The Iran War - How It Will Begin | |
Anonymous Coward (OP) User ID: 474280 United States 09/08/2008 11:54 PM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | |
Anonymous Coward User ID: 488177 United States 09/09/2008 12:45 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | War with Iran: A Psychic Impression of the War The generally accepted theory is that the United States will launch an attack on Iran with our air force and naval units in an attempt to knock out nuclear production facilities across Iran. My impression is this is not how it will start. The intention of the part of the United States to attack Iran will be the causative factor, but I believe that Iran will actually fire first. The impression I have received is that Iran will launch a preemptive strike on US air and naval forces around the Persian Gulf after receiving what it believes are clear indications of an intention by the United States to attack its territory. This clear indication may come as an actual ultimatum delivered by the United States ordering Iran to either 1) cease its nuclear power program and/or refining of uranium, and 2) to stop supplying insurgents in Iraq with Iranian made weaponry, or 3) both of these. Iran, I feel, will seemingly begin the process of complying with these requests. But a third nation will be supporting Iran with promises of stronger support if Iran takes a more militant option. I have a fairly clear impression of which nation, but I’d rather not say at the moment. Military planners within Iran, I believe, have studied the wars of the Middle East with particular attention. Understandable considering their country is in the Middle East. From the 1967 Israeli-Arab conflict, and from both Gulf Wars One and Two, I believe the top planners in Iran have come to favor the notion—unlike their Iraqi counter parts—of a preemptive first strike. Waiting for the United States—or Israel—to strike first has not worked well for nations in the Middle East. When Middle Eastern nations have struck first, as Sadat did in 1973, the attacking nation has generally performed militarily better. I believe this mindset is currently coming to the fore with Iranian policy makers. I believe this partly because of my logical, left-brained, studies of the region, but also in many ways I’m using left-brained logical arguments to support what I’m getting as psychic impressions from the right brain (or the Ether, or the other side or whatever you want to call it.) Because it is from this right brain that I’m getting impressions like, “Sneak attack!” “Carrier sunk” “Missile attack on fleet!” The left brain is just there to justify what the right brain is saying. As I say, the reason a conflict will start relates to an Iranian belief that the United States intends to attack. At the time, this will probably be a correct assumption their part. Iran will attempt to deceive the United States into lowering its military posture by seemingly going along with US demands. In reality, Iran will feel that it has little option but to attack, and will be receiving encouragement to do so by a sponsoring nation. Within a few hours, or a couple of days, of seeming to agree to US demands, Iran will strike. I believe it may start on a weekend. The orders to specific commanders detailing times of attack, positions, and the weapons to be used will all be delivered by hand or by face-to-face conversation. The fear of intercepted electronic messages will necessitate this, and the strategy will be very effective. Coordination, while not 100%, will be close enough. My impression is that it will certainly be a very well thought out plan of attack by the Iranians. It will happen when they believe US personnel to be at their most vulnerable. An early morning attack before dawn is not unlikely. It will depend upon the positioning of US ships and Iranian beliefs on when best to strike. That said, I think it will come in the early morning hours of a weekend, probably early Sunday morning before dawn—parallels to Pearl Harbor notwithstanding. Whenever it comes, it will be a surprise. US naval crews won’t be asleep in their beds. (Unless they are onboard the vessel attacked by the Iranian submarine.) But they will have had very little time to get out of bed and get to their stations before missiles begin striking. The attack will be timed very precisely. At the specified time, missile shore batteries will launch anti-ship missiles toward US ships patrolling in their areas. These will be supplemented by helicopters and aircraft also firing anti ship missiles. Iranian naval ships capable of firing missiles will also engage. Several hundred anti-ship missiles will be fired within a 10-minute time period of one another. The speed and range of the missiles will be calculated so that slower missiles and higher speed missiles will arrive at their targets near simultaneously. The primary target will be the US carrier fleet, and the US carrier at its core. Surprising to the Iranians will be the number of missiles that are destroyed in flight or which otherwise fail to function. Surprising to the US will be the number of missiles that get through, and how anti-missile capabilities are overwhelmed. My impression is that at least one, and possibly two, aircraft carriers will be sunk on the first day. A number of other surface ships will be sunk or damaged. My impression is that 7 ships will be sunk outright on the first day—mostly in the carrier fleet—with some 10 to 15 other US ships seriously damaged. Half of these damaged vessels will be out of action within 3 to 5 days after the attack. The first wave of the attack will take not more than 1 hour, and for most the attack will occur within as short a time as 15 minutes for some vessels. The primary target for the Iranians will be the US aircraft carrier. At least one Iranian submarine will take part in attacking the carrier fleet. It will be destroyed. It may be that the first shot fired in the attack could come from this submarine. US aircraft and air-to-air missiles will destroy a number of Iranian aircraft and helicopters—15-20— taking part in the attack and several of the Iranian surface vessels will be destroyed by anti-ship missiles fired in retaliation by the US. Surprisingly, a large number of smaller Iranian vessels will survive, rearm at non-typical port areas, and start patrols for “targets of opportunity”, which will include oil tankers and cargo vessels in addition to US ships. The US carrier fleet operating in the Indian Ocean will be largely spared—although hits on two of its ships are possible. Simultaneous to their attack on US naval vessels, Iran will also launch longer-range surface-to-surface missiles that will target US bases in Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the Emirates and Kuwait. Airfields and airplane hangers will be the primary targets—although the Green Zone in Baghdad may be targeted. These missiles will have little effect on destroying aircraft but will manage to damage runways and other facilities, causing problems with launching air patrols. Neither nuclear nor chemical weapons will be used by Iran. Initial reports will be met with shock in the West. Predictions about US strikes on Iranian facilities from the days before will cause some hesitation on the part of news