reduce it to cat 1 and then it will never become a cat 2 or 3 from there on.. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 497161
It's a chance I wouldn't be willing to bet on. The stakes are too high! |
|
Earth420
User ID: 498922
9/7/2008 11:33 AM
 | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
HOWEVER... EYEWALL REPLACEMENT
CYCLES...INCLUDING THEIR IMPACTS ON INTENSITY...ARE VERY DIFFICULT
TO ANTICIPATE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS...EITHER UP OR DOWN...IN
INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES EASTERN CUBA
TONIGHT. ONCE INLAND...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BUT THE DEGREE OF
WEAKENING DEPENDS ON HOW LONG THE CENTER REMAINS INLAND. THE
LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS IKE INLAND FOR APPROXIMATELY 36
HOURS SO SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS SHOWN. HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION FROM THE FORECAST TRACK COULD RESULT IN THE CENTER OF IKE
MOVING BACK OVER WATER SOONER. IKE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 2 DAYS. SINCE THE WATERS OVER
THE GULF ARE WARM AND THE SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO BE HIGH...
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH
AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM.
[link to www.ssd.noaa.gov]
Peace |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498900
9/7/2008 11:47 AM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS. |
|
Earth420
User ID: 498922
9/7/2008 12:07 PM
| | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...AND SOUTH
FLORIDA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS HURRICANE.
Peace |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 497776
9/7/2008 12:13 PM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
models moved west again this morning, they change everyday. now they have it hitting texas |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 113248
9/7/2008 12:16 PM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
models moved west again this morning, they change everyday. now they have it hitting texas Quoting: Anonymous Coward 497776
Weather bureau says the tracks are going to change on a regular basis.
Several factors for the track changes.
Time will tell. |
|
Ice
User ID: 474255
9/7/2008 12:18 PM
| | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
models moved west again this morning, they change everyday. now they have it hitting texas
Weather bureau says the tracks are going to change on a regular basis.
Several factors for the track changes.
Time will tell. Quoting: Anonymous Coward 113248
yep
just a watching
ice
Proverbs 1:7 The fear of the LORD is the beginning of knowledge, but fools despise wisdom and discipline. |
|
[vishuz]
Ganja smoker :]
User ID: 432360
9/7/2008 12:22 PM
 | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
HURRICANE IKE DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092008
1100 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT IKE HAS CHANGED LITTLE DURING THE
LAST 6 HOURS. THE LAST PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 949 MB AT 1100 UTC WHICH WAS VERY
SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS FIXES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD AT 115
KT. A RECENT SSMI OVERPASS INDICATES THAT AN OUTER RAINBAND COULD
BE FORMING AN OUTER EYEWALL. HOWEVER... EYEWALL REPLACEMENT
CYCLES...INCLUDING THEIR IMPACTS ON INTENSITY...ARE VERY DIFFICULT
TO ANTICIPATE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS...EITHER UP OR DOWN...IN
INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES EASTERN CUBA
TONIGHT. ONCE INLAND...WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BUT THE DEGREE OF
WEAKENING DEPENDS ON HOW LONG THE CENTER REMAINS INLAND. THE
LATEST OFFICIAL FORECAST KEEPS IKE INLAND FOR APPROXIMATELY 36
HOURS SO SIGNIFICANT WEAKENING IS SHOWN. HOWEVER...ONLY A SMALL
DEVIATION FROM THE FORECAST TRACK COULD RESULT IN THE CENTER OF IKE
MOVING BACK OVER WATER SOONER. IKE IS FORECAST TO REACH THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 2 DAYS. SINCE THE WATERS OVER
THE GULF ARE WARM AND THE SHEAR IS NOT FORECAST TO BE HIGH...
RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
IKE IS BEING STEERED BY A MID-LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC SOUTHWESTWARD OVER FLORIDA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AN
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF 265/13. IKE SHOULD MOVE GENERALLY
WESTWARD FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARDS
THE WEST-NORTHWEST. IN 2-3 DAYS...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE EASTERN UNITED STATES CAUSING SOME WEAKENING OF THE
RIDGE AND A REDUCTION IKE'S FORWARD SPEED. MOST OF THE DYNAMICAL
MODELS FORECAST THE TROUGH TO BYPASS THE CYCLONE RESULTING IN A
CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION. ONLY THE HWRF MODEL SHOWS
ENOUGH OF A WEAKNESS MATERIALIZING TO TURN IKE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.
WHILE THIS SOLUTION IS POSSIBLE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST LEANS MORE
TOWARD THE REMAINING DYNAMICAL MODELS AND IS NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF
THE MODEL CONSENSUS. IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO ANTICIPATE WHICH
AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST COULD BE IMPACTED BY THIS SYSTEM.
SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSIONS ARE CURRENTLY BEING FLOWN BY THE NOAA
G-IV...AND THIS DATA...ALONG WITH SPECIAL SOUNDINGS FROM NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES...ARE PROVIDING ENHANCED DATA INTO THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 07/1500Z 21.0N 73.4W 115 KT
12HR VT 08/0000Z 20.9N 75.2W 120 KT
24HR VT 08/1200Z 21.4N 77.6W 85 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 09/0000Z 22.2N 79.9W 70 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 09/1200Z 23.0N 81.8W 65 KT...INLAND
72HR VT 10/1200Z 24.5N 85.0W 70 KT
96HR VT 11/1200Z 26.0N 87.5W 85 KT
120HR VT 12/1200Z 27.0N 90.5W 100 KT
$$
FORECASTER RHOME
[link to myspace.com] |
|
Anonymous Coward
User ID: 498975
9/7/2008 1:02 PM | | Re: Ike 145mph sustained | Quote |
It can't keep that kind of intensity up for long, right? |
|
| Page 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74 |
|