organizations in the first couple of hours. Worries about inaccurate reporting of the events will cause several networks to delay their coverage. Military sources in the US will also withhold initial damage estimates for several hours after the attack. The first real indication of an Iranian attack for world media will come when Iranian missiles begin falling on US bases and international airports in countries that are hosting US troops. The reports on naval losses will come later in the day. The US response will be immediate. Air units from other aircraft carriers and from bases in Iraq and other Gulf states will begin search and destroy operations against Iranian ships, aircraft, and missile batteries stationed on the coast of Iran. Surviving naval units of the United States will largely head for safer areas in the immediate aftermath of the attack, owing to incomplete air cover by the US. Later, within hours or the next day, US naval forces will be back on station and on the offensive. Reports of Iranian military mobilization of its ground forces in Western Iran will cause a defensive posture among US ground forces in Iraq. Insurgent activity among Iranian-backed militias in Iraq will cause US forces to entrench rather than mobilize. Iranian mobilization will not be the vanguard of an invasion of Iraq—although the rulers in Iran will keep that option in reserve. Mobilization of Iranian ground units will forestall a US invasion of Iran by ground, however. In no part of the war will other than minor incursions of foreign territory occur from both sides. After the reports of US naval losses are reported, Iran will announce to the world media that it has launched a preemptive strike against the US in response to clear military threats against its national sovereignty and that it stands ready to honor any mutual cease fire agreement reached with the United States. Up until the reports come in from the US military via new coverage, Iranian leaders will have had no clear understanding of just how effective their attack has been. Some trepidation over the success of their attack will cause doubts within Teheran’s government. The United States will immediately reject this call for a cease-fire. World opinion will be mixed. Support from Israel for a continuation of the war with Iran will be met by calls for a cease-fire among Arabian and Muslim nations, as well as from China and Russia. Even support among Western nations for a continuation will be lacking. Gasoline prices at the pump will double within hours of the announcement of an attack. The ceasefire request rejection by the United States will cause a further increase in prices. Supply concerns, and not simply oil price speculation, will create an immediate panic. The war with Iran will last between two and four months. This war will primarily be composed of aircraft battles over Iran, bombing and commando raids by US forces on Iranian targets inside Iran, and one-sided naval engagements pitting the US navy against much smaller, lighter armed vessels. Iranian hits on US vessels will never reach the same level as the first day of the attack, although occasional losses of ships and planes will occur for the US. Iranian attacks by long range missiles will be launched against Saudi Arabian and other oil field facilities sporadically. US attacks on Iran will be far more successful after this first day. Unlimited sorties by US forces a la Gulf War I will not be achieved though. Bombing will be harder and limited by distances and Iranian interdiction efforts. US carriers will not conduct operations inside Persian Gulf waters but instead will remain in the Indian Ocean. Iran’s navy will largely be destroyed, but some smaller attack vessels will survive until wars end and the initial first day victory by Iran against US assets will outweigh any and all naval losses suffered after this. The Iranian air force will suffer serious degradation over time, but not to the point of ceasing to be an active force. On the home front of the United States, a degree of chaos will reign. The economy will suffer an immediate hit the first day. Gasoline supplies will be distributed in a haphazard fashion related more to economics than to actual need, and shortages, or outright “no gas”, will occur in many areas. Crime will increase. Thefts of gasoline will increase dramatically and carjacking murders will skyrocket. Many areas will become similar to war zones. Supply disruptions of food will occur as gasoline and diesel is reduced. Martial law will not be declared, but National Guard units will patrol in some areas. Airlines will feel the pinch more than most and many companies will not survive the war, or will suffer tremendous setbacks. At the same time these events are occurring, there will be elements of the Iranian military at work in the United States doing minor acts of sabotage and terrorism. There also seems to be a day long incident that will happen wherein a gun battle with a small group of Iranian soldiers will occur in the streets of a large city. One act that seems fairly clear to me is an attack on airliners by terrorists using shoulder-fired missiles…possibly in the Memphis area. Disturbing to many will be the fact that these attacks will in all likelihood be carried out by people wearing Iranian military uniforms at the times of their attacks—although they would have come dressed as civilians to the country beforehand, a fact that will ignite a controversy on their status as prisoners of war. A number of US prisoners of war will be taken by Iran. US Air Force pilots (I’ve actually gotten a list of some names during one minor vision) shot down, and Special Forces soldiers caught behind the lines in Iran will be the primary source, along with a few sailors picked up at sea. Surprisingly, my sense is that the Iranians will treat these prisoners with relative humanity—not something that I, myself, would believe without being told by my spirit Guides. At the end of about three months, the realization will come that a quick victory in Iran is not going to be achieved. Calls from within the United States to end the war and return some normalcy to the economy will begin to reach deafening levels. Similarly, Western allies will be begging the US, and under this pressure, the US will accept a cease-fire. The US will argue that it has achieved its goal with the retarding of the Iranian nuclear program, which it will have done….for at least 5 years or so…., but the majority of the world will see Iran has having been the victor, equating their continued existence as a functioning state without US invasion forces in country as being an example of victory. Gas prices will moderate after the ceasefire is announced. Dropping in price as supplies of Saudi Arabian and Iranian oil begin to reenter the market. Prices will not return to pre-war “lows” however. Thread: War in Iran: A Psychic Impression of the War |
malu User ID: 497098 United States 09/09/2008 12:47 AM Report Abusive Post Report Copyright Violation | this would be the sixth time this article has been posted by different people, no biggie,, but it would be nice to have it all under one post, to share info "By way of deception, thou shalt do war." Israel's Mossad "The truth shall set you free." U.S. Central Intelligence Agency Motto |